中国农业气象

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巴彦淖尔市40年降雹气候特征分析

郭玉凤;卢淑贤;程惠艳;吕娜;王敏;陈晓平;   

  1. 内蒙古巴彦淖尔市气象局;山西省气象科学研究所;山西省寿阳气象局;
  • 出版日期:2009-06-10 发布日期:2009-06-10
  • 基金资助:
    内蒙古气象局科技创新项目“内蒙古中部地区典型天气系统人工增雨概念模型的研究”(nmqxkjcx200810)

Analysis of Climatic Characteristics for Hail Shooting over last 40 years in Bayannor

GUO Yu-feng1,Lu Shu-xian2,CHENG Hui-yan3,L Na1,WANG Min1,CHEN Xiao-ping1(1. Meteorological Bureau of Bayannor,Linhe 015000,China; 2. Institute of Shanxi Meteorological Sciences,Taiyuan 030002;3. Meteorological Bureau of Shouyang,Shouyang 045400)   

  • Online:2009-06-10 Published:2009-06-10

摘要: 为提高巴彦淖尔市冰雹预报准确率,利用当地1961-2000年的降雹资料和2004-2008年的713雷达资料,采用数理统计、图表分析等方法,研究降雹的空间分布特征和时间演变规律;采用逐步聚类法对年降雹等级进行划分。结果得出:降雹一般出现在4-9月,主要集中在6月中旬-8月下旬,占总降雹日数68.6%;年降雹日数与灾雹日数存在线性相关;20世纪60年代、90年代降雹次数较少,80年代明显偏多;70年代末-80年代中期均为1级重灾年,90年代后基本为2级中等成灾年或3级轻灾年。研究结果可为巴彦淖尔市深入、有效开展防雹作业提供依据。

关键词: 巴彦淖尔市, 冰雹云移动路径, 降雹气候特征, 降雹成灾等级, 逐步聚类

Abstract: Based on the data of hail shooting from 1961 to 2000 in Bayannor and the data of the 713 radar from 2004 to 2008,the characteristic of the spatial and temporal distribution of the hail shooting was analyzed by the methods of mathematic statistics and chart analysis. The different grades of annual hail shooting were defined by the gradual cluster. The results showed that the hail shooting was during the period of April to September,mainly concentrated from the second ten days of June to the last ten days of August,which took 68.6% of the total hail shooting days. There was a linear correlation between annual hail shooting days and disaster days caused by the hail shooting. The hail shooting's frequency in 1960s and 1990s was lower than that in 1980s. The years from the end of 1970s to the mid of 1980s were severe hail disaster years at the first grade. The years of the late 1990s were mid-severe hail disaster years at the second grade,or light-severe hail disaster years at the third grade. The research results provided the references for the hail disaster forecast and prevention.

Key words: Bayannor, Bayannor, Locomotive route of hail cloud, Climatic characteristics of hail, Grades of hail shooting disaster, Gradual cluster