中国农业气象 ›› 2011, Vol. 32 ›› Issue (3): 471-474.

• 论文 • 上一篇    下一篇

内蒙古地区玉米螟发生的气象条件适宜度预报

武荣盛,陈素华   

  • 出版日期:2011-08-20 发布日期:2011-11-03
  • 作者简介:武荣盛(1984-),内蒙古乌海人,硕士,助理工程师,主要从事农牧业气象应用研究。Email:rocky_wrs@163.com

Prediction of Meteorological Condition Suitability for Emergence ofCorn Borer in Inner Mongolia

WU Rongsheng| CHEN Suhua   

  • Online:2011-08-20 Published:2011-11-03

摘要: 利用内蒙古地区1971-2005年的气象数据和玉米螟发生资料,结合玉米螟的生理气象指标,运用相关分析方法选取影响玉米螟发生的关键气象因子,假设玉米螟发生的气象条件适宜度为各气象因子确定的适宜等级与相应权重乘积的总和,建立了内蒙古地区玉米螟发生的气象条件适宜度预报方程;2006-2010年的试报结果表明,预报等级与实际发生程度基本一致,说明所建立的预报方程可以用于当地玉米螟发生程度的预报和预测。

关键词: 内蒙古地区, 玉米螟, 气象因子, 气候条件适宜度预报

Abstract: It was supposed that meteorological suitability for emergence of core borer was the sum of product of suitability level determined by meteorological conditions and the corresponding weights. Prediction equation of meteorological suitability for emergence grade of corn borer in Inner Mongolia was established by using correlation method, based on meteorological data and the emergence data of corn borer from 1971 to 2005 in Inner Mongolia, considering physiology meteorological index of corn borer. The experiment results, from 2006 to 2010, showed that it was consistent between prediction and emergence, which indicated that the prediction equation could be used for monitoring and prediction of emergence grade of corn borer.

Key words: font-family: "Times New Roman", mso-bidi-font-size: 12.0pt, mso-hansi-font-family: 宋体, mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体, mso-font-kerning: 1.0pt, mso-ansi-language: EN-US, mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN, mso-bidi-language: AR-SA, mso-fareast-font-family: 宋体">Inner Mongolia, Corn borer, Meteorological factor, Prediction of meteorological suitability