中国农业气象

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甘肃省马铃薯晚疫病气象条件等级预报

姚玉璧;万信;张存杰;张秀云;石界;   

  1. 中国气象局兰州干旱气象研究所/甘肃省干旱气候变化与减灾重点实验室/中国气象局干旱气候变化与减灾重点开放实验室;兰州区域气候中心;甘肃省定西市气象局;
  • 出版日期:2009-06-10 发布日期:2009-06-10
  • 基金资助:
    国家公益性行业(气象)科研专项(GYHY200806021);; 科技部科研院所社会公益研究专项(2004DIB5J192);; 国家自然科学基金重点项目(40830957);; 干旱气象科学研究基金项目(IAM200711,IAM200811)

Prediction of Grades of Meteorological Condition for Potato Late Blight in Gansu Province

YAO Yu-bi1,2,3,WAN Xin2,ZHANG Cun-jie2,ZHANG Xiu-yun3,SHI Jie3(1.Institute of Arid Meteorology,Open Key Laboratory of Arid Climatic Changing and Reducing Disaster,China MeteorologicalAdministration/Key Laboratory of Arid Climatic Changing and Reducing Disaster of Gansu Province,Lanzhou 730020,China; 2. Lanzhou Regional Climate Center,Lanzhou 730020;3. Meteorological Bureau of Dingxi of Gansu Province,Dingxi 743000)   

  • Online:2009-06-10 Published:2009-06-10

摘要: 利用甘肃省马铃薯晚疫病监测资料,分析马铃薯晚疫病的发生发展与气象条件的关系,确定影响马铃薯晚疫病的主要气候生态因子。结果表明,相对湿度、降水量、气温与马铃薯晚疫病发病率呈正相关,相对湿度增大、降水增加、气温升高有利于晚疫病发生发展;日照时数、平均风速与马铃薯晚疫病发病率呈负相关,天气晴朗、日照充足,风速增大、空气交换加快不利于晚疫病发生发展。当可控条件一定时,气象条件是马铃薯晚疫病发生发展的主导因素。采用甘肃马铃薯晚疫病发生的病害资料与马铃薯晚疫病发生密切相关的温度、湿度等气象资料,建立了马铃薯晚疫病发生的气象条件等级预报模型。经检验,预报方程准确可用。

关键词: 甘肃省, 马铃薯晚疫病, 气象条件等级

Abstract: Based on the data of monitoring on potato late blight,the relationship between the occurrence and development of potato late blight and meteorological conditions was analyzed. The main climate factors affected the potato late blight occurrences were determined. The result showed that the relative humidity,precipitation and air temperature were positively related to the occurrences of the potato late blight. It was favorable to the development of potato late blight as the temperature,relative humidity and precipitation increased,while it was not favorable to the development of potato late blight as the sunshine duration,average wind velocity increased. The meteorological conditions were the dominant factors affected the occurrences of the potato late blight. The model for forecasting the grade of meteorological conditions of the potato late blight was established,based on the data of the potato late blight occurrences and meteorological factors including temperature and relative humidity. The model was validated by the history data and to be proved with high precision.

Key words: Gansu Province, Gansu Province, Potato Late blight, Grades of meteorological condition