中国农业气象

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吐鲁番地区气候变化对参考作物蒸散量的影响

张山清;普宗朝;宋良娈;周鸿奎;宋水华;   

  1. 兰州大学大气科学学院;新疆乌鲁木齐市气象局;新疆吐鲁番地区气象局;
  • 出版日期:2009-08-10 发布日期:2009-08-10
  • 基金资助:
    新疆气象科研项目“新疆天然草场干旱特征和干旱指标的研究”(200708)

Effect of Climate Change on Potential Evapotranspiration in Turpan Region

ZHANG Shan-qing1,2,PU Zong-chao2,SONG Liang-luan3,ZHOU Hong-kui3,SONG Shui-hua3(1.College of Atmospheric Sciences,Lanzhou University,Lanzhou 730000,China;2.Urumqi Meteorological Bureau,Urumqi 830001;3.Turpan Regional Meteorological Bureau,Turpan 838000)   

  • Online:2009-08-10 Published:2009-08-10

摘要: 新疆吐鲁番盆地是中国气候最干旱、水资源最紧缺的地区之一,农业用水完全依赖于山区径流和地下水的灌溉。研究在气候变化背景下的参考作物蒸散量的变化,对制定科学合理的水资源管理技术方案具有重要意义。根据吐鲁番地区4个气象台站1959-2007年的历史气候资料以及联合国粮农组织(FAO)推荐的Pen-man-Monteith公式计算各地逐年参考作物蒸散量,采用线性回归、Morlet小波和Mann-Kendall突变检测等方法,分析近49a各站年平均气温、降水量、日照时数、年平均风速和空气相对湿度等气候要素以及年参考作物蒸散量的变化趋势和变化特征,据此分析参考作物蒸散量变化的气候成因。结果表明:①近49a吐鲁番地区年平均气温和空气相对湿度呈升高趋势,日照时数和年平均风速呈减小的趋势,降水量变化不明显;②年参考作物蒸散量与上述各气候要素均具有较好的相关关系(p<0.1),其中与年平均风速、空气相对湿度、降水量和平均气温的相关性最为密切(p<0.01)。受上述各气候要素变化的综合影响,近49a吐鲁番地区的参考作物蒸散量总体呈明显的减小趋势(P<0.01),这对降低农作物需水量和农田灌溉量具有重要影响;③突变检测表明,吐鲁番地区年平均气温在1970年发生了突变性升高,年平均风速在1965年发生了突变性减小,参考作物蒸散量在1968年发生了突变性减小,其它气候要素未发生突变;④各气候要素和参考作物蒸散量分别存在准2~8a的年际尺度和16~24a的年代际尺度的周期性变化。

关键词: 吐鲁番地区, 气候变化, 参考作物蒸散量

Abstract: Turpan Basin in Xinjiang is one of the regions of China's most arid climate and scarce water resource.Agriculture is totally dependent on mountain water runoff and groundwater irrigation.The research on reference crop evapotranspiration changes under the climate change background in the development of scientific and rational management of water resource technology program is of great significance.Based on the historical climate data of four meteorological stations from 1959 to 2007 in the Turpan Areas,the Penman-Monteith formula recommended by Food and Agriculture Organization(FAO) of the United Nations was used to calculate the reference crop evapotranspiration.The annual average temperature,precipitation,sunshine hours,wind speed,relative humidity and change trends and characteristics of the year's reference crop evapotranspiration in the last 49 years for each station were analyzed,by using linear regression,Morlet Wavelet and the Mann-Kendall mutation detection methods.The results showed that the average air temperature and relative humidity increased in the past 49 years in the Turpan Areas,while the sunshine hours and annual average wind speed decreased.But the precipitation did not change significantly.The reference crop evapotranspiration was closely related to the climate conditions(p<0.1),while it was positively related to the annual average wind speed,air relative humidity,rainfall and mean temperature(p<0.01).The overall reference crop evapotranspiration in the last 49 years in the Turpan Areas decreased(P<0.01).This would be important to reduce the crop water requirement and irrigation volume.The results by mutation examination showed that the mutant increase of the annual average temperature was in 1970 in Turpan region,while the mutant decrease of the annual average wind speed was in 1965.The mutant decrease of the reference crop evapotranspiration was in 1968.All of the climate elements and reference crop evapotranspiration had a quasi 2 to 8 years periodic change at the inter-annual scale and 16 to 24 years periodic change at the inter-decade scale.

Key words: Turpan Areas, Turpan Areas, Climate change, Reference crop evapotranspiration