应用GCMs和历史气候资料生成我国在CO_2倍增时的气候情景

中国农业气象

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应用GCMs和历史气候资料生成我国在CO_2倍增时的气候情景

金之庆;陈华;葛道阔;方娟;郑喜莲;

江苏省农业科学院,江苏省农业科学院,江苏省农业科学院,江苏省农业科学院,江苏省农业科学院,

出版日期:1992-10-10 发布日期:1992-10-10
基金资助:
国家自然科学基金“气候变化对我国粮食生产的影响”的一部分

TO GENERATE CLIMATE SCENARIOS IN CHINA WITH DOUBLED CO_2 BY USING GCMs OUTPUTS AND HISTORIC WEATHER DATA

Jin Ziqing Chen Hua Ge Daokuo Fang Juan Zhen Xilian (Jiangsu Academy of Agricultural Sciences)

Online:1992-10-10 Published:1992-10-10

摘要/Abstract

摘要： 采用3种大气环流模型(GCMs)的输出结果,并结合我国各地有代表性气象台站20-30年的逐日气象资料,在微机上生成了我国在CO_2倍增时的3种气候情景.进而分析了我国未来温度、降水和太阳辐射3要素可能的时空分布特征和季节变化趋势,并推测我国易受全球气候变化不利影响的脆弱地区.

关键词: 全球气候变化, 大气环流模型, 区域性气候情景

Abstract: In this paper, the outputs of 3 general circulation models (i. e., GISS, OFDL and UKMO) were employes as a basis on computer for constructing the regional climate scenarios with doubled CO_2 concentrations in China, combined with 20-30 years historic weather data, By which, the aurthors disccussed the distributional features and seasonal changes of temperature, precipitation and solar radiation under doubled CO_2 scenarios and also estimated the vulnerable regions of global climate change in China. The results could provide necessary information for assessing the implication of climate change in China.

Key words: Climate warming General circulation model. Regional climate scenarios., Climate warming General circulation model. Regional climate scenarios.

金之庆;陈华;葛道阔;方娟;郑喜莲;. 应用GCMs和历史气候资料生成我国在CO_2倍增时的气候情景[J]. 中国农业气象.

Jin Ziqing Chen Hua Ge Daokuo Fang Juan Zhen Xilian (Jiangsu Academy of Agricultural Sciences). TO GENERATE CLIMATE SCENARIOS IN CHINA WITH DOUBLED CO_2 BY USING GCMs OUTPUTS AND HISTORIC WEATHER DATA[J]. Chinese Journal of Agrometeorology.

[1]	张厚瑄. 中国种植制度对全球气候变化响应的有关问题 Ⅱ.我国种植制度对气候变化响应的主要问题[J]. 中国农业气象, 2000, 21(02): -.
[2]	张厚瑄. 中国种植制度对全球气候变化响应的有关问题 Ⅰ.气候变化对我国种植制度的影响[J]. 中国农业气象, 2000, 21(01): -.

应用GCMs和历史气候资料生成我国在CO_2倍增时的气候情景

TO GENERATE CLIMATE SCENARIOS IN CHINA WITH DOUBLED CO_2 BY USING GCMs OUTPUTS AND HISTORIC WEATHER DATA

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