中国农业气象 ›› 2026, Vol. 47 ›› Issue (2): 320-324.doi: 10.3969/j.issn.1000-6362.2026.02.013

• 农业气象情报/速报栏目 • 上一篇    

2025年秋收作物生长季农业气象条件评价

刘维,宋迎波,赵晓凤,赵运成   

  1. 国家气象中心,北京100081
  • 收稿日期:2025-12-16 出版日期:2026-02-20 发布日期:2026-02-10
  • 作者简介:刘维,高级工程师,研究方向为作物产量预报,E-mail:rainvswindvs@163.com
  • 基金资助:
    国家重点研发计划(2022YFD2300200);中国气象局创新发展专项(CXFZ2024J053);中国气象局农业气象重点创新团队(CMA2024ZD02);国家气象中心作物产量精细化预报团队

Report on Growing Season Agrometeorological Conditions of Autumn Harvest Crops in 2025

LIU Wei, SONG Ying-bo, ZHAO Xiao-feng, ZHAO Yun-cheng   

  1. National Meteorological Center, Beijing 100081, China
  • Received:2025-12-16 Online:2026-02-20 Published:2026-02-10

摘要:

基于全国2467个气象台站、653个农业气象观测站实时和历史同期观测资料,利用农业气象评价指标、作物气候适宜度评估模型和主要农业气象灾害指数,综合评价2025年玉米、一季稻、晚稻、大豆和棉花等主要秋收作物关键生育期农业气象条件、农业气象灾害对产量的影响。结果表明:2025年秋收作物生长季内大部农区水热适宜,低温冷害等影响偏轻,阶段性农业干旱和高温热害影响有限;但秋收季连阴雨天气过程极端性强,对秋收及部分地区秋粮品质产生较大影响。东北地区56月上旬低温湿涝,影响作物生育进程;西北、华北、黄淮等部分地区出现阶段性高温干旱,影响春播和夏种;长江中下游大部盛夏持续高温,制约秋粮产量提高。

关键词: 秋收作物, 气象条件评价, 气候适宜度, 干旱, 秋收连阴雨

Abstract: According to the observed meteorological data in 2025 and the historical data from 2467 meteorological stations and 653 argometeorological stations in China, the agrometeorological evaluation index, the climate suitability models and agrometeorological disaster index model were used to evaluate the agrometeorological effects on yield of major autumn harvest crops, such as corn, single rice, later rice, soybean and cotton. The results showed that the water conditions and thermal conditions were sufficient for the growth and development of crops during the growing season. The effects of chilling during the main growing season was mild. The effects of periodic agricultural drought and high temperature heat damage were limited. However, the continuous rains in autumn were particularly extreme, adversely affecting the autumn harvest and the quality of autumn grain in northern China. In northeast China, there was continuous low temperature and waterlogging from May to early June severely affected the growing process of crops. Spring sowing and summer planting were affected by periodic agricultural drought and heat injury in northwest China, north China and the Huanghuai region. In Yangtze basin during summer, high temperatures persisted for a long time and heat damage to individual plants limits yields.

Key words: Autumn harvest crops, Meteorological evaluation, Climatic suitability, Agricultural drought, Continuous rainy in autumn