中国农业气象 ›› 2023, Vol. 44 ›› Issue (08): 735-749.doi: 10.3969/j.issn.1000-6362.2023.08.008

• 农业气象概念方法 栏目 • 上一篇    下一篇

中国农业气象观测业务的发展及未来展望

张全军,宏观,吴东丽,侯英雨,庄立伟,朱永超,杨大生,刘聪,石耀辉,侯飙,张静,令聪婧,李雁   

  1. 1.中国气象局气象探测中心,北京 100081;2.国家气象中心,北京 100081;3.北京市气象探测中心,北京 100176;4.黑龙江省气象数据中心,哈尔滨 150030;5.中国气象科学研究院,北京 100081
  • 收稿日期:2022-10-10 出版日期:2023-08-20 发布日期:2023-08-14
  • 通讯作者: 宏观,高级工程师,主要从事农业气象观测与业务管理方向研究。 E-mail:hongguan@cma.gov.cn
  • 作者简介:张全军,E-mail:zhangqj@cma.gov.cn
  • 基金资助:
    国家重点研发计划(2022YFC3090602);中国气象局创新发展专项(CXFZ2023J069)“基于大数据云平台的农业气象观测质量控制和评估技术研制”;中国气象局气象探测中心生态环境观测技术创新团队项目

Development Status, Problems and Prospects of Agrometeorological Observation Operation in China

ZHANG Quan-jun, HONG Guan, WU Dong-li, HOU Ying-yu, ZHUANG Li-wei, ZHU Yong-chao, YANG Da-sheng, LIU Cong, SHI Yao-hui, HOU Biao, ZHANG Jing, LING Cong-jing,LI Yan   

  1. 1. China Meteorologicl Adiministration Meteorological Observation Centre, Beijing 100081, China; 2. National Meteorological Center, Beijing 100081; 3. Beijing Meteorological Observation Center, Beijing 100176; 4. Heilongjiang Meteorological Data Center, Harbin 150030;5.Chinese Academy of Meteorological Sciences, Beijing 100081
  • Received:2022-10-10 Online:2023-08-20 Published:2023-08-14

摘要: 农业气象观测是农业现代化发展的重要基石。本研究全面梳理了中国农业气象观测发展历程、业务服务现状和存在的问题,探讨了未来中国农业气象观测业务服务的发展趋势,以期为护航现代化农业可持续发展和国家粮食安全提供参考。中国农业气象观测业务发展大致经历了理论探索、机构组建、试点建设、形成规模、优化调整和稳定快速发展六个阶段。目前全国已经建立了以653个农业气象观测站(含70个农业气象试验站)为基础的观测站网体系,开展作物、土壤水分、自然物候、畜牧、果树、林木、蔬菜和农业小气候等的观测与研究;在观测业务发展的基础上,构建了结构科学、功能先进的国家、省、市、县四级农业气象业务服务体系,全国农业气象监测评价、作物产量预报、农业气象灾害监测评估与影响预报、农用天气预报、农林病虫害发生发展气象等级预报、农田墒情、抗旱救灾及生态气象监测与预测预报等的业务服务技术已较为成熟,服务成效显著。随着全国农业产业布局优化、种植结构和种植方式调整,以及自动观测技术和设备的迅猛发展,农业气象观测业务服务逐渐显现出观测站网布局不够合理、观测规范不能满足需求、观测技术和观测设备自动化不足、业务服务精细化多元化程度不够等问题。从对农业气象观测业务发展战略部署、农业气象观测高质量发展目标以及现代农业发展对农业气象服务需求的角度来看,未来中国农业气象观测业务需形成观测站网布局和观测任务科学合理、业务质量管理体系健全、现代化观测体系完善、业务服务多元精细,以及与国际接轨的现代化农业气象观测业务服务体系。

关键词: 农业气象观测, 农业气象服务, 发展历程, 展望

Abstract: Agrometeorological observation is an important cornerstone of agricultural modernization development. This study comprehensively sorted out the development process, business status and existing problems of agricultural meteorological observation in China, and discussed the development prospects of agrometeorological observation in the future, in order to provide a reference for escorting the sustainable development of modern agriculture and national food security. The development of China's agrometeorological observation operation has roughly experienced six stages: theoretical exploration, organization establishment, pilots construction, scale formation, optimization and adjustment, and stable and rapid development. At present, China has established a network of observation stations based on 653 agrometeorological observation stations (including 70 agrometeorological experimental stations) to carry out observation and research on crops, soil moisture, natural phenology, animal husbandry, fruit trees, trees, vegetables and agricultural microclimate. Based on the development of observation business, a national, provincial, municipal and county agrometeorological operational service system with scientific structure and advanced functions has been established. The national agrometeorological monitoring and evaluation, crop yield forecast, agrometeorological disaster monitoring and evaluation and impact forecast, agricultural weather forecast, meteorological grade forecast of occurrence and development of agricultural and forestry diseases and insect pests, agricultural soil moisture, drought relief, and ecological meteorological monitoring and prediction have been relatively mature and service results remarkable. In the past ten years, China's agricultural industry layout, planting structure and planting methods have undergone tremendous changes, and automatic observation technique such as automatic crop meteorological observation and automatic phenology observation have also developed rapidly. The agrometeorological observation operation also gradually shows a series of questions, such as the layout of the network of observation station and the observation tasks needs to be adjusted and optimized, the observation specifications need to be revised and supplemented, the modern technology and automatic observation equipment need to speed up the application and the operational service capacity needs to be improved and strengthened. From the perspective of the strategic deployment of the Party Central Committee of the CPC, the State Council and the China Meteorological Administration for the development of agrometeorological observation operation, the goal of high-quality development of agrometeorological observation, and the demand of modern agricultural development for agrometeorological operation, the future agrometeorological observation operation in China will gradually form a network of observation stations with reasonable layout, perfect specifications, advanced technical equipment, diversified and sophisticated service products, a modern agrometeorological observation and operational service system that can be in line with international standards.

Key words: Agrometeorological observation, Agrometeorological service, Development history, Prospect