中国农业气象 ›› 2012, Vol. 33 ›› Issue (03): 394-401.doi: 10.3969/j.issn.1000-6362.2012.03.012

• 论文 • 上一篇    下一篇

华北地区作物生长期水氮含量变化过程模拟及其参数敏感性分析

郭瑞萍,杨春林,莫兴国,林忠辉   

  1. 1环境保护部核与辐射安全中心,北京100082;2河南科技学院,新乡453003;3中国科学院地理科学与资源研究所,北京100101
  • 收稿日期:2011-10-31 出版日期:2012-08-20 发布日期:2012-08-27
  • 作者简介:郭瑞萍(1981-),女,山西太原人,博士,工程师,研究方向为气载流出物大气扩散。Email:guorp2011@163.com
  • 基金资助:
    科技部重大专项CAP 1400安全评审技术及独立验证试验(2011 ZX 06002-010);国家自然科学基金(31171451);973项目(2010CB428404)

Crop Water and Nitrogen Dynamic Simulation and Sensitivity Analysis during Crop Growth Period in North China Plain

GUO Rui ping,YANG Chun lin,MO Xing guo,LIN Zhong hui   

  1. 1Nuclear and Radiation Safety Center MEP,Beijing100082,China;2Henan College of Science and Technology,Xinxiang453003;3Institute of Geographic Sciences and Natural Resources Research,CAS,Beijing100101
  • Received:2011-10-31 Online:2012-08-20 Published:2012-08-27

摘要: 根据中国科学院栾城农业生态系统试验站2006-2007年小麦-玉米生长季实测的作物水氮动态变化数据,进行CERES-Wheat和CERES-Maize模型在华北地区冬小麦和夏玉米作物水氮过程模拟能力的验证及参数敏感性分析。结果表明,模型模拟的冬小麦生长季土壤含水量、土壤硝态氮含量、植株含氮量与实测值的相关系数分别为0.46、0.74和0.68,夏玉米则依次为0.95、0.62和0.72。敏感性分析发现土壤含水量和土壤硝态氮含量对土壤参数变化比较敏感,植株含氮量则受遗传参数影响显著。当田间持水量相对变化+10%时,冬小麦和夏玉米的土壤含水量相对变化率分别为+7.5%和+8.8%,冬小麦和夏玉米土壤硝态氮含量的相对变化率分别为+12.0%和+17.9%。叶热间距PHINT对冬小麦植株含氮量有负效应,PHINT相对变化+10%时冬小麦植株含氮量的相对变化率为-11.5%;夏玉米植株含氮量对出苗-幼苗末期所需温时(P1)较为敏感,P1变化+10%时夏玉米植株含氮量相对变化+9.3%。

关键词: 水氮动态, CERES模型, 参数敏感性, 土壤硝态氮, 植株含氮量

Abstract: Based on the measured data of crop water and nitrogen dynamic process during wheat and maize growth period at Luancheng Agro Ecosystem Experimental Station (CAS) in 2006-2007,authors validated the simulation capabilities of the CERES-Wheat and CERES-Maize models in crop water and nitrogen dynamic process in North China plain and analyzed their sensitivities of parameters.The results showed that correlation coefficients of soil water content,soil NO3〖KG-*2〗--N〖JP2〗 and plant nitrogen content simulated by model during crop growth period and their data were 0.46,0.74 and 0.68 respectively for winter wheat,and were 0.95,0.62 and 0.72 for summer maize.Furthermore,it was found that soil moisture and soil NO3〖KG-*2〗--N content were sensitive to the variations of soil parameters,but plant nitrogen content was influenced obviously by the genetic parameters.As the field moisture capacity increased 10%,the soil moisture increased 7.5% for winter wheat and 8.8% for summer maize,and soil NO3〖KG-*2〗--N increased 12.0% for winter wheat and 17.9% for summer maize.The effect of PHINT on plant nitrogen content of winter wheat was negative and it decreased 11.5% as PHINT increased 10%,and the effect of P1 on plant nitrogen content of summer maize was moresensitive and it increased 9.3% as P1 increased 10%.

Key words: Water and nitrogen dynamic, CERES model, Parameter sensitivity, Soil NO3〖KG-*2〗--N, Plant nitrogen content

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