中国农业气象 ›› 2025, Vol. 46 ›› Issue (5): 593-608.doi: 10.3969/j.issn.1000-6362.2025.05.001

• 农业气候资源与气候变化栏目 •    下一篇

河南省县域耕地利用净碳汇时空演进分析

马文博,曾丽媛   

  1. 河南工业大学管理学院,郑州 450001
  • 收稿日期:2024-09-07 出版日期:2025-05-20 发布日期:2025-05-14
  • 作者简介:马文博,博士,副教授,研究方向为资源经济与环境管理、资源环境与可持续发展,E-mail:mawenbo2002@126.com
  • 基金资助:
    教育部人文社会科学研究规划基金项目(24YJA790042);河南省高等学校哲学社会科学创新人才支持计划(2025−CXRC−22);河南省哲学社会科学规划年度项目(2022BJJ040);河南工业大学高层次人才基金项目(2020SBS17);河南省高校人文社会科学重点研究基地——物流研究中心项目(32220057)

Temporal and Spatial Evolution Analysis of Net Carbon Sink from Cultivated Land Utilization at the County Level in Henan Province

MA Wen-bo, ZENG Li-yuan   

  1. College of Management, Henan University of Technology, Zhengzhou 450001, China
  • Received:2024-09-07 Online:2025-05-20 Published:2025-05-14

摘要:

基于2006−2020年耕地生产资料投入、土壤、小麦和水稻种植碳排放及农作物固碳统计数据,采用碳排放系数法测算河南省104个县域的耕地利用净碳汇量,并分析其时空分布特征,旨在为河南省耕地利用低碳转型及碳达峰、碳中和目标的实现提供科学参考。结果表明:1)研究期内河南省耕地利用碳排放呈先增后减趋势,碳吸收则稳定增长,导致净碳汇波动上升。化肥是主要碳源。与2006年相比,2020年河南省大部分县域碳排放量、碳汇量和净碳汇量均呈增长态势,县域占比分别为65.4%、78.9%和77.9%。豫东地区在碳排放、碳汇、净碳汇增量上领先;豫北地区碳排放增速较快;豫南地区碳汇、净碳汇增速显著。(2)从空间格局来看,河南省耕地利用净碳汇呈“东高西低”分布,空间集聚特征明显,区间差异显著,但净碳汇低值区逐渐向高值区转变,区间差异呈缩小趋势。多数县域属于中度净碳汇区。净碳汇量呈同质性的县域占据超过95%的集聚性县域。净碳汇重心位于鄢陵县,且有向东转移的趋势。3)气候、土壤、地势等自然条件及国家政策通过影响农作物种植结构、农业机械化程度和农资投入,进而对耕地利用碳排放与碳吸收产生影响。未来应将农作物碳汇纳入河南省作物种植结构调整的决策体系,持续推进化肥减量增效,加大对河南省农机技术创新的投资,加强区域间农业技术交流与合作,以充分发挥其减排增汇潜力,推动农业绿色发展。

关键词: 耕地利用, 净碳汇量, 时空演进, 河南省县域

Abstract:

Drawing on statistical data spanning from 2006 to 2020, four key aspects were analyzed in this study: inputs of agricultural production materials, soil conditions, carbon emissions from wheat and rice cultivation, and carbon sequestration by crops. The carbon emission coefficient method was used to calculate the net carbon sink of cultivated land use across 104 counties in Henan province, and its spatiotemporal distribution characteristics were examined. The findings offer scientific insights for the low-carbon transformation of cultivated land use and the pursuit of carbon peaking and neutrality goals in Henan province. The results indicate that: (1) carbon emissions from cultivated land use in Henan province initially rose and then declined, while carbon absorption increased steadily, leading to a fluctuating increase in net carbon sinks. Notably, chemical fertilizers emerged as the primary carbon source. Compared to 2006, by 2020, most counties in Henan province experienced growth in carbon emissions, carbon sinks, and net carbon sinks, with respective county proportions of 65.4%, 78.9%, and 77.9%. In eastern Henan led in increments of carbon emissions, carbon sinks, and net carbon sinks, while northern Henan showed a faster growth rate in carbon emissions. In southern Henan, on the other hand, exhibited significant growth rates in carbon sinks and net carbon sinks. (2) In terms of spatial distribution, the net carbon sink of cultivated land use in Henan province displayed a pattern of “higher in the east and lower in the west.” Spatial agglomeration was evident, with notable regional differences. However, low−value areas of net carbon sinks were gradually transitioning towards high−value areas, indicating a trend of narrowing regional disparities. Most counties fell into the category of moderate net carbon sink areas. Counties exhibiting homogeneity in net carbon sink values accounted for over 95% of the aggregated counties. The center of gravity for net carbon sinks was situated in Yanling county, with a tendency to shift eastward. (3) Natural conditions, including climate, soil, and terrain, as well as national policies, influenced the crop planting structure, the level of agricultural mechanization, and the input of agricultural materials, thereby impacting carbon emissions and carbon absorption from cultivated land use. In the future, crop carbon sinks should be integrated into the decision−making framework for crop planting structure adjustment in Henan province. Efforts should also continue to reduce and enhance the efficiency of chemical fertilizers. Additionally, increasing investment in agricultural machinery technology innovation in Henan province and fostering inter−regional agricultural technology exchange and cooperation will fully harness its potential for emission reduction and carbon sequestration enhancement, ultimately promoting green agricultural development.

Key words: Cultivated land utilization, Net carbon sink capacity, Spatio?temporal evolution, Counties in Henan province