Chinese Journal of Agrometeorology ›› 2009, Vol. 30 ›› Issue (S1): 140-143.

• 论文 • Previous Articles     Next Articles

Research Progresses in Yield Forecasting Method Based on Crop Growth Simulation Model in China

HUANG Wan-hua1,4,XUE Chang-ying2,LI Zhong-hui3,YANG Xiao-guang4(1.Institute of Meteorological Sciences of Hunan Province,Changsha 410007,China;2.Institute of Meteorological Sciences of Henan Province,Zhengzhou 450003;3.Institute of Meteorological Sciences of Jiangxi Province,Nanchang 330046; 4.College of Resources and Environment,China Agricultural University,Beijing 100193)   

  • Online:2009-12-15 Published:2009-12-15

Abstract: The development processes of yield forecasting methods and crop growth simulation models were introduced firstly,as well as the current applications status of main yield forecasting methods.It is prospected that applications of crop simulation models in yield forecasting would be an inevitable trend.Yield forecasting by crop simulation models is based on mechanisms of crop growth and development,and is a dynamic forecasting method.Its applications in food crops and other economic crops have obtained relatively good results.However,the operational dynamic model of yield forecasting based on crop simulation model still needs to be established,and this would become the main direction for yield forecasting.

Key words: Crop simulation model, Yield forecasting, Dynamic model, Research progress