[1]Tao F L,Yokozawa M,Liu J Y,et al.Climate-crop yield relationships at provincial scales in China and the impacts of recent climate trends[J].Climate Research,2008,38(1): 83-94.
[2]Lobell D B,Field C B.Global scale climate-crop yield relationships and the impacts of recent warming[J]. Environmental Research Letters,2007,2(1):1-7.
[3]Lobell D B.Changes in diurnal temperature range and national cereal yields[J].Agriculture and Forest Meteorology,2007, 145(3-4):229-238.
[4]张建平,赵艳霞,王春乙,等.气候变化对我国华北地区冬小麦发育和产量的影响[J].应用生态学报,2006,17(7):1179-1184.
Zhang J P,Zhao Y X,Wang C Y,et al.Effects of climate change on winter wheat growth and yield in North China [J].Chinese Journal of Applied Ecology,2006,17(7):1179-1184.(in Chinese)
[5]IPCC.Summary for policy makers of climate change 2007:the physical science basis contribution of working group I to the fourth assessment report of the intergovernmental panel on climate change[M].Cambridge:Cambridge University Press, 2007.
[6]周介铭,彭文甫.影响四川省粮食生产因素的灰色分析与粮食产量预测[J].四川师范大学学报(自然科学版),2005, 28(3):350-353.
Zhou J M,Peng W F.The grey correlation analysis of factors affecting grain production and the forecast for grain production in Sichuan Province[J].Journal of Sichuan Normal University(Natural Science),2005,8(3):350-353.(in Chinese)
[7]蔺涛,谢云,刘刚,等.黑龙江省气候变化对粮食生产的影响[J].自然资源学报,2008,23(2):307-318 .
Lin T,Xie Y,Liu G,et al.Impact of climate change on crop yields in Heilongjiang Province[J].Journal of Natural Resources,2008,23(2):307-318.(in Chinese)
[8]朱珠,陶福禄,娄运生,等.1981-2009年江苏省气候变化趋势及其对水稻产量的影响[J].中国农业气象, 2012,33(4):567- 572.
Zhu Z,Tao F L,Lou Y S,et al.Trends in climate and their effects on rice yields in Jiangsu Province from 1981 to 2009[J].Chinese Journal of Agrometeorolog,2012,33(4):567- 572.(in Chinese)
[9]Isik M,Devadoss S.An analysis of the impact of climate change on crop yields and yield variability[J].Applied Economics,2006,38(7):835-844.
[10]孙卫国,程炳岩,杨沈斌,等.区域气候变化对华东地区水稻产量的影响[J].中国农业气象,2011,32(2):227-234.
Sun W G,Cheng B Y,Yang S B,et al.Impact of the regional climate variations on rice yield in East China[J].Chinese Journal of Agrometeorolog,2011,32(2):227-234.(in Chinese)
[11]张艺萌,张雪松,郭婷婷,等.辽西北地区气温和降水变化对气候生产潜力的影响[J].中国农业气象,2015,36(2):227- 234.
Zhang Y M,Zhang X S,Guo T T,et al.Characteristics of temperature and precipitation change and the influence on climate productive potential in the Northwestern Liaoning[J]. Chinese Journal of Agrometeorolog,2015,36(2):227-234.(in Chinese)
[12]Joshi N P,Maharjan K L,Piya L.Effect of climate variable on yield of major food-crops in Nepal[J].Journal of Contemporary India Studies:Space and Society,2011, (1):19-26.
[13]潘敖大,曹颖,陈海山,等.近25a气候变化对江苏省粮食产量的影响[J].大气科学学报,2013,36(2):217-228.
Pan A D,Cao Y,Chen H S,et al.Impacts of climate change on food-crops production in Jiangsu Province from 1986 to 2010[J].Transactions of Atmospheric Sciences,2013,36(2): 217-228.(in Chinese)
[14]Rand R W.Introduction to robust estimation and hypothesis testing(2nded)[M].San Diego, CA:Academic Press,2005.
[15]刘会玉,林振山,张明阳.基于EMD的我国粮食产量波动及其成因多尺度分析[J].自然资源学报,2005, 20(5):745-751.
Liu H Y,Lin Z S,Zhang M Y.Analysis on the fluctuation of grain output in China and its causes at multi-time scale based on Empirical Mode Decomposition method[J].Journal of Natural Resources,2005, 20(5):745-751.(in Chinese)
[16]Shi K,Liu C Q,Ai N S,et al.Using three methods to investigate time scaling properties in air pollution indexes time series[J].Nonlinear Analysis:Real World Applications, 2008, 9(2):693-707.
[17]Lee C K,Lin S C.Chaos in air pollutant concentration (APC) time series[J].Aerosol and Air Quality Research,2008, 8(4):381-391.
[18]Weng Y C,Chang N B,Lee T Y.Nonlinear time series analysis of ground-level ozone dynamics in Southern Taiwan [J]. Journal of Environmental Management,2008,87(3):405-414.
[19]Shi K,Liu C Q,Ai N S.Monofractal and multifractal approaches in investigating temporal variation of air pollution indexes[J].Fractals,2009,17(4):513-521.
[20]刘会玉,张明阳,林振山.建国以来江苏省粮食产量变化的多时间尺度分析[J].资源科学,2004,26(1):107-112.
Liu H Y,Zhang M Y,Lin Z S.Multiple time scales analysis of grain output in Jiangsu Province after the founding of our people’s republic[J].Resources Science,2004,26(1):107-112. (in Chinese)
[21]陈朝霞,周宏,于德贵.基于混沌吸引子的复杂农业系统预测模型研究[J].南京气象学院学报,2004,27(6):862-866.
Chen Z X,Zhou H,Yu D G.A complex agro-system forecast model based on chaotic attractor[J].Journal of Nanjing Institute of Meteorology,2004, 27(6):862-866.(in Chinese)
[22]Podobnik B,Stanley H E.Detrended cross-correlation analysis:a new method for analyzing two nonstationary time series[J].Physical Review Letters,2008,100(8):84-102.
[23]Ling Y H,Shu P C.A new approach to quantify power-law cross-correlation and its application to commodity markets [J].Physica A:Statistical Mechanics And its Applications, 2011,390(21-22):3806-3814.
[24]Vassole R T,Zebende G F.DCCA cross-correlation coefficient apply in time series of air temperature and air relative humidity[J].Physica A:Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, 2012,391(7):2438-2443.
[25]Shi K.Detrended cross-correlation analysis of temperature, rainfall, PM10 and ambient dioxins in Hong Kong [J]. Atmospheric Environment,2014,97:130-135.
[26]杜华明,延军平.四川省气候变化特征与旱涝区域响应[J].资源科学,2013,35(12):2491-2500.
Du H M,Yan J P.Climatic change and drought-flood regional responses in sichuan[J].Resources Science,2013,35(12):2491- 2500.(in Chinese)
[27]Shi K,Liu C Q,Ai N S.Monofractal and multifractal approaches in investigating temporal variation of air pollution indexes[J].Fractals,2009,17(4):513-521.
[28]Shi K,Liu C Q,Huang Z W,et al.Comparative analysis of time-scaling properties about water pH in Poyang Lake inlet and outlet on the basis of fractal methods[J].Water Science and Technology,2010,61(8):2113-2118.
[29]邓振镛,王强,张强,等.中国北方气候暖干化对粮食作物的影响及应对措施[J].生态学报,2010,30(22):6278-6288.
Deng Z Y,Wang Q,Zhang Q,et al.Impact of climate warming and drying an food crops in northern China and the countermeasures[J].Acta Ecologica Sinica,2010,30(22):6278- 6288.(in Chinese)
|