中国农业气象

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玉米产量与生态气候因子的关系

马雅丽;王志伟;栾青;胡良温;张爱芝;   

  1. 山西省气候中心;山西省气象科学研究所;
  • 出版日期:2009-08-10 发布日期:2009-08-10
  • 基金资助:
    山西省科技攻关项目“气候变暖对山西农业生态安全的影响”(2007031106-1)

Relation Between Maize Yield and Eco-climate Factors

MA Ya-li1,WANG Zhi-wei1,LUAN Qing1,HU Liang-wen2,ZHANG Ai-zhi1(1.Shanxi Climate Center,Taiyuan 030002,China;2.Shanxi Provincial Meteorological Institute,Taiyuan 030002)   

  • Online:2009-08-10 Published:2009-08-10

摘要: 采用多元积分回归的方法,对山西省1971-2000年玉米产量与生态气候因子的关系进行分析研究。结果表明:气温和降水对玉米产量的影响大,日照影响小,北部影响大,中南部影响小。春玉米播种期和苗期降水影响大多为正效应,拔节-抽雄期气温和降水影响为显著正效应,日照时数在全生育期普遍偏多,影响多为负效应,光能资源丰富,光能利用潜力大。夏玉米拔节-开花期气温影响为显著负效应,运城地区降水在拔节-成熟期为负效应,尤其成熟期阴雨天气对产量影响较大。研究结果揭示了山西生态气候因子对玉米不同生长阶段的正负效应及影响程度,为山西玉米生产充分利用生态气候资源,趋利避害、优产高产提供一定的理论依据和决策参考。

关键词: 玉米产量, 生态气候因子, 积分回归

Abstract: By using the integral regression analysis method,the relationship between maize yield and eco-climate factors during 1971 and 2000 in Shanxi Province was analyzed.The result showed that the impacts of temperature and precipitation on maize yield per unit were bigger than that of the sunshine,while the eco-climate had bigger impacts on maize yields in the North Shanxi Province than that in the Middle and South Shanxi Province.For the spring maize,the precipitation had positive impacts on maize yields during seeding period,while the temperature and precipitation had positive impacts on maize yields during jointing and heading stage.The sunshine hours were more than maize needs,and had negative impacts on maize yields in the whole stage of maize.The abundand radiation resource showed a great potential for solar energy utilization of maize production in Shanxi Province.For summer maize,the temperature had negative impacts on maize yields during heading and flowering stage,while the precipitation had negative impacts on maize yields in Yuncheng during jointing and ripening stage,especially cloudy and rainy weather in ripening stage.The study revealed that the impact of ecological climatic factors on maize growing in the different growth stages,and could provide scientific references for making full use of eco-climatic resources in Shanxi Province.

Key words: Maize yield, Maize yield, Eco-climate factors, Integral regression