中国农业气象 ›› 2026, Vol. 47 ›› Issue (2): 169-179.doi: 10.3969/j.issn.1000-6362.2026.02.001

• 高标准农田智慧气象监测与应用专刊 •    下一篇

CLDAS土壤相对湿度产品在河南土壤水分监测的分区检验

张弘,郭康军,姬兴杰   

  1. 中国气象局·河南省农业气象保障与应用技术重点开放实验室/河南省气象科学研究所,郑州 450003
  • 收稿日期:2024-12-27 出版日期:2026-02-20 发布日期:2026-02-10
  • 作者简介:张弘,E-mail:guba82@126.com
  • 基金资助:
    河南省科技研发计划联合基金项目(242103810101);中国气象局/农业农村部烤烟气象服务中心开放式研究基金项目(KYZX2023−04);中国气象局农业气象保障与应用技术重点开放实验室开放研究基金项目(AMF202401);中国气象局农业气象保障与应用技术重点实验室应用技术研究基金项目(KM202324)

Regional Verification of CLDAS Relative Soil Moisture Product for Soil Moisture Monitoring in Henan Province

ZHANG Hong, GUO Kang-jun, JI Xing-jie   

  1. Henan Provincial Key Laboratory of Agrometeorological Safeguard and Applied Technique, China Meteorological Administration/ Henan Institute of Meteorological Sciences, Zhengzhou 450003, China
  • Received:2024-12-27 Online:2026-02-20 Published:2026-02-10

摘要:

为获取高精度、高时效、高分辨率的土壤相对湿度监测产品,基于20222024311中国气象局陆面数据同化系统(CLDAS)逐日土壤相对湿度产品、河南309个自动土壤水分观测站逐小时土壤相对湿度资料,采用相关系数、均方根误差和偏差作为评估指标,从站点和区域月尺度,分区检验河南6个农业生产生态类型区0−10cm020cm050cmCLDAS土壤相对湿度产品。采用回归订正方法构建3个层次CLDAS土壤相对湿度分区订正模型,通过对比订正前后的均方根误差和偏差,对分区订正模型进行检验评估。结果表明:20222024311月河南CLDAS土壤相对湿度模拟值与观测值具有较好的一致性。站点尺度上,010cm020cmCLDAS模拟值与观测值较为接近,050cm层模拟值普遍小于观测值,各层次CLDAS模拟值与观测值的相关系数普遍大于0.50,均方根误差普遍小于30个百分点。区域尺度上,010cmCLDAS模拟值与观测值相关系数在0.830.91,以豫西南、豫南最高;均方根误差在5.729.00个百分点豫东最小偏差在6.205.54个百分点以豫东偏差绝对值最小。020cmCLDAS模拟值与观测值相关系数在0.850.92,以豫东最高;均方根误差在4.139.07个百分点豫东最小偏差在6.364.74个百分点以豫西偏差绝对值最小;0−50cmCLDAS模拟值与观测值相关系数在0.800.91以豫东最高;均方根误差在4.6812.51个百分点最小偏差在11.051.39个百分点以豫北偏差绝对值最小。区域月尺度上,CLDAS模拟值与观测值整体月相关性较好,大部区域510月相关系数超过0.70;均方根误差普遍小于15个百分点,豫西和豫东各个层次均方根误差均较小。经分区订正后,CLDAS模拟值与观测值的均方根误差降至3.477.25个百分点,下降幅度在0.047.20个百分点,偏差降至0.040.02个百分点,下降幅度在0.4511.42个百分点,且豫北、豫东和豫中南订正模型泛化能力较好。综合来看,CLDAS土壤相对湿度产品在豫北、豫西和豫东模拟精度较高,时间上在510月模拟精度较高,分区订正后进一步提高了CLDAS土壤相对湿度的模拟精度,可为农业旱涝监测评估和预报预警提供重要支撑。

关键词: CLDAS, 土壤相对湿度, 自动土壤水分观测站, 农业生产生态类型区, 精度评估, 时空对比

Abstract:

To develop highprecision, hightimeliness and highresolution relative soil moisture products, based on the daily relative soil moisture product from the China Meteorological Administration Land Data Assimilation System (CLDAS) and hourly relative soil moisture data from 309 automatic soil moisture observation stations in Henan from March to November during 20222024, the CLDAS relative soil moisture products for the 010cm, 020cm and 050cm layers in six agroecological zones of Henan were evaluated by using correlation coefficient, root mean square errorRMSE, and bias at the site, regional and regional monthly scales. Regional correction models of three layers were developed by regressionbased correction, and the models were validated through a comparative analysis of RMSE and the bias before and after correction. The results showed that the CLDAS simulated values of relative soil moisture in Henan were consistent with the observed values from March to November during 20222024. At the site scale, the CLDAS simulated values of relative soil moisture at depths of 010cm and 020cm were close to the observed values, while the CLDAS simulated values of relative soil moisture at a depth of 050cm were smaller than the observed values. At three depths, the correlation coefficient between the CLDAS simulated and observed values was generally greater than 0.50, with the RMSE below 30pp. At the regional scale, the correlation coefficient between the CLDAS simulated and observed values at a depth of 010cm ranged from 0.83 to 0.91, with the highest values in southwestern and southern Henan; the RMSE ranged from 5.72pp to 9.00pp, with the smallest value in eastern Henan; and the bias ranged from −6.20pp to 5.54pp, with the smallest absolute value of bias in eastern Henan. The correlation coefficient between the CLDAS simulated and observed values at a depth of 020cm ranged from 0.85 to 0.92, with the highest value in eastern Henan; the RMSE ranged from 4.13pp to 9.07pp, with the smallest value in eastern Henan; and the bias ranged from −6.36pp to 4.74pp, with the smallest absolute value of bias in western Henan. The correlation coefficient between the CLDAS simulated and observed values at a depth of 050 cm ranged from 0.80 to 0.91, with the highest value in eastern Henan; the RMSE ranged from 4.68pp to 12.51pp, with the smallest value in northern Henan; and the bias ranged from −11.05pp to 1.39pp, with the smallest absolute value of bias in northern Henan. At the regional monthly scale, the overall monthly correlation between the CLDAS simulated and observed values was good, with correlation coefficient exceeding 0.70 in most areas from May to October. The RMSE was generally less than 15%, with the smallest values in western and eastern Henan at three depths. After regional correction, the RMSE between the CLDAS simulated and observed values decreased to 3.47−7.25pp, with a reduction range of 0.04−7.20pp; and the bias decreased to −0.04−0.02pp, with a reduction range of 0.45−11.42pp. Additionally, the correction models for northern, eastern, and central−southern Henan demonstrated good generalization capabilities. Overall, the CLDAS relative soil moisture product has high simulation accuracy in northern, western, and eastern Henan, with higher simulation accuracy from May to October. After regional correction, the simulation accuracy of CLDAS relative soil moisture was further improved, providing important support for agricultural drought and flood monitoring, assessment, and early warning.

Key words: CLDAS, Relative soil moisture, Automatic soil moisture observation station, Agro?ecological zone, Precision assessment, Spatiotemporal comparison