中国农业气象 ›› 2012, Vol. 33 ›› Issue (02): 259-264.doi: 10.3969/j.issn.1000-6362.2012.02.017

• 论文 • 上一篇    下一篇

基于MODIS数据的福建省农作物低温监测分析与风险评估

潘卫华,陈惠,张春桂,陈家金   

  1. 福建省气象科学研究所,福州350001
  • 收稿日期:2011-08-11 出版日期:2012-05-20 发布日期:2012-08-30
  • 作者简介:潘卫华(1980-),江西鄱阳人,硕士,工程师,主要研究方向为遥感应用和生态环境。Email:panwh@tom.com 潘卫华,陈惠,张春桂,陈家金
  • 基金资助:

    福建省科技厅农业科技重点项目(2009N0030);“十一五”国家科技支撑计划重点项目(2006BAD04B03);公益性行业(气象)科研专项(GYHY201106024);福建省气象局青年科技专项项目(2011q01)

Low Temperature Monitoring and Risk Assessment of Crops in Fujian Province Based on MODIS Data

 PAN  Wei-Hua, CHEN  Hui, ZHANG  Chun-Gui, CHEN  Jia-Jin   

  1. Institute of Meteorological Science in Fujian Province, Fuzhou 350001, China
  • Received:2011-08-11 Online:2012-05-20 Published:2012-08-30
  • About author:PAN Wei-Hua, CHEN Hui, ZHANG Chun-Gui, CHEN Jia-Jin

摘要: 利用MODIS数据分别对福建省地表温度和农作物用地信息进行反演,建立基于分裂窗法的福建省地表温度反演模型,构建福建省土地利用信息的专家决策树分类体系,并在Surfer和ArcGIS辅助下提出基于遥感的福建省农作物地表低温风险评估法。结果表明,基于分裂窗法的地表温度监测精度较高,达到8356%。通过与气象站实测温度对比分析,其高低温分布趋势基本一致,并能精细反映地形条件下的温度差异,弥补了气象站数量不足的缺陷。利用专家决策树分析法灵活构造NDVI、NDWI等不同判读因子,能较准确地提取福建省农作物土地利用信息。经过归一化处理建立的福建省主要农作物用地低温风险等级分为:轻度(0.45~1.00)、中度(0.24~0.45)和重度(0~0.24),能够细致反映出福建省地表低温分布和农作物所处的风险格局,为农作物合理区划和低温灾害风险评估等提供参考依据。

关键词: MODIS, 低温, 遥感, 风险评估

Abstract: The land surface temperature and cropland information of Fujian were retrieved based on MODIS data. The land surface temperature retrieval model and cropland classification system were derived respectively by using the split windows algorithm and expert decision tree method. Furthermore, the low temperature risk assessment model of cropland was established by Surfer and ArcGIS software. The results showed that land surface temperature monitoring had high accuracy (83.56%) with the split windows algorithm. There was same in distribution of high and low temperature to observed data from meteorological stations, which could provide fine temperature difference and make up insufficient numbers of meteorological stations. The cropland information was extracted exactly from normalized difference vegetation index (NDWI) according to expert decision tree method. Three grades of low temperature risk assessment for major crops in Fujian province were divided, which included light (0.45-1.00), medium (0.24-0.45) and heavy (0-0.24) by using normalization method. The results revealed the surface low temperature layout and risk pattern of crops in detail, which could provide reference for crops regionalization and low temperature risk assessment.

Key words: MODIS, Low temperature, Remote sense, Risk assessment

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