中国农业气象

• 论文 • 上一篇    下一篇

湖北省主要农业气象灾害变化分析

冯明;陈正洪;刘可群;吴义城;毛飞;黄永平;   

  1. 武汉区域气候中心,武汉区域气候中心,武汉区域气候中心,武汉区域气候中心,中国气象局气象科学研究院,荆州农业气象试验站 武汉430074,武汉430074,武汉430074,武汉430074
  • 出版日期:2006-08-10 发布日期:2006-08-10
  • 基金资助:
    中国气象局“生态与农业气象业务系统建设”重点项目

Analysis on Variation of Main Agrometeorological Disasters in Hubei Province

FENG Ming~(1),CHEN Zheng-hong~(1),LUI Ke-qun~(1),WU Yi-cheng~(1)MAO Fei~(2),HUANG Yong-ping~(3)(1.Wuhan Regional Climate Center,Wuhan 430074,China;2.Chinese Academy of Meteorological Sciences;3.Jingzhou Agro-meteorological Station)   

  • Online:2006-08-10 Published:2006-08-10

摘要: 利用1961-2004年湖北省71个气象台站实测气候资料,采用气候倾向率分析湖北省主要农业气象灾害的变化趋势。分析显示,在26种农业气象灾害中,有17种呈减少趋势,有9种呈增加趋势,但并不意味着气候变化对农业有利。所得结论增强了气象部门为“三农”服务的针对性,也为政府和农业部门充分利用气候资源、趋利避害提供决策依据。

关键词: 湖北省, 农业气象灾害, 变化

Abstract: Based on the meteorological data from 1961 to 2004 in the 71 stations in Hubei Province,the changes of the main agro-meteorological disasters were analyzed by using inclination rate analysis.There were 17 disasters showed a decreasing trend and 9 disasters showed an increasing trend among all of 26 disasters.However,it was not meant that climate change benefited to agriculture.The analyzed conclusions would help to enhance the pertinence of the meteorological services for agriculture and provide means for the government's decision-making in using climate resources adequately and avoiding disasters efficiently.

Key words: Hubei Province, Hubei Province, Agro-meteorological disaster, Change