中国农业气象

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河南省粮食单产变化的小波分析

朱业玉;罗楠;杜彩月;王记芳;   

  1. 河南省气候中心,许昌市气象局,许昌市气象局,河南省气候中心 郑州450003,许昌市气象局,郑州450003
  • 出版日期:2008-04-10 发布日期:2008-04-10
  • 基金资助:
    河南气象科技计划项目"河南气候变化评估研究(Z200402)

Wavelet Analysis of Grain Crop Yield per Unit Area in Henan Province

ZHU Ye-yu1,2,LUO Nan2,DU Cai-yue2,WANG Ji-fang1(1.Climate Center of Henan Province,Zhengzhou 450003,China;2.Xuchang Meteorological Bureau)   

  • Online:2008-04-10 Published:2008-04-10

摘要: 利用1951-2004年河南粮食单产资料和小波分析的方法探讨了气候产量的多时间尺度变化特征。得出:河南省粮食单产总体呈增加趋势,但气候单产的振荡加剧,气候单产的变化周期与河南历史旱涝的演变大体一致,存在2~4 a和20 a左右的周期变化特征,其中以2 a的变化特征为主。

关键词: 粮食单产, 气候单产, 旱涝灾害, 小波分析

Abstract: Based on the data of the grain crop yields per unit area from 1951 to 2004 in Henan Province,the change characteristic of the climate yields at multi-time scale was analyzed by using the wavelet analysis method.The results indicated that the grain crop yield per unit area showed an increasing tendency generally,but the fluctuation of the climate yield per unit area enlarged.The change period of the climate yield per unit area was roughly consistent with the historic drought and flood evolvement in Henan Province.The change of the climate yield per unit area showed two to four years and 20 years periods,but dominated by a two years period.

Key words: Grain crop yield per unit area, Grain crop yield per unit area, Climate yield per unit area, Drought and flood disaster, Wavelet analysis