中国农业气象

• 论文 • 上一篇    下一篇

贵州高原寒潮灾害的气候特征分析

张艳梅;张普宇;顾欣;钟静;刘书华;   

  1. 贵州省六盘水市气象局;贵州省黔东南州气象局;
  • 出版日期:2010-02-10 发布日期:2010-02-10
  • 基金资助:
    贵州省气象局2008年开放型基金(黔气科合KL[2008]07号);; 贵州省科学技术基金(黔科合J字〔2009〕2043号)

Analysis of Climatic Characteristics of Cold Wave in Guizhou Plateau

ZHANG Yan-mei1,ZHANG Pu-yu1,GU Xin2,ZHONG jing1,LIU Shu-hua1 (1.Liupanshui Meteorological Bureau of Guizhou Province,Liupanshui 553001,China;2.Meteorological Bureau of Southeast Guizhou Province,Kaili 556000)   

  • Online:2010-02-10 Published:2010-02-10

摘要: 利用贵州19个国家基准站1961-2008年的逐日平均气温、最低气温资料,采用线性倾向估计、Mann-Ken-dall突变检验、Morlet小波分析等方法,分析了近48a贵州寒潮天气发生次数的时空分布及环流特征。结果表明:贵州高原寒潮活动各地差异显著,寒潮天气多发区位于威宁和独山,东北部边缘和西南部边缘寒潮天气出现较少;寒潮主要出现在1-4月;贵州地区近48a来寒潮频次呈下降趋势;贵州年寒潮频次在年代际尺度上存在准22a和准13a的周期振荡;M-K检验表明贵州寒潮次数突变特征不明显;在贵州寒潮活动偏多和偏少时期,其环流特征存在着显著的差异。

关键词: 贵州, 寒潮, 突变, 环流特征

Abstract: Based on the daily mean and minimum temperature data in Guizhou Plateau for the period from 1961 to 2008 at 19 observational stations,the temporal and spatial characteristics and circulation characteristics of cold wave occurrence in the recent 48 years were analyzed by using the methods of linear-trend estimate,Mann-Kendall catastorophe test and Morlet analysis.The results indicated that cold wave activities varied in different areas of Guizhou Plateau.They were frequent in Weining and Dushan and rare in the edge of the Northeastern and Southwestern province.Their occurrence was mainly from January to April and there had been a declining trend in the past 48 years.There were periodical variations of qusi-22 years and 13 years in the cold wave activities of Guizhou.M-K test indicated that the abrupt changes of the cold wave activities were not obvious.However,the difference of the circulation characteristics between the active years and quiet years was obvious in Guizhou Plateau.

Key words: Guizhou, Guizhou, Cold wave, Abrupt changes, Circulation characteristics