Chinese Journal of Agrometeorology ›› 2024, Vol. 45 ›› Issue (8): 849-859.doi: 10.3969/j.issn.1000-6362.2024.08.004

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Simulation of Reference Crop Evapotranspiration Based on PSO-RF in the Hanjiang Basin

GE Jie, CAO Qi-xin, ZHANG Xiao-peng, LEI Long, CHEN Zhi-li, FENG Jia-hao   

  1. Power China Northwest Engineering Corporation Limited, Xi’an 710065, China; Hebei Tianhe Consulting Co., Ltd, Shijiazhuang 050000

  • Received:2023-11-01 Online:2024-08-20 Published:2024-08-09

Abstract: Sixteen daily scale ET0 calculation models were developed using the particle swarm optimization algorithm and random forest (PSO-RF) based on daily meteorological data collected from 24 meteorological stations in the Hanjiang dasin and it’s vicinity from 1960 to 2017, and were compared with Hargreaves-Samani, Irmark-Allen and Makkink, which applicability and portability were evaluated. The results showed that: 1the non-linear relation between daily ET0 and each input parameter can be well displayed by PSO-RF model. The PSO-RF2 established by TmaxTmin and Ra had sufficient accuracy (MAE=0.402 mm·d1, RMSE=0.575mm·d1, R2=0.863). With the increase of meteorological elements, the computational accuracy of PSO-RF model was improved(MAE decreased by 37.9%, RMSE decreased by 36.3%, R2 increased by 6.78%.2When the input factors and number of models are the same, the PSO-RF model had higher simulation accuracy than Hargreaves-Samani, Irmark-Allen, and Makkink models(MAE decreased by 43.6%, RMSE decreased by 34.5%, R2 increased by 4.12%).3The PSO-RF model had strong generalization ability and portability in the Hanjiang basin. High accuracy was shown in mutual portability of PSO-RF models established in different zone (MAE= 0.159mm·d1, RMSE=0.245mm·d1, R2=0.974). Therefore, the model based on PSO-RF can be used as a recommended model for the calculation of daily ET0 in Hanjiang basin in the absence of meteorological data.

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