中国农业气象 ›› 2011, Vol. 32 ›› Issue (3): 375-381.

• 论文 • 上一篇    下一篇

西北地区近49年生长季参考作物蒸散量的敏感性分析

曹雯,申双和,段春锋   

  • 出版日期:2011-08-20 发布日期:2011-11-03
  • 作者简介:曹雯(1983-),女,安徽芜湖人,博士生,主要从事农业气象研究。Email:sgfxxy_0@163.com
  • 基金资助:
    科技部公益性行业(气象)科研专项(GYHY200906023;GYHY201106043);中国气象局气候变化专项(CCSF0912);江苏省普通高校研究生科研创新计划资助项目(CX10B-297Z)

Sensitivity Analysis of the Reference Crop Evapotranspiration duringGrowing Season in the Northwest China in Recent 49 Years

CAO Wen,SHEN Shuanghe,DUAN Chunfeng   

  • Online:2011-08-20 Published:2011-11-03

摘要: 基于FAO Penman-Monteith公式计算了西北地区126个站点1961-2009年的生长季参考作物蒸散量(ET0)对气温、风速、相对湿度和太阳总辐射的敏感系数,并对敏感系数的时空变化特征进行分析。结果表明:西北地区生长季ET0对太阳总辐射最敏感,其次是气温和相对湿度,对风速的敏感性最低。气象要素分布的不均匀性导致敏感系数的空间差异显著,气温和风速的敏感系数在西风带气候区较大,相对湿度敏感系数在较湿润地带形成高值区,太阳总辐射敏感系数南部明显大于北部。生长季内,各气象因子的敏感系数均存在一定程度的波动,气温和太阳总辐射的敏感系数呈单峰型分布,风速敏感系数呈单谷型分布,相对湿度敏感系数的绝对值持续上升。49a来,太阳总辐射敏感系数显著上升,相对湿度敏感系数明显下降,其趋势系数均通过0.05水平的显著性检验,而气温和风速的敏感系数以波动为主,无明显变化趋势。

关键词: 参考作物蒸散量, Penman-Monteith公式, 敏感系数, 西北地区

Abstract: Based on the FAO Penman-Monteith equation,sensitivity coefficients of ET0 in growing season to air temperature,wind speed,relative humidity and shortwave radiation were studied in 126 stations in Northwest China using a 49-year dataset. The temporal-spatial variations of sensitivity coefficients of ET0 were also analyzed. The results showed that shortwave radiation was the most sensitive variable to ET0 in general for the region,followed by relative humidity and air temperature. Wind speed had the least impact. The sensitivity coefficients to all climate variables indicated large spatial variability. The high value area of sensitivity coefficients to air temperature and wind speed was in the westerly climatic region,while the high value area of sensitivity coefficients to relative humidity was in the relatively moist region. The sensitivity coefficients to shortwave radiation were higher in the south study area than in the north. In the growing season,the highest sensitivity coefficients to air temperature and shortwave radiation were in July,while the lowest sensitivity coefficient to wind speed was in July. The absolute sensitivity coefficients to relative humidity increased from April to October. The sensitivity coefficients to shortwave radiation and relative humidity indicated significant increasing and decreasing trends respectively during the 49 years. But the yearly change trends of sensitivity coefficients to air temperature and wind speed were not obvious.

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