中国农业气象

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辽宁地区近50年无霜期时空演变特征

蔡福;明惠青;纪瑞鹏;张淑杰;冯锐;武晋雯;张玉书;王阳;   

  1. 中国气象局沈阳大气环境研究所;辽宁省气象科技服务中心;抚顺市气象局;
  • 出版日期:2010-04-10 发布日期:2010-04-10
  • 基金资助:
    “东北地区气候与气候变化评估模式及系统建设”(22060302302-2000804);; “东北粮食基地对气候变化的响应评价及适应对策”(220603022000813);; “春玉米干旱胁迫影响定量评价及业务系统研发项目”;; 中国气象局气候变化专项“东北粮食生产格局的气候变化影响与适应(CCSF-09-13)”

Spatio-temporal Evolvement of Frostless Period in Liaoning Province in Recent 50 Years

CAI Fu1,MING Hui-qing2,JI Rui-peng1,ZHANG Shu-jie1,FENG Rui1,WU Jin-wen1,ZHANG Yu-shu1,WANG Yang3(1.Institute of Atmospheric Environment,CMA,Shenyang 110016,China; 2.Service Center of Meteorological Science and Technology in Liaoning Province,Shenyang 110016; 3. Meteorological Bureau of Fushun City,Fushun 113100)   

  • Online:2010-04-10 Published:2010-04-10

摘要: 结合GIS技术、气候倾向率以及突变分析方法,利用近50a辽宁省52个气象观测站的逐日气温资料对无霜期初日、终日以及持续日数的时空演变特征进行分析。结果表明:(1)区域平均无霜期初日以2.2d/10a的速率提前(P<0.01),在1989年前后发生突变;终日和持续日数分别以1.9d/10a和3.9d/10a的速率延后和增多(P<0.01),终日在1975年前后发生突变。辽宁大部地区无霜期日数以3~4d/10a速率增加(P<0.01)。(2)不同基准年的气候平均值(A时段:1961-1990年,B时段:1971-2000年)有明显差异,B时段较A时段初日提前、终日延后、无霜期日数延长。(3)从年代际变化来看,无霜期日数在20世纪70年代的高值和低值区域较60年代有所扩大,80年代高值区再次扩大,低值区缩小,90年代较前者空间格局变化不大,2000年以后高值区已覆盖辽宁大部地区,低值区明显缩小。

关键词: GIS技术, 辽宁, 无霜期, 时空演变特征

Abstract: Based on daily ordinal observation data of the temperature from 52 stations in Liaoning Province over the recent 50 years (1961-2007),the spatio-temporal evolvement characteristics of frostless period in Liaoning Province were investigated by using GIS technique,climatic trend rate and abrupt change analysis methods. Results demonstrated that in terms of regional average,frostless period initial date ordinal (FLPIDO)moved up 2.2 days per 10 years,with a climate abrupt change happened around 1989,and frostless period ending date ordinal (FLPEDO)and duration (FLPD)postponed and increased significantly by 1.9 days and 3.9 days per 10 years,respectively. Abrupt change for FLPEDO happened around 1975. FLPD increased significantly with rate of 3 to 4 days per 10 years in most past of Liaoning. Second,there were significant difference for different periods' average (period A:1961-1990;period B:1971-2000). The FLPIDO in period B was earlier and FLPEDO was later and FLPD was longer than that of in period A. Third,the large and small values of area of FLPD were larger in 1970s than that of in 1960s in the GIS map,and the large value area enlarged continue but the small value area shrank in 1980s,and there was no significant difference between 1980s and 1990s,and the large value areas covered most of Liaoning and small value areas shrank remarkably after 2000.

Key words: GIS technique, GIS technique, Liaoning, Frostless period, Spatio-temporal evolvement characteristics