中国农业气象 ›› 2026, Vol. 47 ›› Issue (9): 1400-1410.doi: 10.3969/j.issn.1000-6362.2026.09.004

• 农业生态环境栏目 • 上一篇    下一篇

1961−2020年东北三省0cm地温与平均气温的时空变化特征

李新华,张蕾,时一文,黄英伟,陈雪,周莹   

  1. 1. 黑龙江省气象服务中心,哈尔滨 150030;2. 国家气象中心,北京 100081;3. 成都信息工程大学大气科学学院/高原大气与环境四川省重点实验室/成都平原城市气象与环境四川省野外科学观测研究站/四川省气象灾害预测预警工程实验室,成都 610225
  • 收稿日期:2025-06-27 出版日期:2026-09-20 发布日期:2026-09-17
  • 作者简介:李新华,E-mail:lixinhua_2016@163.com
  • 基金资助:
    中国气象局创新发展专项项目(CXFZ2026J059;CXFZ2024J051)

Spatial−temporal Variation Characteristics of 0cm Ground Temperature and Average Temperature in the Three Provinces of Northeast China from 1961 to 2020

LI Xin-hua, ZHANG Lei, SHI Yi-wen, HUANG Ying-wei, CHEN Xue, ZHOU Ying   

  1. 1. Heilongjiang Province Meteorological Service Center, Harbin 150030, China; 2. National Meteorological Center, Beijing 100081; 3. School of Atmospheric Science, Chengdu University of Information Technology/ Plateau Atmosphere and Environment Key Laboratory of Sichuan Province/Chengdu Plain Urban Meteorology and Environment Observation and Research Station of Sichuan Province/Sichuan Meteorological Disaster Prediction and Early Warning Engineering Laboratory, Chengdu 610225
  • Received:2025-06-27 Online:2026-09-20 Published:2026-09-17

摘要:

基于1961−2020年东北三省78个气象站逐日0cm地温和平均气温观测资料,采用趋势分析、相关性分析等方法,解析东北三省0cm地温和平均气温的时空变化特征,以期理解东北三省0cm地温和气温的时空变化特征,为气候变化背景下区域农业生产布局调整和气候资源高效利用提供参考。结果表明:1961−2020年东北三省0cm地温高值区较平均气温高值区分布偏北,1991−2020年0cm地温和平均气温较1961−1990年高温区北移;1961−2020年东北三省0cm地温和平均气温的增温速率分别为0.75℃·10a−1和0.30℃·10a−1(P<0.01),且1991−2020年0cm地温增温速率(1.30℃·10a−1)较1961−1990年(0.20℃·10a−1)偏高,而平均气温的增温速率(0.15℃·10a−1)则低于1961−1990年(0.27℃·10a−1)。1961−2020年东北三省0cm地温春、夏、秋和冬季的增温速率分别为0.56℃·10a−1、0.37℃·10a−1、0.49℃·10a−1和1.54℃·10a−1(P<0.01),其中1961−1990年增温趋势较小,1991−2020年增温趋势较大。1961−2020年东北三省平均气温春、夏、秋和冬季季节尺度的增温幅度分别为0.35℃·10a−1、0.21℃·10a−1、0.26℃·10a−1和0.41℃·10a−1(P<0.01),1991−2020年春、夏、秋增温幅度高于1961−1990年,冬季平均气温的增温幅度低于1961−1990年。1961−2020年东北三省年和春、夏、秋和冬季四季0cm地温和平均气温相关关系达极显著,相关系数分别为0.99、0.95、0.88、0.99和0.98。1961−2020年东北三省年和春、夏、秋和冬季季节尺度0cm地温和平均气温的差值分别为2.1℃、2.3℃、3.8℃、1.3℃和0.9℃;1991−2020年差值较1961−1990年增大,且夏季差值最大,其次为春季、秋季和冬季。

关键词: 0cm地温, 平均气温, 气候变化, 东北三省, 地气温差

Abstract:

Based on daily observations of 0cm ground temperature and average temperature from 78 meteorological stations in the three provinces of northeast China (Heilongjiang, Jilin and Liaoning) from 1961 to 2020, this study employed trend analysis and correlation analysis to analyze the spatial−temporal variation characteristics of 0cm ground temperature and average temperature in the region. The results showed that the high−value areas of 0cm ground temperature were distributed further north compared to that of average temperature from 1961 to 2020. From 1991 to 2020, high−temperature zones for both 0cm ground temperature and average temperature shifted northward relative to that of in the period 1961−2020. The decadal tendency of 0cm ground temperature and average temperature during 1961−2020 were 0.75℃·10y−1 and 0.30℃·10y−1, respectively, with significant level of 0.01. The increasing trend of 0cm ground temperature during 1991−2020 (1.30℃·10y−1) was higher than that of 1961−1990 (0.20℃·10y−1), whereas the trend for average temperature (0.15℃·10y−1) was lower than that of 1961−1990 (0.27℃·10y−1). The seasonal decadal tendency of 0cm ground temperature during 1961−2020 were 0.56℃·10y−1 in spring, 0.37℃·10y−1 in summer, 0.49℃·10y−1 in autumn and 1.54℃·10y−1 in winter, with the significant level of 0.01. It showed a slight trend during 1961−1990 but a significant increasing trend during 1991−2020. The seasonal decadal increasing trend of average temperature during 1961−2020 were 0.35℃·10y−1 in spring, 0.21℃·10y−1 in summer, 0.26℃·10y−1 in autumn and 0.41℃·10y−1 in winter, with the significant level of 0.01. During the period of 1991−2020, the increments for spring, summer and autumn were larger than those of in the period 1961−1990, while the winter increment was smaller. From 1961 to 2020, correlations between 0cm ground temperature and average temperature for annual and seasons in the three provinces of northeastern China were extremely significant, with correlation coefficients being 0.99, 0.95, 0.88, 0.99 and 0.98, respectively. The differences between 0cm ground temperature and average temperature from 1961 to 2020 were 2.1℃ annually, 2.3℃ in spring, 3.8℃ in summer, 1.3℃ in autumn and 0.9℃ in winter. The difference was greater in 1991−2020 than that in 1961−1990, and was largest in summer, followed by spring, autumn and winter. 

Key words: 0cm ground temperature, Average temperature, Climate change, The three provinces of northeast China, Difference between 0cm ground temperature and air temperature