中国农业气象

• 论文 •    

华北、东北地区积温的变化

毛恒青,万晖   

  1. 国家气象中心!北京100081,国家气象中心!北京100081
  • 出版日期:2000-06-10 发布日期:2000-06-10
  • 基金资助:
    国家气象中心“九五”课题资助

Study on the Change of the Accumulated Temperature in North China and Northeast China

MAO Heng qing, WAN Hui (National Meteorological Center, Beijing 100081)   

  • Online:2000-06-10 Published:2000-06-10

摘要: 计算了华北、东北地区 1956~ 1995年稳定通过 0℃ (T≥ 0℃ )和稳定通过 10℃ (T≥ 10℃ )的积温 ,并对其变化趋势进行了分析讨论。结果表明 :华北、东北地区的积温存在明显的变化趋势 ,80、90年代以来积温呈波浪式的上升。积温的大小与持续期的长短关系密切 ,二者变化趋势吻合。积温和持续期与年平均气温的线性回归结果显示 :若年平均气温升高 1℃ ,则T≥ 0℃的积温将大约增加 117~ 2 52℃·d ,持续期将大约延长 5~ 13.5d。

关键词: 积温, 持续期, 初日, 终日, 滑动平均

Abstract: In this paper, the accumulated temperatures higher than 0℃ (T≥0℃) and 10℃(T≥10℃) in North China and Northeast China during the period of 1956~1995 are calculated, and their change tendency are analyzed. The results indicate that the accumulated temperature in North China and Northeast China has an obvious changing tendency, and in 80~90’s the accumulated temperature raised gradually as a wave. The accumulated temperature is closely related to the duration of T≥0℃ (or T≥10℃) period and their changing tendency are similar. The results of the regression analysis between the accumulated temperature and the duration of T≥0℃ period and mean annual temperature show that if the mean annual temperature raise 1℃ the accumulated temperature of T≥0℃ will increase about 117~252℃·d and the duration of T≥0℃ period will extend about 5~13.5days.

Key words: The accumulated temperature, The accumulated temperature, The duration of T≥0℃ (or T≥10℃) period, The first day, The last day, Moving average