中国农业气象 ›› 2025, Vol. 46 ›› Issue (7): 1012-1025.doi: 10.3969/j.issn.1000-6362.2025.07.010

• 农业生物气象栏目 • 上一篇    下一篇

基于SIF指数干旱等级动态阈值分析东北春玉米干旱时空特征

陈雨烨,王培娟,张源达,李扬,王旗,安晓颖   

  1. 1.中国气象科学研究院沈阳农业与生态气象研究院,北京100081;2.湖北省气候中心,武汉 430074;3. 中国电建集团西北勘测设计研究院有限公司,西安 710065
  • 收稿日期:2024-08-21 出版日期:2025-07-20 发布日期:2025-07-20
  • 作者简介:陈雨烨,E-mail:cyy980116@163.com
  • 基金资助:
    国家自然科学基金项目(32171916);中国气象局创新发展专项项目(CXFZ2024J050);中国气象科学研究院科技发展基金项目(2023KJ025;2024KJ010);中国气象科学研究院基本科研业务费项目(2024Z001)

Spatial-temporal Variation Characteristics of Spring Maize Drought in Northeast China Based on Dynamic Thresholds of SIF Index

CHEN Yu-ye, WANG Pei-juan, ZHANG Yuan-da, LI Yang, Wang Qi, AN Xiao-ying   

  1. 1. Shenyang Institute of Agricultural and Ecological Meteorology, Chinese Academy of Meteorological Sciences, Beijing 100081, China; 2. Hubei Climate Center, Wuhan 430074; 3. Northwest Engineering Corporation Limited, Xi'an 710065
  • Received:2024-08-21 Online:2025-07-20 Published:2025-07-20

摘要:

干旱已成为全球陆地生态系统面临的主要问题,其发展具有明显地域特征。揭示区域干旱的时空分布特征是应对气候变化、保障农业生产安全的迫切要求。本文基于日光诱导叶绿素荧光指数(SIF研究东北春玉米全生育期的干旱动态阈值,利用逐元分析法计算2000−2020年东北春玉米干旱频率和受旱范围,采用线性倾向估计法等分析东北春玉米的干旱变化趋势和空间分布特征。结果表明:(12000−2020年东北春玉米SIF值在年际尺度和不同发育期时间序列上均呈波动上升趋势,空间上SIF呈增加趋势的区域均超过50%,表明近20a研究区受干旱影响逐年减小,干旱风险减弱;(22000−2020年东北春玉米种植区受旱范围呈波动减小趋势,不同干旱等级,受旱范围表现为轻旱>中旱>重旱;不同春玉米发育阶段受旱范围表现为苗期>拔节孕穗期>灌浆成熟期>抽穗开花期;(3东北春玉米种植区大部都会发生干旱,干旱频率超40%,西部干旱频率高于东部;不同干旱等级中,轻旱发生频率最高,中旱和重旱发生频率较低;对不同生育期来说,研究区大部春玉米苗期干旱发生频率均高于25%,其中吉林中西部高于45%,表明苗期仍是东北春玉米干旱的高发期。

关键词: 东北春玉米, 干旱等级, 动态阈值, 日光诱导叶绿素荧光指数, 时空特征

Abstract:

Drought has become a problem faced by terrestrial ecosystems globally, with its development exhibiting distinct regional characteristics. Revealing the temporal and spatial distribution characteristics of regional drought is urgently required to address climate change and ensure the safety of agricultural production. Based on the drought dynamic threshold constructed using the Solar−induced chlorophyll fluorescence (SIF) index during the entire growth period of spring maize in Northeast China, drought frequency and affected areas of spring maize in this region from 2000 to 2020 had been calculated using pixel−by−pixel analysis method. Linear trend estimation and other methods were used to analyze the drought trends and spatial distribution characteristics of spring maize in Northeast China. The research findings were as follows: (1) from 2000 to 2020, the Solar−Induced Chlorophyll Fluorescence (SIF) values of spring maize in Northeast China exhibited a fluctuating upward trend on both the interannual scale and across different developmental stages in time series. Spatially, regions with an increasing trend in SIF values accounted for more than 50%, indicating that the study area had experienced a gradual reduction in drought impacts and a decreased risk of drought over the past 20 years. (2) From 2000 to 2020, the drought−affected areas in the spring maize cultivation regions of Northeast China showed a fluctuating decreasing trend. For different drought levels, the extent of drought−affected areas was ranked as follows: mild drought > moderate drought > severe drought. For different developmental stages of spring maize, the extent of drought−affected areas was ranked with: seedling stage > jointing to booting stage > filling to maturity stage > heading to flowering stage.(3) Most of the spring maize planting areas in northeast China experienced droughts, with a frequency exceeding 40%. The frequency of droughts was higher in the west than in the east. Among different drought severity levels, light drought occurs most frequently, while moderate and severe droughts had lower frequencies. In terms of different growth stages, most of the study area experienced drought frequencies exceeding 25% during the seedling stage. In particular, the central and western parts of Jilin province had frequencies higher than 45%, indicating that the seedling stage remained a period of high drought incidence for spring maize in northeast China.

Key words:

Spring maize of northeast China, Drought rating, Dynamic thresholds, Solar-induced chlorophyll fluorescence index (SIF), Spatio-temporal characteristics