中国农业气象 ›› 2013, Vol. 34 ›› Issue (04): 468-473.doi: 10.3969/j.issn.1000-6362.2013.04.014

• 论文 • 上一篇    下一篇

福建枇杷低温害临界温度和综合气候指标

杨凯,林晶,陈惠,王加义,陈彬彬,马治国   

  1. 福建省气象科学研究所,福州350001
  • 收稿日期:2012-12-14 出版日期:2013-08-20 发布日期:2014-01-03
  • 作者简介:杨凯(1979-),福建泰宁人,硕士生,工程师,主要从事农业气象和气候变化研究。Email:yangkai_1998@163.com
  • 基金资助:

    福建省科技厅农业科技重点项目(2009N0030);公益性行业(气象)科研专项(GYHY201106024);福建省自然科学基金项目(2012J01161)

Critical Temperature and Integrated Climatic Index of Low Temperature Injury for Loquat in Fujian Province

YANG Kai,LIN Jing,CHEN Hui,WANG Jia yi,CHEN Bin bin,MA Zhi guo   

  1. Institute of Meteorological Sciences of Fujian Province, Fuzhou 350001, China
  • Received:2012-12-14 Online:2013-08-20 Published:2014-01-03

摘要: 根据山区实际观测气温资料和枇杷相应低温受害减产情况调查结果,确定福建枇杷低温受害减产的临界温度为-1.0℃(百叶箱内),并通过对比枇杷主产区所在乡镇自动气象站与市(县)气象观测站的温度资料,进一步确定枇杷低温害的实际临界温度为3.0℃。在此基础上,根据福建省1992-2009年冬季逐日气象资料和枇杷相对气象产量,确定枇杷低温害致灾因子为极端最低气温、≤3.0℃低温害温度累积值、≤3.0℃低温日数之和以及≤3.0℃低温害最大持续日数。利用主成分分析对4个致灾因子进行综合简化,得到枇杷低温害评价的综合气候指标,结合相对气象产量确定指标分级。通过对莆田市资料进行试算,低温害综合气候指标与枇杷相对气象产量间呈显著负相关关系(P<0.05),研究结果对评价福建省枇杷低温受害程度具有实际参考价值。

关键词: 枇杷, 低温害, 临界温度, 相对气象产量, 综合气候指标

Abstract: According to actual observation data of temperature in mountain area and the investigation results of loquat yield reduction caused by the low temperature injury in Fujian province, the critical temperature of loquat yield reduction caused by the low temperature injury was determined as 1.0℃(inside thermometer screen), and then by comparing the temperature data of township automatic weather station and city county meteorological station, the actual critical temperature of low temperature injury was determined as 3.0℃.According to the daily climatic data of winter from 1992 to 2009 and relative meteorological yield of loquat in Fujian, the disaster inducing factors for low temperature injury of loquat was determined, the factors included extreme minimum temperature, the sum of daily numbers for ≤3.0℃, the maximum sustained days of low temperature injury for ≤3.0℃, and the accumulated temperature for ≤3.0℃. By using the method of principal component analysis to simplify comprehensively four disaster inducing factors, the integrated climatic index of low temperature injury evaluation of loquat was obtained, and the index classification was determined by combining relative meteorological yield with the index. The trial calculation in Putian showed that the integrated climatic index of low temperature injury was significantly negatively correlated with the relative meteorological yield of loquat(P<0.05). The results had practical reference value for evaluation low temperature injury degree of loquat in Fujian province.

Key words:  Loquat, Low temperature injury, Critical temperature, Relative meteorological yield, Integrated climatic index