Abstract:

Ensuring food security and while achieving low-carbon development is a practical issue for the agricultural economy and the priority for carbon neutrality in the planting industry. Based on the time series data of Sichuan planting industry, the change of carbon emission and emission intensity was reviewed, and the input-output super-efficiency model was applied to evaluate the green development efficiency of Sichuan planting industry, and the influencing factors were analyzed by Tobit regression model. The results showed that carbon intensity of Sichuan planting industry decreased from 0.717 t to 0.208 t per 10000 yuan of GDP over the 2010−2022 period, with the continued expansion of the planting area being the core driver of the increase. At the same time, the green development trend of Sichuan planting industry showed the evolution characteristics of "continuous low efficiency− rapid stretching−stable development". In terms of influencing factors, the unique agricultural industrial structure and climate environment, as well as technological investment, have driven the green development of planting industry in Sichuan, while the high proportion of grain and oil crop cultivation was an objective challenge. The fiscal policy had improved the utilization level of planting industry to climate resources, but there was also a significant inhibitory effect. Therefore, while actively adapting to global warming, achieving a long-term balance between food security and green development of the planting industry, and guiding the green development willingness of planting entities with policy orientation, should be a direction that the government should continue to focus on.

Key words: Sichuan, Planting industry, Carbon emissions, Green development efficiency