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    Tomato Ripeness Detection Method Based On Improved YOLOv5
    LIU Yang, GONG Zhi-hong, LI Zhen-fa, LIU Tao, ZHAO Zhuo, WANG Teng-ge
    Chinese Journal of Agrometeorology    2024, 45 (12): 1521-1532.   DOI: 10.3969/j.issn.1000-6362.2024.12.012
    Abstract1220)      PDF(pc) (10145KB)(157)       Save

    In order to improve the recognition accuracy of tomato fruit ripeness and to realize online nondestructive automatic detection in tomato planting chain, this study proposes a tomato ripeness detection method based on improved YOLOv5. In the field of agriculture, accurate identification of tomato ripeness is very important, which can help agricultural production to rationalize labor arrangements and timely harvesting, thus improving the yield and quality of agricultural products. Traditional target detection algorithms face some challenges in tomato ripeness recognition, such as misidentification and missed detection, due to factors such as vines and leaf shading between tomato fruits and light interference. Therefore, this study had carried out a series of optimizations of YOLOv5 to address these problems in order to improve the accuracy and robustness of the algorithm. In the first place, an ECA efficient channel attention module was added to its backbone network Backbone, which generated channel weights by one-dimensional convolution and captured small targets that could be easily ignored in tomatoes of different ripening stages by interacting with the k neighboring channels of each channel, thus enhancing the expressiveness and accuracy of tomato features and effectively mitigating the effects of occlusion and light interference on the recognition results. Moreover, the PAFPN in the Neck structure was replaced by BiFPN with bidirectional weighted fusion capability. BiFPN was able to bi-directionally fuse features of different scales, which better handled the occlusion problem between tomato fruits and improves the accuracy of the recognition, and this optimization also mitigated the effect of multi-targets on the recognition accuracy, which enabled the algorithm to perform better in complex scenarios. Finally, a P2 module for small-target detection was added to the Head structure. The P2 module was able to better combine the advantages of shallow and deep tomato features to improve the detection performance of small-target tomatoes, so that it can accurately detect the target even when there are small-target tomatoes and other complex situations in the image. Through a series of ablation experiments, authors obtained the optimal improved algorithm YOLOv5-tomatoA. Compared to traditional target detection networks such as YOLOv3-Tiny, SSD300 and Faster R-CNN, the algorithm performs well in complex scenes such as occlusion and uneven illumination, with an average accuracy mean and F1 score of 97.4% and 95.4%, respectively, and the recognition of an image takes only 14.7ms, which can simultaneously satisfy the high-precision and fast-response tomato fruit recognition. The improved YOLOv5 network structure also optimizes the memory footprint and resource consumption, occupying only 15.9M, making the model more lightweight. This mean that the algorithm had low equipment requirements for realizing online non-destructive testing of tomato ripening, which can provide a more convenient real-time monitoring tool for agricultural activities. This technique can also be applied to the design of automatic tomato picking robots, which provides a strong support to realize the automation and intelligence of the tomato planting process. Therefore, this improved YOLOv5-tomatoA algorithm has important practical value in the field of tomato ripeness detection and is expected to provide more accurate and intelligent management decision support for agricultural production.

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    Impact Assessment of Extreme Climate Events on Maize Meteorological Yield in Northeast China by Machine Learning
    TANG Jie, DONG Mei-qi, ZHAO Jin, LI Hao-tian, YANG Xiao-guang
    Chinese Journal of Agrometeorology    2025, 46 (2): 258-269.   DOI: 10.3969/j.issn.1000-6362.2025.02.012
    Abstract958)      PDF(pc) (3065KB)(888)       Save

    In the context of global climate change, the frequency, intensity, and duration of extreme climate events are increasing and strengthening, which greatly affects agricultural production. The three provinces in Northeast China are the main maize-producing areas in the country, and the region most significantly affected by climate change. It is crucial to explore the effects of extreme climate events on maize meteorological yield in the three provinces and safeguard China's food security and economic development. In the current study, a machine learning model was constructed based on the historical meteorological data and statistical maize yield data to clarify the impact extreme climate events on maize meteorological yield in northeast China during the historical (1981−2014) and future (2031−2060) periods. The results showed that high temperature and high- temperature-drought compound events had the greatest impact on maize meteorological yield during the historical period, with meteorological yield decreasing by 13.2% and 15.9%, respectively. Meanwhile, the extreme temperature events had a greater impact on maize meteorological yield compared to extreme precipitation events. In the future, the climate show a warming trend, Compared with the SSP1−2.6 (low−emission) scenario, the magnitude of maize meteorological yield reduction in Northeast China under the SSP5-8.5 (high-emission) scenario is more pronounced, and more attention needs to be paid to the impact of extreme precipitation events on maize meteorological yield in the future.

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    Temporal and Spatial Variations of Extreme Temperature and Precipitation Events in the Cropping Region across Northeast China
    LI Hao-tian, DONG Mei-qi, ZHAO Jin, TANG Jie, YANG Xiao-guang
    Chinese Journal of Agrometeorology    2025, 46 (2): 145-156.   DOI: 10.3969/j.issn.1000-6362.2025.02.002
    Abstract856)      PDF(pc) (9154KB)(350)       Save

     Global warming has led to a significant increase in the frequency of extreme weather and climate events, especially in northeast China, which is bound to affect the grain output of the three northeastern provinces. Based on historical ground meteorological observation data (19812014) and future climate change prediction data (20312060), this paper systematically analyzed the spatialtemporal distribution characteristics and future occurrence trends of extreme temperature and precipitation events by defining four extreme temperature indices and three extreme precipitation indices related to crop production. The results showed that the number of low temperature days (CD) decreased, the number of high temperature days (HD), low temperature intensity (CSI) and high temperature intensity (HSI) increased, the number of continuous wet days (CWD) decreased, the number of continuous dry days (CDD) increased, the number of heavy precipitation days (R20) decreased, the number of extreme high temperature days increased significantly and the extreme maximum temperature was the same as the historical stage. The extreme minimum temperature is in a state of warming. In the future, the overall temperature in the crop growing areas of the three provinces in northeast China would continue to rise, the number of continuous wet days would increase, the number of continuous dry and heavy precipitation days would decrease, and the precipitation variability and spatial difference would be large and the fluctuation range would be greater than the historical stage, and the uncertainty of abnormal precipitation would be strengthened, showing a trend of warming and drying, especially in the south and southeast. The results can provide reference for agricultural production in Northeast China to cope with climate change.

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    Reports on Weather Impacts to Agricultural Production in Summer 2024
    WU Men-xin, LI Yi-jun, ZHAO Xiao-feng, HE Liang, LIU Wei
    Chinese Journal of Agrometeorology    2024, 45 (12): 1533-1535.   DOI: 10.3969/j.issn.1000-6362.2024.12.013
    Abstract841)      PDF(pc) (348KB)(210)       Save

    The relationship between meteorological factors and agricultural production in China was analyzed using statistical methods, based on daily national meteorological data for the summer of 2024. The results showed that the national average temperature in the summer (June−August) was 22.4°C, 1.2°C higher than the average of the same period from 1961 to 2020 and the maximum value since 1961. The national average precipitation was 342.6mm, which was 20.7mm more than the average of the same period from 1961 to 2020. The national average sunshine duration was 630.0h, 35.1h less than the average of the same period from 1961 to 2020. In most of the agricultural region, the sunshine, heat conditions, and soil moisture content were suitable, and general meteorological conditions were favorable for the growth and production of grain crops. At the same time, the frequent meteorological disasters in the summer had a certain effect on the growth and yield formation of the autumn harvest crops. The North China and Huang-Huai region experienced drought and waterlogging, which affected the growth of summer sowing crops. The heavy rainfall occurred in Jiangnan and south China region, and some early rice suffered from "flowering-stage heavy rain" disaster. There was more precipitation in the central and southern parts of northeast China region, which affected the crop growth and yield formation. The Sichuan basin and the middle and lower reaches of the Yangtze river sustained high temperature weather, which affected the growth of single-season rice and local featured crops in some areas.

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    Report on Growing Season Agrometeorological Conditions of Autumn Harvest Crops in 2024
    HAN Li-juan, SONG Ying-bo, ZHAO Xiao-feng
    Chinese Journal of Agrometeorology    2025, 46 (2): 275-280.   DOI: 10.3969/j.issn.1000-6362.2025.02.014
    Abstract769)      PDF(pc) (2227KB)(1028)       Save

    According to the observed meteorological data in 2024 and the historical data from 2467 meteorological stations and 653 meteorological stations in China, the agrometeorological evaluation index, climate suitability models, grid estimation methods for soil moisture and agrometeorological disaster index model were used to evaluate the agrometeorological effects on yield of major autumn-harvest crops, such as corn, single rice, later rice, soybean and cotton. The results showed that water conditions and thermal conditions were sufficient for the crop growth and development during the growing season. The impact of agricultural drought, continuous rain, sunless, rainstorm and flood disasters during the main growth season was light, while the meteorological conditions were favorable for crop development growth and yield. However, in Heilongjiang and Jilin, there was continuous low temperature and waterlogging from mid-May to June seriously affected the growth process of crops. In Henan and Liaoning, heavy rainfall was concentrated from July to August, and the waterlogging disaster was severe, resulting in reduced corn and soybean yields. In the Yangtze and Sichuan river basins from July to September, high temperature persisted for a long time, and heat damage to single rice plants yields.

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    Flood Loss Assessment for Crops Based on Hydrodynamic Modeling: A Case Study in the Jianghan Plain
    QIN Peng-cheng, ZHOU Yue-hua, LIU huo-sheng, XIA Zhi-hong
    Chinese Journal of Agrometeorology    2025, 46 (3): 420-431.   DOI: 10.3969/j.issn.1000-6362.2025.03.013
    Abstract748)      PDF(pc) (16431KB)(95)       Save

    Crop loss assessment is critical for decision making in flooding management. From the perspective of disaster chain, flooding damage is a complex interaction of hazard factors (e.g., extreme precipitation), local topographic attributes and vulnerability of affected bodies, and thus characterized by large temporal and spatial variations. Developing a physically based modelling chain that can capture the dynamic evolution and spatial heterogeneity of the disaster process is critical for timely and efficient emergency response to flooding prevention. This study presented a modelling framework for estimating crop loss due to flooding, by coupling the flooding vulnerability curves with the Rainfall−Runoff−Inundation (RRI) model developed by the International Center for Water Hazard and Risk Management. The flooding vulnerability curve was shown as a function of inundation depth, duration and crop stage. A quantitative assessment of crop loss at gridded scale was established by integrating the inundation maps, crop distribution, and flooding vulnerability curves. The framework was applied to two representative flooding events on the Jianghan plain to demonstrate its capability to estimate crop losses due to rainstorm−induced flooding. The results showed that the RRI model could reasonably simulate the formation and retreat of the flooding peak as well as the surface inundation dynamics in accordance with the rainstorm, with the simulation error ranging from −14.8% to 11.5% for the runoff, the simulation accuracy exceeding 80% for the inundation area, the matching rate ranging from 84.2% to 87.1% for the inundation depth, and the estimated deviation of crop loss rate were −33.8% to 6.4%, −10.8% to −9.5%, and −6.0% to 1.8% for areas covered, areas affected and areas of total crop failure, respectively. The method proposed in this study provides a fundamental support for the rapid assessment and risk early warning for flooding mitigation and post−disaster reconstruction.

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    Monetization Evaluation of Greenhouse Gas Emission Reduction Benefits Based on Corn Stalk Pyrolysis Polygeneration Technology
    GU Ding-yuan, HUO Li-li, YAO Zong-lu, ZHAO Li-xin, YU Jia-dong, ZHAO Ya-nan
    Chinese Journal of Agrometeorology    2024, 45 (11): 1253-1264.   DOI: 10.3969/j.issn.1000-6362.2024.11.001
    Abstract747)      PDF(pc) (2086KB)(574)       Save

    Biomass energy is a globally recognized renewable energy with zero carbon properties, but its carbon reduction benefits have not been effectively reflected. Based on the whole life cycle evaluation (LCA) method, combined with the economic benefit evaluation method and the environmental impact monetization method, this study built a EGE model for the greenhouse gas emission reduction benefit evaluation (EGE) of straw pyrolysis polygeneration technology. The EGE model took the whole chain of straw collection, off-field storage and transportation, pyrolysis transformation and product utilization as the boundary. The comprehensive economic and environmental benefits of different pyrolysis polygeneration technologies under different production scales was explored. The results showed that the external heating pyrolysis carbon gas co-production technology has the best economic benefits in large-scale application, and at the annual production scale of 0.5×104 ~ 10×104t of straw, each 1t of straw consumption can reduce 1.01−1.07tCO2eq. Greenhouse gas emission reduction could significantly improve the economic benefits of straw pyrolysis polygeneration technology projects, and each 1t of straw consumption could increase the benefit of 57.5−103.1 yuan, which increased the yield rate of straw pyrolysis polygeneration technology projects by 1.6−14.0PP. It is estimated that the utilization potential of straw in 2030 and 2060 would reach 1.24×108t and 1.67×108t respectively, and the emission reduction income of straw pyrolysis polygeneration technology can reach 1.0×1010−3.7×1010 yuan. The results of this study provide technical support for the development of biomass energy industry under the background of realizing the dual-carbon goal.

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    Characteristics of Climatic Seasonal Variation in Northeast China under the New Standard
    SHAO Qi-duo, FENG Xi-yuan, REN Hang, TU Gang, LI Shang-feng, LIU Gang, YANG Xu, WU Di
    Chinese Journal of Agrometeorology    2025, 46 (6): 741-752.   DOI: 10.3969/j.issn.1000-6362.2025.06.001
    Abstract534)      PDF(pc) (16028KB)(158)       Save

    According to the national standard of Climate Seasonal Division (GB\T 42074−2022), the characteristics of seasonal variation in Northeast China (NEC) for the period 1961–2020 were analyzed using CN05.1 gridded data, and the changes caused by the shift of the standards and climatological baselines were investigated. The results showed that the climatic season of NEC was divided into regions with four seasons and nonsummer zone regions, and the nonsummer regions were mainly located in the northern part of the NEC, high−altitude regions and their surroundings. Spring and summer started from the south to the northeast, from the central plains to the high altitude mountains, and vice versa in autumn and winter. Compared with the 1981–2010 baseline period, parts of the Sanjiang plain and Hulun lake changed from nonsummer regions to fourseason regions. The starting dates showed a significant advance of 1d·10y1 in spring over most of the NEC region, and a significant advance of 2−3d·10y1 in summer over the central and western parts of the Northeastern plains. The starting dates were significantly delayed in autumn over the four-season regions, and in winter over the nonsummer regions and the central of Northeastern plains. The summer and winter duration were significantly prolonged and delayed, respectively. Compared to the original standard, there were more areas with significant changes in spring and summer starting dates and summer and winter duration under the new standard. The areas up to the summer standard showed a significant upward trend of 3.9PP·10y1 and had a significant positive correlation with the area−mean June−July−August NEC temperature. The rating of starting date of seasons obeys the normal distribution law, with a slight advance in summer.

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    Optimization of Crop Planting Structure in Guizhou Based on the Water-Energy- Food Nexus
    HAN Shun-li, ZHANG Peng-fei, LU Yuan, ZHANG Jiao-jiao, LIU Geng, DAI Yan-yan, ZHANG Lei, GUO Li-gang
    Chinese Journal of Agrometeorology    2024, 45 (12): 1426-1437.   DOI: 10.3969/j.issn.1000-6362.2024.12.004
    Abstract500)      PDF(pc) (3037KB)(273)       Save

     The water and energy consumption characteristics of five crops (rice, corn, potato, rape and soybean) in Guizhou from 2010 to 2020 were analyzed using a water footprint and energy consumption accounting model based on relevant statistical data. Additionally, a multi-objective optimization model with constraints on water resources, energy, land, and food supply was developed to achieve optimal economic and ecological benefits, aiming to scientifically optimize the planting structure of five crops in Guizhou. The results showed: (1) there were significant differences in the water footprint and energy consumption per unit area of major crops in Guizhou during the period from 2010 to 2020. Specifically, rice, potato, soybean, corn, and rape were classified as extremely high water and energy-consuming crops, high water and energy-consuming crops, high water but medium energy-consuming crops, medium water and low energy-consuming crops, and low water and energy-consuming crops, respectively. (2) The water footprints of five crops were primarily dominated by green water consumption. Among them, rice, corn, and potato were the major contributors to the water footprint, accounting for 85% of the total. The energy consumption structure of five crops differed, with rice mainly consuming electricity, corn and potato mainly consuming chemical fertilizers, and rape and soybean primarily consuming fuel. Notably, rice and potato were the major contributors to the energy consumption, accounting for 69% of the total. (3) There were significant spatial variations in the crop planting structure in Guizhou due to differences in natural conditions. Specifically, rice was primarily distributed in the flat areas below 600m in altitude in southern Guizhou, corn was planted across the province but with varying qualities, potato was mainly cultivated in areas with altitudes ranging from 100 to 2900m, rape was primarily planted in central Guizhou, and soybean was cultivated in all regions with small differences in the proportion of each region. (4) After optimization, there was a slight decrease in the total planting area of five crops in Guizhou province. Notably, the planting area of rape and potato increased by 14000 and 146000ha respectively, resulting in their shares increasing by 0.6 and 1.6 percentage points, respectively. Conversely, the planting area of rice and corn decreased by 171000 and 386000ha, respectively, causing their shares to decrease by 0.3 and 1.5 percentage points, respectively. Following the optimization in Guizhou, there was a reduction in water footprint of 3.06 billion m³, a decrease in chemical fertilizer usage of 150 million tons, and a reduction in energy consumption of 2459000 GJ. Consequently, the ecological benefits have been significantly improved, while the economic benefits have remained stable. The optimized planting structure, based on the water-energy-food nexus, considers both economic and ecological benefits, exhibiting characteristics of low water consumption, low energy consumption, and low pollution. This further promotes the sustainable development of agriculture in Guizhou.

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    System Theory, Resource Theory and Solution Ideas of the Current Problems Related to Agrometeorology
    PAN Zhi-hua, HOU Ying-yu
    Chinese Journal of Agrometeorology    2025, 46 (2): 270-274.   DOI: 10.3969/j.issn.1000-6362.2025.02.013
    Abstract441)      PDF(pc) (304KB)(361)       Save

    In recent years, there has been a "wandering phenomenon" in the development of agrometeorology, and some key questions need to be answered effectively. Based on system theory and resource theory, this paper deeply analyzed the connotation of agrometeorology, and expanded the relationship between meteorological conditions and agricultural (crop) production, and provided ideas and solutions to related problems. The results showed that the elements such as atmosphere, soil, crops and technical conditions make up the agrometeorological system. Climatic factors were not only natural, but also productive, and were involved in the whole process of agricultural production. The functional relationship between crop production and meteorological conditions could be established. Agrometeorological indices were the dynamic combinations of meteorological elements. Technological conditions could change the availability of climatic conditions and the sensitivity of agricultural production to climate. There were three properties of climate resources: quantity, space-time potential and quality. Different combinations of elements of the hydrometeorological system determine different objectives. This research could play important role in promoting agro meteorology.

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    Immobiliaztion Effect of Arsenic in Contaminated Red Soils and Its Enzyme Activities after Application of Lanthanum-modified Biochar
    XIE Jin-ni, LI Lian-fang, LV Peng, WANG Zi-han, YAN Ao, KANG Meng-qi, ZHOU Xue, YE Jing
    Chinese Journal of Agrometeorology    2024, 45 (12): 1391-1404.   DOI: 10.3969/j.issn.1000-6362.2024.12.001
    Abstract436)      PDF(pc) (4305KB)(404)       Save

    Biochar pyrolysis at high temperature with limited oxygen plays an important role in the resource utilization of agricultural waste, carbon sequestration and emission reduction, indicating the great potential of biochar for remediating contaminated environment. As a functional material for soil remediation, its ability of adsorption and fixation for heavy metals is still insufficient, which limits the large-scale promotion and application of biochar. Nowadays, it has been an increasingly important research area to enhance the adsorption and fixation capacity of biochar through modification design of engineered materials. In this study, wood chips were used as raw materials to prepare biochar (BC), and then lanthanum modified biochar (LBC) was manufactured. Aiming to remediate arsenic contaminated red soil and compare the immobilization difference, these two kinds of amendments (LBC, BC) were applied into the experimental soils separately, and the blank soil without material addition was used as control treatment. All these above treatments was cultivated for 30days under the soil moisture content with 30%, 70%, and 100% field water capacity respectively, and the corresponding remediation effects of arsenic contaminated red soil by using LBC and BC were investigated. The results were as following: (1) LBC addition was beneficial for alleviating the acidification of southern red soils. When the cultivation experiment was finished, soil pH treated by LBC was enhanced obviously and the increased pH ranged from 0.86 to 1.20 units under three kinds of soil moisture content with 30%, 70%, and 100% field water capacity. In comparison with BC treatment, the soil pH also increased by 0.090.44 units after LBC addtion. (2) LBC application led to the obvious immobilization effect of arsenic in red soils, and the related fixation efficiency under three kinds of soil water content was up to 54.7%90.0% during the whole soil cultivation period, and the immobilization efficiency reached 81.0%85.8% after 30days of cultivation. On the contrary, soil treated by BC resulted in the arsenic activation of soils with the increased percent 135.4%895.9% compared to the control. (3) The immobilization effect of LBC on soil arsenic is mainly related to the transformation of arsenic in various speciation, especially from non-specialized adsorption forms to more stable ones such as residue forms. In the meanwhile, BC resulted in the enhancement of non-specialized adsorption arsenic and promoted the activation of soil arsenic. (4) LBC was capable of immobilizing arsenic in red soils with high efficiency, and did not obviously excert negative influence on soil enzyme activity. The application of LBC was able to improve the activity of soil urease and catalase although it led to a slight decrease in soil phosphatase and sucrase activities. It is worth mention that LBC treatment remained higher soil sucrase activities than those for BC treatments. Overall, it manifest that LBC has great potential for remediating arsenic contaminated red soil.

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    Report on Meteorological Impacts to Agricultural Production in Autumn 2024
    HE Yan-bo, ZHAO Xiao-Feng, WU Men-xin, GUO An-hong, YAN Hao, ZHENG Chang-ling
    Chinese Journal of Agrometeorology    2025, 46 (3): 432-434.   DOI: 10.3969/j.issn.1000-6362.2025.03.014
    Abstract392)      PDF(pc) (382KB)(207)       Save

     In the autumn of 2024 (September−November), the national average temperature was 11.5°C, which was higher than the average of the same period from 1991 to 2020, and consecutively increased in the sixth year as well as created a new high record since 1961. The national average precipitation was 134.4mm, and 14.4% more than the same period from 1991 to 2020. The national average sunshine hours were 536.5h, and 6.0% less than the same period from 1991 to 2020. In most agricultural areas across the country, the light and heat conditions in autumn were relatively good to the crops. The first frost date in the northeast China was later than usual, and the cold dew wind had little impact on the late rice in the south part of China. The meteorological conditions were conducive to the filling and ripening, harvesting, drying of autumn-harvest crops and sowing of autumn-planted crops. Overall, the harvest and planting activates progressed smoothly in autumn of 2024, excluding the periodic droughts in the eastern part of the Sichuan basin and the middle and lower reaches of the Yangtze river, which affected the quality improvement of economic forest fruits and the sowing and emergence of autumn rapeseed. Nearing to the end of this period, a cold snap weather caused heavy snowfall mainly in the northeastern part of Inner Mongolia and northeast China, which is unfavorable for agricultural and pastoral production. 

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    Research on Optimized Configuration of Wind/Solar/Precipitation Resources over Guizhou Province under Changing Climate
    ZHANG Jiao-yan, CHEN Zhen-Hong, LI Zhong-yan, WANG Shuo, LI Yang
    Chinese Journal of Agrometeorology    2025, 46 (3): 339-349.   DOI: 10.3969/j.issn.1000-6362.2025.03.006
    Abstract357)      PDF(pc) (19740KB)(93)       Save

    Based on the monthly near−surface wind speed (sfcWind)surface downwelling short wave radiation (rsds) and precipitation (pr) from the 5 global climate models that participated in the phase 6 of the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project (CMIP6), the ERA5 reanalysis data and the 83 observational stations over Guizhou, the characteristics of wind/solar/precipitation resources in Guizhou under three scenarios (SSP1−2.6, SSP2−4.5 and SSP5−8.5) were evaluated, using Quantile-Mapping to improve the simulation capabilities. The results showed that compared to the reference period (19952014), although there was little change in the relative anomalies of sfcWind under SSP2−4.5 and SSP5−8.5, the relative anomalies of sfcWind under SSP1−2.6 increased statistically significant at the level of 0.01 over Guizhou during 20252100, as well as rsds and pr under three scenarios, with growth of 1.22 percent points·10y−1 (sfcWind, SSP1−2.6), 1.32/1.65/1.88 percent points·10y−1 (rsds, SSP1−2.6/2−4.5/5−8.5) and 1.77/1.88/2.97 percent points·10y−1pr, SSP1−2.6/2−4.5/5−8.5). Besides, the increases in rsds and pr were found generally in Guizhou during 21st century with respect to 19952014, rising from west (near) to east (far) under three scenarios, while sfcWind had different change for different scenarios and areas. Taking the wind/solar/ precipitation resources at the 14 representative stations under SSP2−4.5 in Guizhou during the near−21st century for example, the within and crossregional complementarity was detected. Citing the case of Weining station from Jan to Dec, the seasonal complementarity was indicated due to making full use of solar/precipitation resources in summer and wind resource in winter/spring.

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    Design and Evaluation on Meteorological Index Insurance Product of Rice High Temperature Heat Damage in Jiangsu Province
    REN Yi-fang, CHEN Si-ning, ZHAO Yan-xia
    Chinese Journal of Agrometeorology    2025, 46 (01): 1-13.   DOI: 10.3969/j.issn.1000-6362.2025.01.001
    Abstract347)      PDF(pc) (4441KB)(471)       Save

    Based on an accurate assessment of the risks of agricultural production, together with the information required for insurance policies, the reasonable design and evaluation of insurance products is an important guarantee for the sustainable development of China's agricultural insurance policies. According to historical meteorological data as well as rice growth stage and yield data, based on the construction of meteorological index for rice high temperature disaster insurance, combined with comprehensive regionalization and assessment of insurance risk in Jiangsu province, by setting different deductible amounts, insurance pure rates were set and corresponding products were designed. In addition, a comprehensive evaluation of the effectiveness of the application of the rice heat damage meteorological index insurance product has been achieved by using three methods: index evaluation, historical retrospective analysis, and analysis of typical heat damage events. The study found that under different deductible amounts for yield reduction rates, the determined pure insurance rates for rice high-temperature heat damage in various counties in Jiangsu province exhibited a distribution pattern of "high in the southwest and low in the northeast". The deductibles were ultimately determined to be 2.5% for low-risk, 2.5% for medium-risk and 7.5% for high-risk areas, after taking into account the incentives for farmers to participate and the level of coverage. The corresponding pure insurance rates were determined to be 5.09%, 5.27% and 5.26% respectively. The designation of this index insurance product was relatively reasonable from the point of view of the company's operational efficiency, loss compensation pressure, level of risk transfer and coverage of the farmer's production. In low-risk, medium-risk, and high-risk areas, the operational sustainability indices of insurance companies were 14%, 37%, and 76%, respectively, while the stability indices of farmer production security were 6%, 9%, and 21%, respectively, and the average compensation rates for high-temperature heat damage events were 111%, 122% and 303%, respectively. In typical high-temperature heat damage years, the average compensation amount in Jiangsu province exceeded 1800 yuan·ha1, and the number of compensation counties accounted for more than 50%. The results of this study may serve as references for the evaluation of the operational characteristics of meteorological index insurance products, as well as for the adjustment of insurance product design schemes, and the promotion and implementation of insurance products. 

        
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    Trend and Influencing Factors of Green Development of Sichuan Planting Industry
    LIN Xu, QI Yan-bin, XIE Wei
    Chinese Journal of Agrometeorology    2024, 45 (11): 1265-1275.   DOI: 10.3969/j.issn.1000-6362.2024.11.002
    Abstract343)      PDF(pc) (1566KB)(354)       Save

    Ensuring food security and while achieving low-carbon development is a practical issue for the agricultural economy and the priority for carbon neutrality in the planting industry. Based on the time series data of Sichuan planting industry, the change of carbon emission and emission intensity was reviewed, and the input-output super-efficiency model was applied to evaluate the green development efficiency of Sichuan planting industry, and the influencing factors were analyzed by Tobit regression model. The results showed that carbon intensity of Sichuan planting industry decreased from 0.717 t to 0.208 t per 10000 yuan of GDP over the 20102022 period, with the continued expansion of the planting area being the core driver of the increase. At the same time, the green development trend of Sichuan planting industry showed the evolution characteristics of "continuous low efficiency− rapid stretchingstable development". In terms of influencing factors, the unique agricultural industrial structure and climate environment, as well as technological investment, have driven the green development of planting industry in Sichuan, while the high proportion of grain and oil crop cultivation was an objective challenge. The fiscal policy had improved the utilization level of planting industry to climate resources, but there was also a significant inhibitory effect. Therefore, while actively adapting to global warming, achieving a long-term balance between food security and green development of the planting industry, and guiding the green development willingness of planting entities with policy orientation, should be a direction that the government should continue to focus on.

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    Climate and Land Use Change Effect on Natural Runoff in Shiyang River Basin
    CAO Jin-jun, MA Hai-hua
    Chinese Journal of Agrometeorology    2024, 45 (11): 1290-1301.   DOI: 10.3969/j.issn.1000-6362.2024.11.004
    Abstract340)      PDF(pc) (5279KB)(391)       Save

     Climate warming and human activities have a major impact on the spatial and temporal characteristics of surface runoff in the Shiyang river basin, and the adaptive management of water resources in the basin is facing serious challenges. With three independent drainage Dajinghe river system, Liuhe river system and Xidahe river system as the research object, the statistical method analyzed the average flow evolution in 1960−2020, using Mann-Kendall test and Pettitt test to determine the runoff sequence mutation point, set the combination of climate and land use change, and used SWAT model to identify the runoff variation in Shiyang river basin, addressing the unequal allocation of water resources. The results showed that: (1) from 1960 to 2020, the annual average runoff decline rate of Xidahe river, Liuhe river and Dajing river system was 0.01m3·s1, 0.07m3·s1, 0.01m3·s1 respectively. The runoff years for the Liuhe river and Xidahe river were in 1973 and 2002, respectively, while the Dajing river system was in its natural state. (2) The SWAT model had a good adaptability to the Shiyang river basin, and the determination coefficient and the Nash efficiency coefficient were both higher than 0.50. (3) From 1960 to 2020, the contribution of precipitation, average temperature, relative humidity, solar radiation and average wind speed to the annual average runoff were 75%, 53%, 55%, 55%, and 52%, respectively. The contribution of land use change to the annual average runoff was 17%. The coupled contribution of six influence factors to annual average runoff reduction was 67%, indicating that climate change had great influence on runoff in Shiyang river basin. The research results could provide a reference for the adaptive management of watershed water resources.

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    Development of a Growth Conditions Dataset of Major Crops in China (V2.0)
    GAO Jing, LIAO Jie, YANG Bing-yu, LIU Yuan-yuan
    Chinese Journal of Agrometeorology    2025, 46 (5): 725-736.   DOI: 10.3969/j.issn.1000-6362.2025.05.013
    Abstract321)      PDF(pc) (6104KB)(296)       Save

    A dataset of the growth conditions of major crops in China was mainly constructed from paper-based annual records before 2012 and electronic annual records after 2013. However, there were problems such as inconsistencies in the observed items and data unitsthe quality of some data had not been evaluated. To improve the consistency and accuracy of agricultural meteorological data, based on these two types data, a high-quality dataset of the growth conditions China's major crops (including wheat, rice, maize, cotton, oil-seed rape, soybean and peanut) from 1981 to 2022 was developed by using the observation items standardization, integrity checks, cross-year value checks, observation time checks, value range checks, internal consistency checks element limit value check and manual verification. The dataset promoted effective application in agricultural research and decision-making. The results showed that the valid rate of crop common stage from 1981 to 2022 was over 96.0% of the expected observations, while the valid rate for growth status, crop height, stem count and effective stem count were all over 86.0%. The accuracy rate of the above five mentioned elements were above 99.3%. The distribution of observation stations for the seven major crops had obvious spatial and temporal distribution characteristics, with dense stations, uniform spatial distribution and long observation years in eastern China, but sparse and short observation years in northwest China. There were also obvious differences in the number of observation stations between different crops, and the number of observation stations for cotton and oil crops were less than that for staple crops. The valid data was relatively low in the 1980s, but improved significantly after 1994. After quality control and data verification, the valid rate of crop common stage increased from 94.7% to 96.2%, the crop height increased from 88.2% to 92.0%, the stem count increased from 77.1% to 86.7%. The accuracy rate of the common stage data increased from 99.3% to 99.6%. Compared to the "China Major Crops Growth and Development Dataset V1.0"the overall quality of this dataset has been improved, with the addition of element boundary value checks. This dataset can provide critical fundamental information for studying the impact of climate change on the growth and development of major crops in China.

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    Risk Assessment of Low-temperature Disaster on Peony in Heze, Shandong Province
    ZHANG Cui-ying, GUO Jian-ping, ZHAI Jian-qing, HAO Xiao-lei, WANG Jun-lin, CAO Jie
    Chinese Journal of Agrometeorology    2025, 46 (2): 249-257.   DOI: 10.3969/j.issn.1000-6362.2025.02.011
    Abstract318)      PDF(pc) (4583KB)(345)       Save

    Peony is an important specialty cash crop in Heze city, Shandong province. Low temperature and freezing damage in spring is the main meteorological disaster faced by peony in Heze city, which not only affects the flowering time and yield of peony, but also affects the local characteristic tourism and economic benefits. This study was based on the observational data of 9 national meteorological stations from 1978 to 2020 and 150 regional automatic stations since 2005, as well as the phenology and disaster data of peony in Heze, Shandong province. Firstly, the cold air and frost processes were identified, and a single-disaster hazard assessment was carried out by selecting typical disaster factors for example the duration days, maximum the drop of daily minimum temperature, extreme minimum temperature of cold air processes and the days, mean temperature, minimum temperature of frost disaster. Secondly, the risk index of low temperature disaster was obtained by weighted sum of the single disaster hazard. Finally, the low temperature disaster risk of Mudan in Heze was quantitatively assessed based on the three-factor methodology of hazard, exposure and vulnerability. The results showed that Juye county and Yuncheng county of Heze city had the largest proportions of high level hazard areas of low temperature disaster, which were 9.8% and 9.5% respectively. The proportions of areas with high level hazard in Caoxian county and Mudan district were the smallest, both less than 0.3%. Affected by low temperature risk and peony exposure, the high risk areas of low temperature disaster mainly distributed in the northeast and southeast of Heze city. In addition, the urban area of Mudan, where peonies were mainly planted, had a higher risk of low temperature disaster leading to a greater risk of peony disaster. The central and western areas were low risk areas, especially the western, southern and eastern parts of peony area, where the risks of low temperature disaster were lower. This research suggested that the planting area of ornamental peony can be expanded to increase the economic benefits of flower farmers. The results can provide basic support for optimizing the planting structure and sustainable development of peony in Heze.

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    Determination of Pure Premium Rates for Huangshan Maofeng Tea Frost Damage Based on ANUSPLIN
    LIU Rui-na, WANG Xiao-dong, LIU Hong-min, YANG Tai-ming, ZHANG Hui, ZHAO Xing-yu
    Chinese Journal of Agrometeorology    2025, 46 (01): 122-132.   DOI: 10.3969/j.issn.1000-6362.2025.01.012
    Abstract314)      PDF(pc) (6457KB)(386)       Save

     In order to improve the rationale for determining the premium rate for weather index insurance for tea frost damage in Anhui province. In this paper, authors refined and revised the meteorological index for tea frost damage in Huangshan based on historical disaster data. The ANUSPLIN interpolation software was used to establish the spatial interpolation model of the meteorological indices. Based on historical meteorological data from Huangshan, a refined risk assessment of tea frost damage in Huangshan was conducted with the help of a geographic information system. Taking Huangshan Maofeng tea as the research object, the risk assessment results and tea economic output were comprehensively considered to determine the insurance district and insurance period of tea frost damage, and the weather index trigger value and premium rate during some period were also designed considering daily tea frost risk and actual needs of agricultural insurance operation, and the insurance pure premium rates of tea frost damage at different periods and altitudes were calculated. The results showed as follows: the extreme minimum temperature (Td) 3°C was used as the threshold value of tea frost damage index, according to the interval of 1, the tea frost damage index were divided into 2℃<Td≤3℃, 1℃<Td≤2℃, 0<Td≤1℃, −1℃<Td≤0, −2℃<Td≤−1℃, −3℃<Td≤−2℃ and Td≤−3℃ 7 disaster grades, the corresponding average loss rates of tea buds were 5%, 15%, 25%, 35%, 50%, 70% and 90% respectively. The distribution of frost damage risk in Huangshan had an obvious regional characteristics, with higher the altitudes having a higher risk of frost damage, and the time series showing a decreasing trend with time. The insurance region of the weather index of tea frost damage of Huangshan Maofeng was 400−1000m above sea level, and the insurable period was from March 16 to April 15, when the extreme minimum temperature reached 2 to trigger the compensation. The insurance pure premium rates at 400−500m, 500−600m, 600−700m, 700−800m, 800−900m and 900−1000m above sea level were 1.4%, 1.9%, 2.7%, 3.7%, 4.9% and 6.4% respectively. The insurance pure premium rates for the four periods of coverage from March 16 to March 30, March 21 to April 4, March 26 to April 9, March 31 to April 15 were 1.2%−5.0%, 0.9%−3.8%, 0.6%−2.2% and 0.3%−1.5% respectively. The insurance-only premium rate for tea frost damage in Huangshan Maofeng shows an increasing trend with altitude and a decreasing trend with time delay. 

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    Different Varieties and Planting Densities Influence on the Transpiration Rate of Xinjiang Cotton
    ZHAO Ming-ze, ZHANG Ze-shan, WANG Xue-jiao, SONG Yan-hong, SUN Shuai, HU Yan-ping, PARHAT Maimaiti, ZHANG Li-zhen, BAKE Batur, LI Jie
    Chinese Journal of Agrometeorology    2024, 45 (11): 1357-1368.   DOI: 10.3969/j.issn.1000-6362.2024.11.010
    Abstract313)      PDF(pc) (6725KB)(310)       Save

    To study the impact of different varieties and planting densities on the transpiration rate of cotton in Xinjiang, a field experiment was conducted in 2022 in Wulanwusu, Xinjiang. Three cotton varieties (' Zhongmian 979'  ' Zhongmian 703'  and 'Guoxin cotton' ) and two planting densities (D1:22 plants·m2; D2:11 plants·m2) were establish for treatment. The transpiration rate was measured using a heat ratio stem flow meter, and the differences in daily average transpiration, daily transpiration change, and cumulative transpiration of cotton under different weather conditions (sunny, rainy) and time scales were compared to clarify the water consumption rules of cotton under different varieties and densities in northern Xinjiang. The results showed that: (1) planting density had a significant impact on the cumulative and daily transpiration rates of cotton population. The cumulative and daily transpiration rates of cotton increased significantly under D1 planting density. Under D1 planting density treatment, the cumulative and daily transpiration rates of three varieties were significantly higher than those under D2 planting density treatment (an average increase of 51.2%). (2) Cotton varieties had a significant impact on individual and group transpiration, with ' Zhongmian 703'  higher stem flow rate, daily transpiration rate, and cumulative transpiration than other varieties. (3) The transpiration of a single cotton plant showed a "" shaped variation pattern on a daily scale. During the day (900−2100), the transpiration was relatively stable, but there was still a slight stem flow at night due to root pressure. (4) The transpiration rate and amount of cotton decreased month by month from July to September. The daily transpiration curve of cotton in September gradually transitioned to a unimodal pattern, and the daytime transpiration starts later (1000) and ends earlier (2000). (5) Accumulated transpiration had a positive correlation with both seed cotton yield and average leaf area, but it was not significant.

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