关键词: 作物模型, 产量预报, 动力模型, 研究进展

Abstract: The development processes of yield forecasting methods and crop growth simulation models were introduced firstly,as well as the current applications status of main yield forecasting methods.It is prospected that applications of crop simulation models in yield forecasting would be an inevitable trend.Yield forecasting by crop simulation models is based on mechanisms of crop growth and development,and is a dynamic forecasting method.Its applications in food crops and other economic crops have obtained relatively good results.However,the operational dynamic model of yield forecasting based on crop simulation model still needs to be established,and this would become the main direction for yield forecasting.

Key words: Crop simulation model, Yield forecasting, Dynamic model, Research progress