中国农业气象

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河南省境内以淮河为界的南北气候变化差异分析

苏坤慧;延军平;李建山;   

  1. 陕西师范大学旅游与环境学院;河南省气象科学研究所;
  • 出版日期:2010-06-10 发布日期:2010-06-10
  • 基金资助:
    国家自然科学基金项目“秦岭南北全球变化适应度评价及可持续发展模式选择”(40871052)

Difference Analysis on Climate Change in Huaihe Valley in Henan Province

SU Kun-hui1,YAN Jun-ping1,LI Jian-shan2(1.College of Tourism and Environment,Shaanxi Normal University,Xi'an 710062,China;2.Henan Institute of Meteorological Science,Zhengzhou 450003)   

  • Online:2010-06-10 Published:2010-06-10

摘要: 选取河南省9个观测站1954-2007年的气候资料,基于ArcGIS等软件,利用数理统计分析、线性回归等方法,分析了河南省境内受淮河影响的气候变化差异及对全球气候变化的区域响应特点。结果表明:河南省境内的南北气候分界线为淮河最大的支流沙颍河和秦岭东部分支所连成地带即34°40′-34°50′N。分析期内南、北部总体上呈增温趋势,但具有阶段性特点,60年代以前持续升温,60年代-80年代中期为降温时期,80年代中期后,南、北部同时开始剧烈升温。在80年代以前南、北部的年降水量均递减,80年代北部骤减、南部骤增,90年代以后南、北地区均增多。80年代为气候突变时期,90年代至今,保持高温多雨水特征,南北温差不断增大。

关键词: 气候变化, 秦岭淮河, 差异, 河南省

Abstract: Based on meteorological data of 9 stations from 1957 to 2007 in Henan province,the difference of climate change in Huaihe valley was analyzed by using linear regression,mathematical statistics with ArcGIS.The results showed that the north-south dividing line of climate in Henan province was the area(between 34°40′N and 34°50′N) among the east of Qinling mountain and Shaying river,which is the largest tributary of Huaihe valley.The temperature increased both in south and north of Huaihe valley,but it changed in different period.For example,it increased consistently before 1960s,but decreased slightly during 1960s-1980s.Since mid-1980s the temperature increased intensely.The annual average precipitation decreased before 1980s both in south and north.However,it decreased intensely in north and increased intensely in south during 1980s.Both increased simultaneously in 1990s.In general,it was abrupt change stage in 1980s as it kept high temperature and more rainfall and big temperature difference between north and south after 1990s.

Key words: Climate change, Climate change, Qinling-Huaihe, Variance, Henan province