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Table of Content

    20 June 2019, Volume 40 Issue 06
    Reproducibility Evaluation of Multi-Site Stochastic Weather Generators: a Comparison between a Typical Parametric Model and a Non-Parametric Model
    ZHOU Ling-feng, MENG Yao-bin, LU Chao, WU Gan-lin, ZHANG Dong-ni, SONG Hao-zheng, WU Dan
    2019, 40(06):  341-349.  doi:10.3969/j.issn.1000-6362.2019.06.001
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    Many impact models (e.g., hydrological and agricultural models) require simulations of weather variables reflecting the spatial and temporal dependence of observed meteorological fields. New techniques are recently available to generate weather variables simultaneously at multiple locations. This paper presents a comparison of two types of multi-site stochastic weather generators (MulGETS model and k-NN model) for simulation of precipitation and temperature at a network of 12 stations in Xiang River Basin, China. These two models were evaluated for their ability to reproduce the statistical features of the historical meteorological field. The results showed that both MulGETS and k-NN model were successful in reproducing the mean, standard deviation, and skewness of the weather variables, while the performance of k-NN was generally superior to that of MulGETS. The k-NN model was found to perform satisfactorily in preserving the spatial structure of the weather variable, especially the spatial intermittence. Only MulGETS model could generate extreme values out of the historical range. New technology is needed because both MulGETS and k-NN model have the limitation in representing temporal dependence of weather sequence, especially the autocorrelation of daily precipitation.
    Physiological Response of Plant Millet to Simulated Carbon Capture and Storage of CO2 Leakage
    JI Xiang, WANG Yu-tao, ZHANG Xue-yan, YIN Zhong-dong, MA Xin, HAN Yao-jie
    2019, 40(06):  350-356.  doi:10.3969/j.issn.1000-6362.2019.06.002
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    Carbon capture and storage (CCS) technology is one of the key strategic emission reduction technologies, which made a great contribution towards emission reductions. However, there still exists controversy of CCS largely due to the safety problems caused by its leakage. Leakage of CO2 captured in geological structures has a threat to the cultivated crops on the ecosystem suroundings. Thus it has great significance to carry out CCS leakage assessment on crops. In this study, the millet crop, which is the main grain in the northern region, was used as experimental object. Effects of CCS leakage on the physiological characteristics of millet were studied through a self-designed pots experiment simulation CO2 leakage by analyzing the SPAD, plant height, panicle diameter, panicle length, plant biomass and yield of the millet plant. The results showed that CO2 leakage into shallow soil caused the decrease significantly for leaf green value (SPAD), fresh weight in the shoot, dry weight in the ground and the weight of the grain ear, which proved that the CO2 leakage of the storage had a serious negative impact on the physiology and yield of the millet, and the yield of millet decreased by 34.92%. It was also observed that the number of branches of root increased by 10%, and the depth of the root burial became shallower. It indicated that the number of the millet roots has response for CO2 leakage. Meanwhile, the weight per panicle, the panicle diameter was coarse and the panicle length changed significantly.
    Simulation of the Dynamic Response of Dry Matter Accumulation of Spring Maize in Northeast China to Sowing Dates and Varieties Based on Normalization Method
    ZHANG Bing-bing, WU Hang, YANG Lu, Lv Xiao, ZHANG Fang, ZHANG Hui, GAO Quan, YANG Yang
    2019, 40(06):  357-367.  doi:10.3969/j.issn.1000-6362.2019.06.003
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    For effectively estimating the dry matter accumulation (DMA) process of spring maize, based on the experiments of six sowing dates for spring maize of three varieties including ‘Danyu 39’, ‘Danyu 99’ and ‘Nonghua 101’ during 2014?2015, considering relative accumulation temperature (RAT), the dynamic simulation model of DMA i.e. Richards model was built by using normalization method and the dynamic responses of DMA of spring maize in Northeast China to varieties and sowing dates were investigated by taking the calculated key growing parameters into account. The results showed that the Richards model was built based on the relationship between the relative dry matter weight (RDMA) and the RAT and demonstrates a satisfactory simulation performance for spring maize in northeast China. Further analyzing showed that the model had higher simulation accuracy for early sowing date and the model performance for ‘Danyu39’ was better than those for ‘Danyu 99’ and ‘Nonghua’. In addition, the DMA decreased with the sowing date delaying and presented a descending order by ‘Danyu 39’ , ‘Danyu 99’ and ‘Nonghua101’ with significant differences. Besides, the dry matter accumulation process could be divided into three stages including gradual, linearly accelerating and decelerating growth period. More specifically, the linearly accelerating growth period (LAGP) was the major phase of DMA during which accumulated temperature, the mean rate of DMA and its peak value as well as the amount of DMA and its proportion to total DMA were gradually decreasing to different degrees with the sowing time delaying. Whereas, the above-mentioned characters indicated significant differences among varieties. To be specific, the LAGP, the mean rate of DMA and its peak value as well as the amount of DMA for ‘Danyu39’ was longer and larger than those for ‘Danyu 99’ and ‘Nonghua 101’, respectively.
    Effect of Water and Nitrogen Coupling on Nitrogen Metabolism Enzyme Activities in Grapevine Seedling Leaves
    LI Jia-shuai, YANG Zai-qiang, WANG Ming-tian, WEI Ting-Ting, ZHAO He-li, JIANG Meng-yuan,
    2019, 40(06):  368-379.  doi:10.3969/j.issn.1000-6362.2019.06.004
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    In order to study the effect of water and nitrogen coupling on nitrogen metabolism of grape leaves at seedling stage and the formulation of optimal nitrogen application, the annual "Hongti" grape was used as the research material. A comprehensive design of four levels of water and nitrogen in the greenhouse was used to carry out the experiment under the artificial environment control method. The water treatments were as follows: normal irrigation W1 (70%−80% of maximum water capacity in the field), mild stress W2 (60%−70%), moderate stress W3 (50%−60%) and severe stress (30%−40%).The levels of nitrogen application were as follows:1.5 times recommended fertilization N1 (pure nitrogen 25.5g·m−2), normal recommended fertilization N2(17g·m−2), 0.5 time recommended fertilization N3(8.5g·m−2), no nitrogen fertilizer N4(no nitrogen application).The treatment time was 10, 20, 30, 40 days. The results showed that the content of nitrate reductase (NR), glutamine synthetase (GS),glutamine-oxoglutarate aminotransferase(GOGAT), soluble protein and free amino acid increased with the increase of nitrogen application when moisture conditions were appropriate. When drought stress was mild, increased application of nitrogen fertilizer can alleviate drought stress .When drought stress was severe, high nitrogen treatment reduced the activities of nitrogen metabolism enzymes , the content of free amino acids and soluble proteins in the leaves of the grape. The nitrogen content in the leaves of grape always decreased with the increase of treatment time. Under mild water stress, the nitrogen transport rate was higher. When the water stress was severe, the nitrogen transport rate of treatment under high nitrogen and no nitrogen were lower. Finally, under the suitable water conditions (W1) and mild water stress (W2), the nitrogen metabolism ability of grape leaves under N1 (purified nitrogen 37.5g·m−2) was the highest. Under moderate water stress (W3) and severe water stress (W4), N3 (pure nitrogen 12.5g·m−2) and N4 (no nitrogen application) had the highest nitrogen metabolism capacity. The research results provide a theoretical basis for the prevention and control of drought disasters in the actual production of grapes, which can effectively alleviate the harm caused by water stress, and avoid the waste of fertilizer in production, so as to achieve less fertilizer efficiency.
    Identification on Cold Damage Year Based on Accumulated Equivalent Temperature during Rice Growth Season in Cold Region
    ZHU Hai-xia, LV Jia-jia,YAN Ping,QU Hui-hui,WANG Ping,YU Ying-nan, WANG Qiu-jing, LI Xiu-fen, LI Bai-chao
    2019, 40(06):  380-390.  doi:10.3969/j.issn.1000-6362.2019.06.005
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    Based on rice biological characteristics, circadian temperature rhythm and temperature coefficient, taking accumulated equivalent temperature, negative accumulated equivalent temperature and heat matching index as index, the identification method for cold damage year was studied. By using moving average method on 21 years, departure percent was obtained for three factors in Heilongjiang province from 1971 to 2016, and the identifiable ability was analyzed. The results showed that identification ability was stronger, when the departure percent of every factor decreased more. This identification model for cold damage based on integrative departure percent was established by using weighted membership model. When departure percent was above ?5%, named as zero cold damage year, when departure percent was above ?10% and below ?5%, named as slight cold damage year, when departure percent was above ?15% and below ?10%, named as moderate cold damage year, and when departure percent was below ?15%, named as severe cold damage year. Integrative departure percent could indicate cold damage during rice growing season, and could reflect different degrees of cold damage, and totally indicated typical cold damage years. Cold damage performed a feature of outbreak in Heilongjiang province, for example in 1971, 1972, 1976, 1981, 1983, 1992 and 2009. In these years, cold damage extended over extensive regions, and the damage degree was more severe, the other damage year was slight degree or regional damage, including 1986, 1987, 1989, 1993, 1995 and 2003.
    Comprehensive Risk Regionalization of Meteorological Index Insurance for High Temperature Heat Damage of Rice in Jiangsu Province
    REN Yi-fang, ZHAO Yan-xia, ZHANG Xu-hui, WANG Ping, HE Lang
    2019, 40(06):  391-401.  doi:10.3969/j.issn.1000-6362.2019.06.006
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    Taking Jiangsu as an example, based on logistic curve equation, historical meteorological data and rice yield observations from 1980 to 2015 was used to construct the meteorological index of high temperature heat hazard insurance. After that, three parametric models included normal distribution, normal logarithmic distribution and Weibull distribution and non-parametric model based on information diffusion method were used to fit the occurrence probability of high temperature heat damage in rice. Through goodness-of-fit test, it was found that the non-parametric model could better estimate the probability of high temperature heat damage occurred during booting to heading and flowering stages of rice in each county of Jiangsu Province. Furthermore, combined with the optimal fitting model, considering the operational needs of agricultural insurance, the corresponding evaluation index was determined, while the comprehensive index was constructed from four aspects: the risk of disaster-causing factors, the sensitivity of disaster-pregnant environment, the vulnerability of disaster-bearing bodies and the ability of disaster prevention and mitigation. Based on that, cluster analysis was used to carry out the comprehensive risk zoning of high temperature heat injury insurance for rice at county level. Through evaluation and analysis of the zoning result, it was found that the risk of high temperature heat injury insurance of rice in Jiangsu presented the characteristics of "high in the southwest and low in the northeast". At the same time, it also pointed out that the moderate and high risk areas were the key regions which need to rely on agricultural insurance to transfer the risk.
    A Weather-index-based Insurance-oriented Method for Hail Disaster Assessment on Fruits Loss
    LUAN Qing-zu, DONG Peng-jie, YE Cai-hua
    2019, 40(06):  402-410.  doi:10.3969/j.issn.1000-6362.2019.06.007
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    Hail disaster is one of meteorological disasters threatening agricultural producing in China. Solving the problem of loss assessment methods that has been restraining index-based insurance production design for hail is of scientific value for developing stable and sustainable weather-index-based insurance(WII) productions, and also is of guiding significance for promoting WII productions in wide rang. Considering objective demanding of claiming index design for WII productions, a loss assessment method for fruits suffering from hail disaster was proposed based on momentum equation in this paper. The method satisfied claiming index design requirements for WII productions by introducing hail recognition technology relying on meteorological radar observation.And also, it revealed the disaster-causing mechanism of hail damage to fruits by attaining fruits’ sensitive parameters to hail crash, through analyzing the stress relation of fruits in the process of hail damage and quantifying fruits’ physical characteristics representation after crash by hail. Feasibility in application of loss assessment for hail was analyzed in the case of peaches growing in Pinggu district of Beijing. Results showed that the method was so simple, rapid and efficient that was able to assess peaches’ damage level caused by hail, based on which designing fruits WII productions for hail was practically viable.