中国农业气象

• 论文 • 上一篇    下一篇

略论气候与农业生产发展的关系

崔读昌;   

  1. 中国农业科学院农业气象研究所,
  • 出版日期:1990-12-10 发布日期:1990-12-10

ON THE RELATIONSHIP BETWEEN CLIMATE AND AGRICULTURAL PRODUCTION DEVELOPMENT

Cui Duchang (Agrometeorological Institute, Chinese Academy of Agricultural Sciences, Beijing)   

  • Online:1990-12-10 Published:1990-12-10

摘要: 本文分析研究了气候对农业生产发展的影响。我国气候变率大,是引起农业生产不稳定的主要因素,每年农业受害面积的60%是干旱造成的,不明显的潜在影响(如低温)能使粮食产量减少500万吨以上。在5%的产量波动水平下,本世纪80年代的粮食绝对产量的波动损失比50年代大得多。在同样的政策、种子、农业技术条件下,粮食产量主要受气候的影响。随着农业生产的发展,气候与农业生产的关系不是愈来愈小,而是愈来愈密切。今后制定农业发展战略计划时应考虑气候不稳定的特点。

关键词: NULL

Abstract: The effects of climate on agricultural production development were analysed and researched in this. paper. The climatic variability in China is a main factor causing the instability of agricultural production. 60 percent of agricultural disastrous area per year is caused by drought, potential effects of other disadvantageous climatic factors may cause food production to decreaes by over 5 million tons. In the condition of 5 percent yield variability, the lose of fluctuation for total food production in 1970's is great more than the lose in 1950'$. In the same conditions of policy, seeds and farming techiques etc., food yield is mainly limited by climatic factors with the development of agricultural production, the reletionship between climate and agricultual production become more and more close. In making agricultural developing strategies, the climatic variability should be taken into accout.

Key words: NULL, NULL