中国农业气象

• 论文 • 上一篇    下一篇

广东省气候干湿状况及其变化特征

郭晶;吴举开;李远辉;王春林;景元书;   

  1. 南京信息工程大学应用气象学院,广东省阳江市气象局,广东省新兴县气象局,广东省气候中心,南京信息工程大学应用气象学院 南京210044,南京210044
  • 出版日期:2008-04-10 发布日期:2008-04-10
  • 基金资助:
    中国气象局2007年建设项目专题“广东农业气象灾害监测预警系统建设”;; 广东省科技计划项目(2005B10101022);; 广东省气象局科技计划项目(2006B20)

Climate Dryness/Wetness Status and Its Variation Characteristics in Guangdong Province

GUO Jing1,WU Ju-kai2,LI Yuan-hui3,WANG Chun-lin4,JING Yuan-shu1(1.Nanjing University of Information Science and Technology,Nanjing 210044,China;2.Meteorological Bureau of Yangjiang;3.Meteorological Bureau of Xinxing County;4.Climate Center of Guangdong Province)   

  • Online:2008-04-10 Published:2008-04-10

摘要: 随着全球气候变暖,全球及区域性水分平衡、干湿状况及其时空特征将发生变化,有关在气候变暖大背景下区域水分循环及干湿状况的变化成为研究热点。本文根据广东省86个气象站资料,利用FAO推荐的Penman-Monteith公式计算了该地区1954-2005年逐日潜在蒸散量,采用国家标准(BG/T20481-2006)《气象干旱等级》推荐的相对湿润度指数(MI)对全省进行干湿状况评价,分析降水量、潜在蒸散和相对湿润度指数的时空分布和变化规律。结果表明:(1)广东总体较为湿润,但干湿状况空间分布不均。MI的空间分布特征与降水一致,即以恩平、龙门和海丰为三个相对湿润中心。(2)MI季节变化主要受降水影响,呈明显的汛期、非汛期特征。(3)春季和秋季平均MI均呈纬向分布,但变化趋势相反:春季干旱南部重于北部;秋季干旱北部重于南部。全省秋旱重于春旱。(4)近50a来MI呈缓慢减小趋势,即广东地表干湿状况总体呈缓慢暖干趋势。研究结果对于应对气候变化,开发利用气候资源,调整种植区划和农业生产布局具有参考价值。

关键词: 潜在蒸散, 相对湿润度指数, 干湿状况, Penman-Monteith公式

Abstract: Along with global warming,the global and regional water balance and climate dryness/wetness status and its variation will be changed.Therefore,the regional water cycle and dryness/wetness status has become study focus.Based on the climate data of 86 meteorological stations in Guangdong Province,the daily potential evapotranspiration(ET0) from 1954 to 2005 in the area was calculated using the Penman-Monteith formulation,and the spatial-temporal variation of the precipitation and ET0 was analyzed.The climate dryness/wetness status was evaluated by Moisture Index(MI) which was recommended by the national criterion(BG/T20481-2006).The results showed that: 1) It was humid in Guangdong Province as a whole,however,the dryness/wetness status was spatially uneven.The spatial distribution pattern of MI was consistent with that of precipitation,i.e.there were three wet centers including Enping,Longmen and Haifeng.2) The seasonal variation of MI was mainly influenced by the precipitation,it showed distinct characteristics of wet and dry season.3) Both in Spring and in Autumn,MI spatially varied with latitude,but changing direction was opposite.The spring drought was more serious in the South than in the North of the Province,while the autumn drought was more serious in the North than in the South of the Province.As a whole,the autumn drought was more serious than spring drought in the Province.4) The annual average MI decreased slowly in last 50 years,implied that climate dryness/wetness status was tending to be hotter and drier in Guangdong Province.This study provided references for response measures to climate change,the exploitation and utilization of climate resources and planting zoning adjustment.

Key words: Potential evapotranspiration, Potential evapotranspiration, Relative moisture index, Dryness/wetness status, Penman-Monteith equation