中国农业气象 ›› 2024, Vol. 45 ›› Issue (04): 444-447.doi: 10.3969/j.issn.1000-6362.2024.04.010

• 农业气象情报 栏目 • 上一篇    

2023/2024年冬季气象条件对农业生产的影响

赵运成,张艳红,张蕾   

  1. 国家气象中心,北京 100081
  • 收稿日期:2024-03-08 出版日期:2024-04-20 发布日期:2024-04-16
  • 作者简介:赵运成,工程师,主要从事农业气象研究,E-mail:zhaoyuncheng111@163.com
  • 基金资助:
    中国气象局创新发展专项“全球粮食产量预报与风险预评估技术研究”(CXFZ2024J051)

Report on Meteorological Condition Impact to Agricultural Production in Winter of 2023/2024

ZHAO Yun-cheng, ZHANG Yan-hong, ZHANG Lei   

  1. National Meteorological Center, Beijing 100081, China
  • Received:2024-03-08 Online:2024-04-20 Published:2024-04-16

摘要: 2023/2024年冬季,全国平均气温为−2.8℃,较常年同期(1991−2020年,下同)偏高0.3℃,气温阶段性起伏较大;全国平均降水量为50.8mm,较常年同期偏多19.8%,整体呈北多南少的分布格局,中东部多地降雪日数偏多、累计降雪量偏大、积雪偏深;全国平均日照时数接近常年同期,西南地区东部较常年同期偏多。北方冬麦区大部地区光热充足,多次大范围雨雪天气有利于土壤增墒,土壤墒情为近10a最好,利于冬小麦安全越冬。南方大部地区光热条件良好,利于油菜、冬小麦、冬种作物以及经济林果等生长发育。冬季中东部地区经历3次大范围寒潮天气过程,影响设施农业生产,南方部分省区油菜、露地蔬菜、经济林果等受冻。新疆北部、东北地区多降雪,不利于农牧业生产。

关键词: 冬季气象条件, 农业生产, 影响评价

Abstract: In the winter of 2023/2024, the national average temperature was −2.8℃, which was 0.3℃higher than the same period of the perennial value (1991−2020). The average precipitation in winter was 50.8mm, 19.8% higher than the same period, showing a distribution pattern of more in the north and less in the south. Many places in the central and eastern regions have more snowfall days, more accumulated snowfall and deeper snow. The national average sunshine was close to perennial value, and the eastern part of southwest China is more than the same period. Most regions of the winter wheat areas in the north have abundant light and heat conditions, within many large-scale rain and snow weather were conducive to soil moisture increase. The soil moisture is the best in the past decade, and meteorological conditions are conducive to the safe overwintering of winter wheat. Most regions of southern was enough warm and sunshine hours for the growth and development of rape, wheat, winter crops and economic fruits. In winter, the central and eastern regions experienced three large-scale cold wave weather processes, which affected the production of protected agriculture, and some rape, open vegetables and economic forest fruits in southern provinces were frozen. There is much snowfall in Northeast China and northern Xinjiang, which is not conducive to agriculture and animal husbandry production.

Key words: Meteorological conditions in winter, Agricultural production, Impact assessment