中国农业气象 ›› 2024, Vol. 45 ›› Issue (7): 786-797.doi: 10.3969/j.issn.1000-6362.2024.07.009

• 农业气象灾害 栏目 • 上一篇    下一篇

江西省柑橘生育期内高温热害时空分布特征

张方亮,金国花,杨军,李翔翔,李迎春   

  1. 1.江西省气象科学研究所,南昌 330096;2.江西省农业气象中心,南昌 330096
  • 收稿日期:2023-08-24 出版日期:2024-07-20 发布日期:2024-07-18
  • 作者简介:张方亮,工程师,主要从事气候变化与农业气象灾害研究,E-mail:zflqixiang@163.com
  • 基金资助:
    中国气象局“气候生态产品价值实现研究”青年创新团队项目(CMA2024QN15);江西省气象科学研究所自筹课题(JXQKS−ZC−2022−01)

Spatial and Temporal Distribution of Heat Stress during Citrus Growth Period in Jiangxi Province

ZHANG Fang-liang, JIN Guo-hua, YANG Jun, LI Xiang-xiang, LI Ying-chun   

  1. 1.Meteorological Science Research Institute of Jiangxi Province, Nanchang 330096, China; 2.Jiangxi Agricultural Meteorology Center, Nanchang 330096
  • Received:2023-08-24 Online:2024-07-20 Published:2024-07-18

摘要:

利用江西省1981−2022年逐日气象资料和柑橘生育期资料,选取日平均气温、日最高气温和热害持续天数作为柑橘高温热害指标,明确柑橘生育期内高温热害空间分布特征和时间变化趋势;采用配对t检验方法,对比柑橘不同生育期内高温热害时空差异。结果表明:(1柑橘开花−果实膨大期高温热害发生频率、发生次数和发生强度均值分别为87.73%2.23次·a−1和5.28d·次−1,高值区主要分布在江西东南部。柑橘果实膨大−果实着色期高温热害发生频率、发生次数和发生强度均值分别为56.43%1.15次·a12.74d·次−1,高值区主要分布在赣北和赣中地区。2)研究期内柑橘开花果实膨大期高温热害站次比、发生次数和发生强度均呈下降趋势,平均每10a分别减少0.90个百分点、0.02次和0.06d·次−1。柑橘果实膨大−果实着色期高温热害站次比、发生次数和发生强度均呈上升趋势,平均每10a分别增加6.80个百分点、0.26次和0.50d·次−13)配对t检验结果表明,柑橘开花−果实膨大期高温热害发生频率、发生次数和发生强度均极显著大于果实膨大−果实着色期;而柑橘开花−果实膨大期高温热害发生次数和发生强度的气候倾向率均极显著小于果实膨大−果实着色期。江西柑橘开花−果实膨大期是高温热害高发时期。目前,需加强对柑橘开花−果实膨大期高温热害的防御;未来应提高对柑橘果实膨大果实着色期高温热害的预防。

关键词: 柑橘, 生育期, 高温热害, 空间分布, 时间变化

Abstract:

Daily meteorological data from 1981 to 2022 and citrus growth periods data were used in this paper. The daily mean temperature, daily maximum temperature and their duration were selected as indicators of heat stress in citrus to clarify the spatial distribution characteristic and temporal variation trend of heat stress during citrus growth periods. The spatial and temporal differences of heat stress in different growing periods of citrus were compared using a paired t-test. The results show that (1) the average frequency, times and intensity of heat stress during flowering-fruit expanding stage of citrus are 87.73%, 2.23times·y−1 and 5.28d·times−1, respectively. High-value areas are mainly concentrated in the southeast of Jiangxi province. The average frequency, times and intensity of heat stress during the fruit expanding-fruit coloring stage of citrus are 56.43%, 1.15times·y−1 and 2.74d·times−1, respectively. High-value areas are mainly in the northern and central parts of Jiangxi province. (2) The station ratios, times and intensity of heat stress during the flowering-fruit expanding stage of citrus show a decreasing trend, with an average decrease of 0.90 percent points, 0.02 times and 0.06 d·time−1 every 10 years, respectively. The station ratios, times and intensity of heat stress during fruit expanding-fruit coloring stage of citrus show an increasing trend, with an average increase of 6.80 percent points, 0.26times and 0.50d·times−1 every 10 years, respectively. (3) The paired t-test results show that, the frequency, times and intensity of heat stress during flowering-fruit expanding stage of citrus are significantly higher than that during fruit expanding-fruit coloring stage of citrus. However, the climate tendency of times and intensity of heat stress during flowering-fruit expanding stage of citrus are significantly lower than that during fruit expanding-fruit coloring stage of citrus. The flowering-fruit expanding stage of citrus in Jiangxi province is the most frequent period of heat stress. For now, it is necessary to strengthen citrus defenses against heat stress during the flowering-fruit expanding stage. In the future, we should improve the prevention of heat stress in citrus during the fruit expanding-fruit coloring stage.

Key words:

"> Citrus, Growth period, Heat stress, Spatial distribution, Time trend