中国农业气象 ›› 2013, Vol. 34 ›› Issue (03): 289-293.doi: 10.3969/j.issn.1000-6362.2013.03.006

• 论文 • 上一篇    下一篇

黄土高原地区年极端气温的变化特征

任志艳1,2,延军平1,张立伟1   

  1. 1陕西师范大学旅游与环境学院,西安710062;2西安文理学院文化与旅游学院,西安710065
  • 收稿日期:2012-10-18 出版日期:2013-06-20 发布日期:2013-06-17
  • 作者简介:任志艳(1973-),女,陕西汉中人,博士生,研究方向为区域开发与可持续发展。Email:zhiyanren@126.com
  • 基金资助:
    国家自然科学基金项目“部分重大自然灾害的时空对称性:结构、机理与适应对策”(41171090)

Variations Characteristics of Annual Extreme Temperature in Loess Plateau

REN Zhi yan1,2,YAN Jun ping1,ZHANG Li wei1   

  1. 1College of Tourism and Environment Science,Shaanxi Normal University,Xi’an710062,China; 2College of Culture and Tourism,Xi’an University of Arts and Science,Xi’an710065
  • Received:2012-10-18 Online:2013-06-20 Published:2013-06-17

摘要: 根据黄土高原地区58个气象站点1960-2011年年平均气温和年极端最高、最低气温数据,应用Kriging空间分析法、Mann-Kendall突变检验法对其时空分布特征进行分析。结果表明,(1)1960-2011年黄土高原地区的年平均气温和年平均极端最高、最低气温均呈升高趋势,且除年最低气温外均高于全国平均水平;三者的突变年份分别为1991、1998、1982年。(2)近52a来,该区年平均气温自西北向东南逐渐增加,气候倾向率自南向北逐渐增加,增温突变年份由西北向东南逐渐推迟;年平均极端最高气温在东北、西南部最小,中部较高,气候倾向率在西部、东北部最大,南部最小;年平均极端最低气温自西北向东南方向逐渐升高,气候倾向率北部大于南部,突变年份自西向东逐渐变早。(3)近52a来,该区经历了明显的由冷变暖的增温过程且年极端最低温度的升高对年平均气温升高的贡献最大,研究区极端气温的升高加剧了气温的极端化发展。研究结果对了解极端温度变化对农业生产带来的不利影响具有参考价值。

关键词: 气候变化, 极端气温, 气候突变, 空间分析, 黄土高原

Abstract: The spatial temporal distribution of annual average,extremely maximum and minimum temperature was analyzed based on meteorological data of 58 stations in Loess Plateau,by using of the Kriging interpolation and Mann-Kendall mutation test methods.The results showed that the annual average temperature,extremely maximum and minimum temperature in Loess Plateau increased from 1960 to 2011,all of them was higher than national average level at the same duration except for extreme minimum temperature.Their mutation periods occurred in 1991, 1998 and 1982 respectively.In past 52 years,the annual average temperature increased from southeastern to northwestern in Loess Plateau region,and the climatic tendency rate increased from southern to northern.The mutation point was delayed from northwest to southeastern.Annual average extreme maximum temperature in northeast and southwest was the lowest,and the central area was the highest.The climatic tendency rate in western and northeastern was the highest,the southern was the lowest.Annual average extreme minimum temperature in the northwest was lower than that of in southeast,the climatic tendency rate in northern was higher than that of in southern. The mutation point became earlier from western to eastern.The region experienced an obvious climate warming in last 52 years,in which annual average extreme minimum temperature had large contribution to average temperature increasing.The results had good references to understand the adverse impacts of extreme temperature change on agricultural production.

Key words: Climate change, Extreme temperature, Climate mutation, Spatial analysis, Loess Plateau