中国农业气象 ›› 2013, Vol. 34 ›› Issue (02): 138-145.doi: 10.3969/j.issn.1000-6362.2013.02.003

• 论文 • 上一篇    下一篇

山东省日照时数的气候变化特征及其影响因素

董旭光,邱粲,刘焕彬,孟祥新,王栋成,王静,曹洁   

  1. 山东省气候中心,济南250031
  • 收稿日期:2012-06-05 出版日期:2013-04-20 发布日期:2013-04-16
  • 作者简介:董旭光(1979-),吉林敦化人,硕士,高级工程师,主要从事应用气象工作。Email:dongxugg@sina.com
  • 基金资助:
    中国气象局气候变化专项(CCFS-11-4)

Sunshine Duration Variation and its Influence Factors in Shandong Province

DONG Xu guang,QIU Can,LIU Huan bin,MENG Xiang xin,WANG Dong cheng,WANG Jing,CAO Jie   

  1. Shandong Climate Center,Jinan 250031,China
  • Received:2012-06-05 Online:2013-04-20 Published:2013-04-16

摘要: 运用山东省1970-2009年123个气象站逐月日照时数资料,采用滑动t检验、气候趋势分析等方法对年、季日照时数的变化特征进行分析,同时研究总云量、低云量、水汽压和降水量等对日照时数变化有影响的气象因子的分时段变化特征。结果表明,山东省历年日照时数在1983、1997年前后发生了突变,1997年的突变最显著;年日照时数呈大致的纬向分布,且具有典型的南少北多的特点,鲁北、山东半岛西北部最多,鲁南最少;年日照时数呈极显著的减少趋势,达到-91.3h/10a(P<0.01),山东半岛东部和北部日照时数的减少趋势最小,个别站有增加的趋势,鲁西南、鲁西、鲁中山区及鲁北沿海等地年日照时数显著减少;四季中夏季日照时数下降最明显,春季下降速率最小;各月中以5月日照时数最多;1997年以后总云量的显著增多对日照时数减少的贡献较大,整个分析期内水汽压的显著增大对日照时数减少的贡献最大。研究结果可为了解区域气候变化,促进可持续发展提供依据。

关键词: 日照时数, 滑动t检验, 气候倾向率, 空间变化, 时间变化

Abstract: The variation of annual and seasonal sunshine duration was analyzed by using of t test method,based on monthly sunshine duration of 123 meteorological stations in Shandong province from 1970 to 2009.The spatial variation of meteorological factors,which affected sunshine duration,including cloud amount,low cloud amount,vapor pressure and precipitation,was analyzed.The results showed that mutation point of annual sunshine duration was in 1983 and 1997. The annual sunshine duration decreased from north to south in Shandong province.The total annual sunshine duration decreased significantly during last 40 years with a rate of 91.3h/10y (P<0.01),particularly in southwest,west,northern coast and mountains of middle Shandong province.The decreasing trend of sunshine duration was obvious in summer and not obvious in spring,but the maximum total amount was in May.The reason of sunshine duration decreasing mainly because of vapor pressure increasing during 1970 to 2009,but the affect of cloud amount increasing was more after 1997.The results could provide references to sustainable development to adapt to climate change.

Key words: Sunshine duration, T test method, Climate tendency rate, Spatial variation, Temporal variation