中国农业气象 ›› 2025, Vol. 46 ›› Issue (01): 14-22.doi: 10.3969/j.issn.1000-6362.2025.01.002

• 农业气象保险专刊 • 上一篇    下一篇

基于日光温室黄瓜低温冷害风险的天气指数保险设计

陈思宁,赵艳霞,任义方,张祎,孙擎,刘莉   

  1. 1.中国气象科学研究院,北京 100081;2. 江苏省气候中心,南京 210019
  • 收稿日期:2024-03-26 出版日期:2025-01-20 发布日期:2025-01-16
  • 作者简介:陈思宁,E-mail:siningchen@126.com;chensn@cma.gov.cn
  • 基金资助:
    国家重点研发计划课题(2023YFC3008503);中国气象局“金融气象”重点创新团队项目(2024Z002)

Weather Index Insurance Design Based on Low Temperature Disaster Risk of Cucumber in Solar Greenhouse

CHEN Si-ning, ZHAO Yan-xia, REN Yi-fang, ZHANG Yi, SUN Qing1, LIU Li   

  1. 1.Chinese Academy of Meteorological Sciences, Beijing 100081, China; 2.Jiangsu Climate Center, Nanjing 210019
  • Received:2024-03-26 Online:2025-01-20 Published:2025-01-16

摘要:

因保温材料及建筑结构参数的差异导致温室内气象条件差异,作物响应小气候差异,以及灾害风险差异等导致保险产品同费率但基差风险不同,针对以上日光温室作物天气指数保险产品设计的难点问题,本文基于天津日光温室黄瓜低温冷害风险,设计天气指数保险产品。从温室小气候条件与温室外气象条件的关系出发,基于自然灾害风险评估理论,综合考虑温室黄瓜低温冷害强度、灾害损失及温室防灾减灾能力,构建黄瓜低温冷害综合风险评估模型,划分黄瓜低温冷害风险分区;结合不同等级致灾指标及黄瓜减产率计算气象理赔指数,根据低温冷害风险区域系数厘定不同风险区保险纯费率;明确不同理赔指数下单位面积黄瓜低温冷害保费及赔付金额,设计日光温室黄瓜低温冷害天气指数保险产品。结果表明:天津日光温室黄瓜低温冷害高风险区主要位于天津北部地区,包括宝坻大部分区域、蓟州区西南部、武清区及北辰区中部地区、滨海新区汉沽西北部及宁河区东南部。黄瓜低温冷害高、中、低风险区的毛费率分别为8.05%、7.21%和6.27%,结合温室生产实际物化成本,黄瓜低温冷害单位面积赔付金额为45000元·hm2201511月天津一次典型低温过程为例分析黄瓜低温冷害天气指数保险的理赔情况,该产品可有效解决天津现行设施农业保险仅保棚体及保温材料等设施而不保作物的问题。

关键词: 日光温室, 黄瓜, 低温冷害, 风险评估, 天气指数保险

Abstract:

 In order to solve the difficulties in the design of solar greenhouse crop weather index insurance products, such as the different effects of indoor meteorological conditions on crops due to the differences in insulation materials and building structure parameters, and the basis risk caused by the same rate caused by regional meteorological disaster risks, this paper designed a weather index insurance product based on the distribution of cucumber low-temperature chilling injury risk in Tianjin solar greenhouse. Based on the relationship between the microclimate factors in the greenhouse and the outdoor weather conditions in the greenhouse, based on the theory of natural disaster risk assessment, a comprehensive risk assessment model of low-temperature chilling injury of cucumber was constructed and the risk zones of low-temperature chilling injury of cucumber were divided into different risk zones. The meteorological claims index was calculated by combining the disaster index for different grades and the yield reduction rate of cucumbers, and the insurance rates for different risk zones were determined based on the regional coefficients of the risk of hypothermia injuries. The insurance premiums and compensation amounts per unit area for cucumber hypothermia injuries under different claim indices were calculated, and the weather index insurance product for cucumber hypothermia injuries in solar greenhouses was designed. The results showed that the high-risk areas of cucumber low-temperature chilling injury in solar greenhouses in Tianjin were mainly located in the northern part of Tianjin, including most of Baodi, the southwest of Jizhou district, the central part of Wuqing district and Beichen district, the northwest of Hangu in Binhai new area and the southeast of Ninghe district. The gross rates of cucumber low-temperature chilling injury high, medium and low risk areas were 8.05%, 7.21% and 6.27% respectively, combined with the actual physical and chemical cost of greenhouse production, the compensation amount per unit area of cucumber was set at 45000 yuan·ha1, and a typical low-temperature process in Tianjin in November 2015 was taken as an example to introduce the claim of cucumber low-temperature chilling weather index insurance, the research and development of the product effectively solved the problem that Tianjin's current facility agricultural insurance only protects facilities such as sheds and insulation materials without protecting crops.

Key words: Solar greenhouse, Cucumber, Low temperature disaster, Risk evaluation, Weather index insurance