中国农业气象 ›› 2014, Vol. 35 ›› Issue (06): 603-610.doi: 10.3969/j.issn.1000-6362.2014.06.001

• 论文 • 上一篇    下一篇

海河流域不同等级降水强度和雨日的时空变化特征

李慧芳,殷淑燕   

  1. 陕西师范大学旅游与环境学院,西安710119
  • 收稿日期:2014-05-26 出版日期:2014-12-20 发布日期:2015-05-21
  • 作者简介:李慧芳(1988-),女,山西阳泉人,硕士生,研究方向为环境变化与自然灾害。Email:1187515301@qq.com
  • 基金资助:

    国家社会科学基金重点项目(11AZS009);国家自然科学基金项目(41030637;41271108;41371029);教育部博士点基金优先发展领域项目(20110202130002);中央高校基本科研业务费创新团队项目(GK201201003)

Temporal and Spatial Variation of Precipitation Intensity and Days With Different Grades in Haihe River Basin

LI Hui fang,YIN Shu yan   

  1. College of Tourism and Environment Science,Shaanxi Normal University,Xian710119,China
  • Received:2014-05-26 Online:2014-12-20 Published:2015-05-21

摘要: 利用1960-2013年海河流域30个气象站点的日降水量资料,采用一元线性趋势、5a滑动趋势、Mann-Kendall检验、Morlet小波分析、反距离空间插值(IDW)等方法,对海河流域不同等级降水强度和雨日的时空变化特征进行研究。结果表明,(1)与东南部地区相比,海河流域西北部地区大雨以上级别雨日少,强度小,而小雨雨日相对更多,强度相对更大,暴雨以上级别雨日表现出由东南向西北递减的趋势。(2)小雨是海河流域主要降水形式,近54a来小雨日数呈极显著减少趋势(P<0.01),小雨强度呈极显著增大趋势(P<0.01),其它量级雨日和强度的线性变化趋势均不显著;不同等级降水强度和雨日的M-K检验结果显示,小雨日数发生减少突变,小雨强度发生由弱向强的转折变化,但未出现突变,其它雨量等级未发生突变。(3)不同等级降水日数的变化周期集中在10a、17a左右,各等级降水强度的变化周期均集中在17a左右。

关键词: 降水日数, 降水强度, M-K突变检验, 小波分析, 空间插值, 海河流域

Abstract: Based on daily precipitation data from 30 meteorological stations in Haihe River Basin(HRB)from 1960 to 2013,the spatial and temporal variation of precipitation days and intensity with different grades was analyzed by using methods of linear trend,five years moving trend,Mann Kendall,Morlet wavelet and IDW.The results showed that heavy rain intensity in the southeast was larger than that in the northwest,and heavy rain days in the southeast was more than that in the northwest,while light rain showed opposite variation trend in HRB.The days of rainstorm and heavy rainstorm decreased from southeast to northwest.Light rain was the main form of precipitation in HRB,the linear decrease trend of light rain days was very significant(P<0.01),the linear increase trend of intensity was very significant(P<0.01),and the linear trend of rain day and intensity for other grades was not significant.Mann Kendall test showed that light rain days decreased abruptly,the intensity of light rain had occurred an obvious transition,but no mutation occurred.The days and intensity for heavy rain showed no obvious mutation.The main cycles of precipitation days with different grades had quasi periods of 10 and 17 years,and those of precipitation intensity with different grades had quasiperiods of 17 years.The results could provide the basis for agriculture structure adjustment and sustainable agriculture development.

Key words: Days of precipitation, Intensity of precipitation, M-K test, Wavelets analysis, Spatial interpolation, Haihe River Basin