关键词: 深度学习, 农业干旱, 监测预测, 风险评估, 精度

Abstract: The development of artificial intelligence technology, especially the emergence of deep learning, has promoted new developments of agriculture, and is regarded as a new direction of modern agricultural production. Deep learning has the advantages of strong learning ability, wide coverage, strong adaptability, and great portability. Considering that its development of simulated datasets can solve real-world problems, it is more and more widely used in monitoring, forecasting and risk assessment of agricultural drought. This paper used the method of literature review to summarize the development and application of monitoring, forecasting and risk assessment of agricultural drought, and summarized the principles, advantages and disadvantages of the deep learning model. The practical applications of depth learning model in monitoring, prediction and risk assessment of agricultural drought were systematically summarized. The existing problems of large dataset requirements, long data preprocessing time, narrow predefined category range, and complex remote sensing images were discussed, and the future research directions were prospected. The results showed that in recent years, the technologies of monitoring, prediction and risk assessment of agricultural drought had made important progress. However, due to the nonlinearity of agricultural system and the complexity of disasters, existing technologies were still difficult to meet the needs of actual agricultural production in the new situation in terms of applicable regions, objects and accuracies. The deep learning technology provided a new means for agricultural drought research. However, the deep learning model could not accurately express the specific process and mechanism of crop growth, so coupling of crop growth model with deep learning model could ensure the interpretability of deep learning model. For correcting the prediction sequence, coupling models based on general circulation model and depth learning model could be established to further improve the prediction ability of deep learning model for medium and long-term agricultural drought. Aiming at the problem of limited disaster sample size, strengthening the research on agricultural drought monitoring and evaluation based on migration learning could further improve the precisions in fine monitoring and evaluation of agricultural drought. In view of the fact that the factors affecting agricultural drought formation was characterized by large amount of data, diverse types and nonlinearity, the method of combining deep learning and information fusion was adopted to further improve the accuracies in regional monitoring, prediction and risk assessment of agricultural drought. Therefore, the coupling of deep learning models and crop growth models, agricultural drought prediction by integrating deep learning models and general circulation models, fine monitoring and evaluation of agricultural drought based on deep learning and migration learning, regional monitoring, prediction and risk assessment of agricultural drought based on deep learning and information fusion were considered as the development trends of applicating deep learning technologies in monitoring, prediction and risk assessment of agricultural drought in the future.

Key words: Deep learning, Agricultural drought, Monitoring and prediction, Risk assessment, Accuracy