Chinese Journal of Agrometeorology

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The GM(1,1) Prediction Model on Air Temperature and Relative Humidity in Hetian Oasis

ZHANG Xiao-wei~(1),GUAN Dong-hai~(2),MO Shu-hong~(1)(1.University of Technology of Xi'an,Institute of Water Resources,Xi'an 710048,China;2.Xinjiang Academy ofHydraulic and Hydropower Engineering)   

  • Online:2006-02-10 Published:2006-02-10

Abstract: Based on the observed data from 1954 to 2002,the GM(1,1) prediction model was established for the average air temperature and relative humidity,the main factors affecting potential evaporation in Hetian Oasis.The prediction results were relatively satisfactory and would provide some references for the study of potential evaporation and mid-long-term prediction.

Key words: Hetian oasis, Hetian oasis, Average air temperature, Relative humidity, GM(1, 1) model