中国农业气象 ›› 2013, Vol. 34 ›› Issue (01): 100-105.doi: 10.3969/j.issn.1000-6362.2013.01.015

• 论文 • 上一篇    下一篇

甘肃省春玉米干旱灾损评估指标研究

张钛仁1,2,王瑜莎1,3,白月明4   

  1. 1甘肃农业大学资源与环境学院,兰州730070;2中国气象局,北京100081;3辽宁省阜新市气象局,阜新123000;4中国气象科学研究院,北京100081
  • 收稿日期:2012-08-06 出版日期:2013-02-20 发布日期:2013-04-17
  • 作者简介:张钛仁(1957-),甘肃人,博士,高级工程师,主要研究方向气象灾害风险管理、气象服务与应用气象。Email: zhtr@cma.gov.cn
  • 基金资助:

    公益性行业(气象)科研专项(GYHY201106021)

Research on Drought Disaster Loss Assessment Index of Spring Corn in Gansu Province

ZHANG Tai ren1,2,WANG Yu sha1,3,BAI Yue ming4   

  1. 1Gansu Agricultural University,Resources and Environmental Institute,Lanzhou730070,China;2China Meteorological Administration,Beijing100081;3Fuxin Meteorological Bureau of Liaoning Province,Fuxin123000;4Chinese Academy of Meteorological Sciences,Beijing100081
  • Received:2012-08-06 Online:2013-02-20 Published:2013-04-17

摘要: 利用甘肃省春玉米主要种植区5个典型代表站,1985-2007年4-9月逐日降水量、CI指数、玉米单产和发育阶段的需水量等资料,尝试构建以CI和水分适宜度(降水量/需水量比值)为参数的定量评估指标即DI指数,利用其与相对气象产量的关系划分干旱指标等级,得到甘肃省春玉米干旱灾损评估的新方法。实证分析结果表明,从代表站的春玉米生长季(4月11日-9月30日)DI指数的逐年变化看,靖远、永昌变化最小且数值最低,榆中次之,西峰和武都变化最大且数值最高;从拔节-吐丝期DI指数的逐年变化看,西峰和武都波动最明显且数值最大,靖远和榆中波动最小且数值最低,所得评估结果与研究区实况较一致。而且DI指数与以往笼统的干旱指标相比,数据资料相对易获取,计算简单,既具有气象学意义,又具有生物学意义,可用于研究不同地区具体作物的干旱灾损评估。

关键词: 甘肃, 春玉米, 干旱, 评估指标

Abstract: In this study,a new quantitative assessment index(DI)was constructed, which took CI index and the ratio of precipitation and water demand on developmental stage as its parameters by using the data of five typical stations in the spring corn growing areas in Gansu province. Drought index level was graded based on the relationship between it and the meteorological yield from 1985 to 2007. Using linear correlation test and an example application analysis method, the feasibility of indicator was relatedly validated. The results showed that the change ranges of DI index during the whole growing season at Jingyuan and Yongchang stations were the smallest from 1985 to 2007 and their DI index values were the lowest too. The next was Yuzhong station, and change ranges of DI index during the whole growing season at Xifeng and Wudu were the largest, and their values were the highest. The fluctuations of DI index during jointing-silking stage at Xifeng and Wudu stations were very obvious,and their values were the biggest too, while the fluctuations of DI index during jointing-silking stage at Jingyuan and Yuzhong were very small,and their values were the lowest too. The assessment results were consistent with the actual situation of the areas under study. In conclusion,compared with the drought index of previous general ones,DI index data were relatively easy to obtain and simple to calculate.The indicator not only contained the meteorological significance, but also increased the biological significance. The indicator could be used to study drought disaster damage assessment for specific crops from various regions.

Key words: Gansu province, Spring corn, Drought, Assessment index