中国农业气象

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长沙市冷暖冬气候特征及其成因分析

廖春花;禹伟;黄志萍;马晶昊;王琪;   

  1. 湖南省气象局;
  • 出版日期:2009-06-10 发布日期:2009-06-10

Analysis of Climate Characteristics and Causes of Cold and Warm Winter in Changsha

LIAO Chun-hua,YU Wei,HUANG Zhi-ping,MA Jing-hao,WANG Qi(Hunan Meteorological Bureau,Changsha 410007,China)   

  • Online:2009-06-10 Published:2009-06-10

摘要: 为了减少暖冬对农业生产的不利影响,更有效地利用冬季气候资源,采用统计诊断学的方法对长沙站1971-2007年的气象资料进行分析。结果表明,从20世纪90年代开始,长沙市冬季气温的上升趋势明显增强,暖冬的出现越来越频繁;冬季平均最低气温的显著升高减少了冻害,改变了种植布局,但是极端最低气温的变异性仍然较大,在遇到强降温或寒潮时要采取防冻措施;近6a的1月份平均气温已接近70年代2月份的平均气温,这有利于反错季节蔬菜等喜温作物的生产。暖冬年常伴着干冬,因此,播种时要进行积极有效的杀虫处理和及时灌溉,以保持土壤墒情;暖冬年的次年3、4月的气温往往偏高,为早稻和棉花的播种提供了有利条件。最后,分析发现某些冬季环流特征指数对于是否出现暖冬有一定的指示作用。

关键词: 长沙, 冷暖冬, 气候特征, 冬季环流特征指数

Abstract: Based on the meteorological data in Changsha from 1971 to 2007,the climate resources in winter were statistically analyzed,to analyze the adverse impacts of winter warming up on agricultural production and make use of winter climate resources. The results showed that the winter temperature increased significantly and the appearances of warming winter was more and more frequent since 1990s. The obvious increase of the average minimum temperature in winter led to decrease of the frost damage and change of the cropping layout,but the variability of the extreme minimum temperature was still great. The anti-freezing measures were needed in the face of strong cooling or cold wave. The average temperature of January in the recent six years was close to that of February in 1970s,which was propitious to the yield of out-of-season vegetables and other crops. Generally warmer winter was also dry,so effective insecticide treatments and timely irrigation should be carried out during seeding for the maintenance of the soil moisture. In the following year of warm winter,the temperature of March and April was often higher than that of the conventional year,which provided favorable conditions for the seeding of early rice and cotton. Finally,it also revealed that some characteristic indexes of the winter circulation could be as indicators in determining the occurrence of a warm winter.

Key words: Changsha, Changsha, Cold and warm winter, Climate characteristics, Index of winter atmospheric circulation feature