中国农业气象

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基于土壤水分平衡模型的广东干旱时空分布特征

郭晶;景元书;王春林;王华;陈慧华;   

  1. 南京信息工程大学;广东省气候中心;广东省气候中心;
  • 出版日期:2008-06-10 发布日期:2008-06-10
  • 基金资助:
    中国气象局2007年建设项目专题“广东农业气象灾害监测预警系统建设”;; 省科技计划项目(2005B10101022);; 广东省气象局科技计划项目(2006B20)

Spatial and Temporal Variations of Drought in Guangdong Province Based on Soil Moisture Balance Model

GUO Jing1,JING Yuan-shu1,WANG Chun-lin2,WANG Hua2,CHEN Hui-hua2(1.Nanjing University of Information Science and Technology,Nanjing 210044,China;2.Climate Center of Guangdong Province)   

  • Online:2008-06-10 Published:2008-06-10

摘要: 根据广东省86个气象站1962-2006年逐日气象资料,基于土壤水分平衡模型,计算逐日土壤有效含水量,模拟土壤水分平衡状况,构建逐日干旱动态指数DI,根据DI分析广东近45a不同等级干旱的时空分布及变化规律。结果表明:(1)广东省全年干旱日数占28.7%,轻、中、重、极旱发生频率依次减少;(2)近45a平均干旱过程强度指数(DCI)的季节变化特征明显,汛期较低,汛期结束后DCI值迅速上升;(3)1962-2006年,年干旱日数和DCI值均显著上升,说明广东省干旱的发生频率和严重程度逐年上升;(4)DCI和全年干旱日数在全省范围内基本呈纬向分布,北低南高。粤北的连山附近是全省DCI值和干旱日数最低的区域,雷州半岛及东南沿海地区DCI值和干旱日数较高;(5)春季与秋季的DCI空间纬向分布基本相反,表现为春季南部较旱、秋季北部较旱;(6)秋季月平均DCI值高于春季,说明广东省秋旱情况重于春旱。研究结果对应对气候变化、开发利用气候资源、调整种植区划和农业生产布局具有重要参考价值。

关键词: 土壤水分平衡模型, 土壤有效含水量(AWC), 干旱过程强度指数(DCI)

Abstract: According to climate data of 86 meteorological stations in 1962-2006 in Guangdong Province,the soil daily available water content(AWC) was calculated to simulate the soil moisture balance and to set up the daily drought index(DI),based on the soil moisture balance model.The spatial and temporal variations for the different grade droughts in recent 45 years in Guangdong Province were analyzed.The results showed that: 1) The all-year drought days accounted for 28.7%.The occurrence frequency of light,medium,serious and extreme drought decreased in turn;2) The seasonal variations of the drought course index(DCI) were mainly influenced by precipitation;it showed distinct characteristics of wet season and dry season.3) Both of drought days and DCI increased from 1962 to 2006,which implied that the frequency and severity of drought were rising.4) Both DCI and drought days spatially varied with latitude,which was higher in the South and lower in the North.The DCI and drought days in Lianshan were the lowest in Guangdong,while they were higher in the Leizhou Peninsula and the southeast coast of the Province.5) The DCI in the spring and autumn spatially varied with latitude contrarily.The spring drought was more serious in the South,while the autumn drought was more serious in the North.6) The DCI in autumn was higher than in spring,which implied that the autumn drought was more serious than spring drought in Guangdong province.This study provided references for response to the climate change,exploitation and utilizing of climate resources and planting zoning adjustment.

Key words: Soil moisture balance model, Soil moisture balance model, Soil available water content(AWC), Drought course index(DCI)