中国农业气象

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内蒙古赤峰地区气候变暖及其影响

尤莉;程玉琴;郭瑞清;李俊有;丁晓华;   

  1. 内蒙古气候中心,内蒙古赤峰市气象台,内蒙古气象信息中心,内蒙古赤峰市气象台,内蒙古气候中心 呼和浩特010051,呼和浩特010051
  • 出版日期:2008-04-10 发布日期:2008-04-10
  • 基金资助:
    北京区域气象中心科技创新基金项目(BRMCCX200609);; 中科院东亚区域气候—环境重点试验室开放课题;; 国家自然科学基金(40775948)

Climate Warming and its Impacts in Chifeng

YOU Li1,CHENG Yu-qin2,GUO Rui-qing3,LI Jun-you2,DING Xiao-hua1(1.Climate Center of Inner Mongolia,Huhhot 010051 China;2.Observatory of Chifeng City;3.Meteorological Information Center of Inner Mongolia)   

  • Online:2008-04-10 Published:2008-04-10

摘要: 利用赤峰地区1951-2006年的气温、降水、沙尘暴等资料,分析了赤峰地区近50 a来的气候变化趋势,探讨了气候变暖带来的影响。结果表明:赤峰地区20世纪80年代以来气候变暖已成事实,1987年是气候变暖的突变时间点。气候变暖后,低温日数明显减少;无霜期延长,积温增加;旱涝和降水异常天气现象发生的概率增大;大风和沙尘暴发生概率减少。分析认为:气候变暖对赤峰地区农业的影响是利大于弊,而对生态环境的影响则是弊多利少。

关键词: 气候变暖, 极端气候事件, 农业影响, 生态环境

Abstract: Based on the data of the surface air temperature,precipitation and sand-dust storm from 1951 to 2006 in Chifeng,the trend of the climate variation in Chifeng during the last 50 years was analysed and the impacts of the climate warming was studied.The result showed that the climate warming had been observed since 1980s in Chifeng.It was the key year of the climate sudden change in 1987.The days with low surface air temperature were obviously less than before.The frostless season prolonged.The accumulated surface air temperature increased.The probability of the extreme weather events,such as the drought or flood and precipitation anomalies increased.The probability of strong wind and sand-dust storm decreased.It was concluded that the impacts of the climate warming on agriculture were more advantageous than disadvantageous,but contrarily on ecological systems.

Key words: Climate warming, Climate warming, Extreme weather events, Impacts on agriculture, Ecological system