上海地区小麦赤霉病预测专家系统

中国农业气象

上海地区小麦赤霉病预测专家系统

欧阳达;陶炳炎;

中国农业科学院农业气象研究所,南京气象学院应用气象系,

出版日期:1991-03-10 发布日期:1991-03-10

SHANGHAI WHEAT SCAB PREDICTION EXPERT SYSTEM

Ouyang Da (Agrometeorological Institute,CAAS) Tao Bingyan (Department of Applied Meteorology,Nanjing Institute of Meteorology)

Online:1991-03-10 Published:1991-03-10

摘要/Abstract

摘要： 上海地区小麦赤霉病预测专家系统(SWSPES)是根据上海地区的历史资料,分析总结了领域专家们的知识和经验,并运用数学预测模型所建立的一个专家系统,该系统由人工智能语言GCLISP和算法语言BASICA编制而成,采用了正向的精确和非精确推理的策略,知识库由产生式规则构成,计算模块包括Fuzzy优先比预测模块和灰色灾变预测模块。SWSPES能对上海地区小麦赤霉病进行长、中、短期预报,预报共分为5级。只需对本专家系统知识库中的规则进行某些修订和扩充,即能应用于其它麦区的赤霉病预报服务。

关键词: NULL

Abstract: Shanghai Wheat Scab Prediction Expert System(SWSPES)is built bas- ed on the expertise of agromoteorogists,Mathmatical models and actual mea- sured data in Shanghai area(1957—1985).The program is written in arti- ficial intelligence language GCLISP and algorithmic language BASICA.The strategy of inference is the foreword exact and inexact reasoning.The knowledge base is composed of production rules.Caculated modules contain Fuzzy preference ratio module and grey calamity forecasting module.SWSP- ES can provice service to predict the prevalent degree of wheat scab for long,medium and Short-range in Shanghai area.The forecast is classified into five classes.SWSPES can also be applied in other areas only with mo- difying and adding some rules in knowledge base.

Key words: NULL, NULL

欧阳达;陶炳炎;. 上海地区小麦赤霉病预测专家系统[J]. 中国农业气象.

Ouyang Da (Agrometeorological Institute,CAAS) Tao Bingyan (Department of Applied Meteorology,Nanjing Institute of Meteorology). SHANGHAI WHEAT SCAB PREDICTION EXPERT SYSTEM[J]. Chinese Journal of Agrometeorology.