中国农业气象 ›› 2009, Vol. 30 ›› Issue (S1): 6-9.

• 论文 • 上一篇    下一篇

气候变化适应性措施的综合效应——以吉林省玉米生产为例

杜开阳;施生锦;郑大玮;   

  1. 中国农业大学资源与环境学院;
  • 出版日期:2009-12-15 发布日期:2009-12-15

Comprehensive Impacts of Adaptation Measures to Climate Change——Based on Maize Production in Jilin Province

DU Kai-yang,SHI Sheng-jin,ZHENG Da-wei(College of Resources and Environmental Science,China Agricultural University,Beijing 100193,China)   

  • Online:2009-12-15 Published:2009-12-15

摘要: 20世纪80年代以来,气候变暖对东北地区农业产生了深刻的影响,一方面气候变暖使作物生长季热量资源增加、有利于粮食增产。另一方面,人为应对气候变化的适应性对策不但充分利用了热量资源,还使有效积温增加、作物增产。本文以吉林玉米生产为例,首先分析了1976-2005年近30a气候变暖条件下吉林省作物生育期热量的增加趋势,然后从地膜栽培、机械播种、合理施肥三项适应性对策进行分析,将各种措施的增温或缩短生育期效应换算为积温。结果表明人为适应性措施在粮食增产方面的贡献较大。本文以应对气候变化适应性对策等人为措施增热效应为研究对象,可以更客观更科学地评价气候变化与科学技术进步对农业发展的影响,有利于进一步发掘农业生产潜力。

关键词: 气候变暖, 积温, 适应对策, 综合效应

Abstract: Since 1980s,climate change has great impacted agriculture production in northeast China.On the one hand,more heat resources in crop growing season increased the grain yields;on the other hand,human adaptation measures to climate change not only make full use of heat resources,but also increase the effective accumulated temperature and promote the crop production.Taking maize in Jilin Province as an example,the increase trend in heat during crop growth period in Jilin under the condition of climatic warming in recent 30 years from 1976 to 2005 were analyzed.Three adaptation measures,including film-mulching cultivation,mechanical sowing,rational fertilization were studied,and various measures of the effect of improving temperature and shorten growth period were equated into accumulated temperature.The results showed that human adaptation measures made great contribution on grain yield increasing.Taking the man-made thermal effects to climate change as object,it showed that more objective and scientific to assess the impacts of climate change and scientific-technological progress on the agricultural development,as well as to further develop the potential of agricultural production.

Key words: Climate warming, Accumulated temperature, Adaptation measures, Comprehensive effect