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    10 February 2010, Volume 31 Issue 01
    论文
    Change of Autumnal Leaf Coloring of Woody Plants in Eastern China for the Last 40 Years
    ZHONG Shu-ying,ZHENG Jing-yun,GE Quan-sheng(Institute of Geographic Sciences and Natural Resources Research,CAS,Beijing 100101,China)
    2010, 31(01):  1-4. 
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    Based on plant phenological data from 17 stations of the Chinese Phenological Observation Network of Institute of Geographic Sciences and Natural Resources Research,Chinese Academy of Sciences and the meteorological data,the change of autumnal leaf coloring of woody plants in Eastern China for the last 40 years was analyzed.The results showed that in Eastern China,the timing of leaf coloring change of the woody plants showed an average delaying rate of 3.7 day per 10 years,and this delaying trend was remarkable after 1980s,and a rise or drop of 1℃ in mean minimum temperature could lead to a delay or an advance of 3 days in leaf coloring.Climate warming was probably the main reason for the delaying trend in autumn phenophase of woody plants in Eastern China during the study period.The results of this study will have great significance for the study of relation between phenology and global climate change.
    Analysis of Varying Characteristics and Abrupt Change of Precipitation in Recent 54 Years in Puyang City
    WANG Chun-ling,CUI Li,SHI Feng-yun,WU Jian-he,LI Shu-yong,XU Qiao-zhen,HAO Tong-wei,WANG Jian-ying,XU Guo-qing(Meteorological Bureau of Puyang City,Puyang 457000,China)
    2010, 31(01):  5-10. 
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    Precipitation data in Puyang city from 1954 to 2008 was analyzed in months,seasons and years based on linear trend test,T-detected method,and slide T-detected method.The results showed that annual precipitation decreased(-8.66mm per 10 years,|t|=1.5694t0.1/2=1.6684),rainstorm occurred early than the past.The days of heavy rain were in accordance with the amount of precipitation.
    Sensitive Analysis on Reference Evapotranspiration to Key Meteorological Factors in Northeast China
    ZENG Li-hong1,2,SONG Kai-shan1,ZHANG Bai1,WANG Zong-ming1(1.Northeast Institute of Geography and Agro-ecology,Chinese Academy of Sciences,Changchun 130012,China;2.Graduate University of Chinese Academy of Sciences,Beijing 100049)
    2010, 31(01):  11-18. 
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    Daily reference evapotranspiration(ET0) in growing season(May to September) during 1961-2008 was calculated by using Penman-Monteith equation recommended by FAO,based on daily meteorological data provided by China Meteorological Administer.Temporal variation of ET0 and key meteorological factors were analyzed.Sensitivity of daily ET0 to key climate factors,such as temperature,sunshine hours,average wind speed and average relative humanity,was analyzed by using the methods of response curves,sensitivity matrixes and sensitivity coefficients.The results showed that temperature increased significantly(P<0.01) during 1961 to 2008,while sunshine hours,average wind speed and average relative humidity decreased significantly(P<0.01) in same time.The average daily ET0 uring growing season did not extended±0.3mm per day at the point of 3.60mm per day,and it was steady in these years and got maximum value in 2001(3.87mm per day) and minimum value in 1990(3.28mm per day).Daily ET0 also increased with temperature,sunshine hours and mean wind speed changed from-20% to 20%,while daily ET0 decreased with average relative humidity changed from-20% to 20%.Average daily sensitivity coefficients of meteorological factors during the growing season varied in region,of which temperature was the most sensitive to ET0,followed by average relative humidity,sunshine hours and mean wind speed.
    Comparative Analysis of Soil Heat Flux between Two Alpine Meadow Vegetation Types at Haibei Station,Qilian Mountains
    WANG Jian-lei1,2,LI Ying-nian1,WANG Qin-xue3,DU Ming-yuan4,XUE Xiao-juan1,2,ZHANG Fa-wei1(1.Northwest Plateau Institution of Biology,Chinese Academy of Sciences,Xining 810001,China;2.Graduate School of the Chinese Academy of Sciences,Beijing 100049,China;3.National Institute Environmental Studies,Tsukuba 3058604,Japan;4.National Institute of Agro-Environment Sciences of Japan,Tsukuba 3050053,Japan)
    2010, 31(01):  19-24. 
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    Based on the measurement of soil heat flux of Kobresia humilis and Potentilla fruticosa meadows at Haibei station,Qilian Mountains,the results indicated that the diurnal change of soil heat flux for both types of meadows in clear days was lower at night and higher in the afternoon,representing a single-peak distribution.And it was complex in rainy days,with drastic fluctuation caused by rain and cloud.Whether it was sunny or not,the diurnal change of soil heat flux for Potentilla fruticosa meadow was more stable and its extent was smaller for high canopy height and much soil water content in Potentilla fruticosa meadow,with respecting to Koresia humilis.The monthly change of soil heat flux which was lowest in December(Kobresia humilis and Potentilla fruticosa meadows were-40.27MJ/m2,-16.85MJ/m2 respectively)and highest in June(Kobresia humilis and Potentilla fruticosa meadows were 20.47MJ/m2,18.98MJ/m2 respectively),appearing a single-peak distribution.The annual total soil heat flux for Kobresia humilis and Potentilla fruticosa meadows was significantly different and was-24.72MJ/m2 and 48.10MJ/m2 respectively.Both of the annual change of soil heat flux was relevant to the variations of plant growth,soil water,seasonal frozen soil,especially net radiation.Due to the difference of vegetation types and environment factors,Potentilla fruticosa meadows' soil heat flux was a smaller consumer of net radiation than that of Kobresia humili.However,the synchronicity between soil heat flux and net radiation was worse for Potentilla fruticosa,whose delay feedback was 2.5 hours,longer than that of Kobresia humilis.
    Effects of La(Ⅲ) on Energy Metabolism of Rice Seeds under Acid Rain Stress
    YANG Wei,ZHOU Qing(Key Laboratory of Industrial Biotechnology,Ministry of Education/School of Environment and Civil Engineering,Jiangnan University,Wuxi 214122,China)
    2010, 31(01):  25-27. 
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    In order to explore the effects of La(Ⅲ) on the energy metabolism of rice seeds under acid rain stress,the experiment of simulating acid rain(pH2.5) to rice seeds in distilled water and La(Ⅲ) was conducted.The effect of simulated acid rain on respiration rate,activity of CAT,mitochondrial protein,ATP content and Energy Charge(EC) of rice seeds were studied.The results showed that all the treated groups had the same alter trend with acid rain treatment period extending.The respiration rate of rice seeds declined at first then increased,and reached the peak on the forth day,then declined again.The activity of CAT and mitochondrial protein content increased slowly at the beginning.ATP content and EC of rice seeds increased sharply to the peak on the fifth day and then declined.All the targets of the AR+La groups were higher than that of the AR groups.These results indicated that La(Ⅲ) could lighten the damage of acid rain on mitochondria,and enhance resistance of rice seed to acid rain.
    Effect of Combined Treatment of Fertilizer and Water on Winter Wheat Yield
    WANG Dan,LI Yu-zhong,LI Qiao-zhen,XU Chun-ying,LIU Xiao-ying(Institute of Environment and Sustainable Development in Agriculture,CAAS/Key Laboratory of Dryland Agriculture,MOA,Beijing 100081,China)
    2010, 31(01):  28-31. 
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    To study the effects of different combinations of nitrogen,phosphorus,potash,organic fertilizers and irrigation on winter wheat yields,the field experiments were conducted in Changping,Beijing from 2007 to 2008.The results showed that the effects of each factor was nitrogen>irrigation>potassium>organic fertilizer>phosphorus,and interaction was still existed.There was positive correlation between irrigation and yields.Organic fertilizer had a significant relationship with yields,though its effect was less than nitrogen fertilizer,potash fertilizer and irrigation.The most optimum treatment was 75kg/ha nitrogen,12000kg/ha organic fertilizer,75kg/ha phosphorus,150kg/ha potassium and 3000kg/ha irrigation.
    Distribution and Evaluation of Heavy Metal in the long-term Orchard Soil in Loess Plateau
    LIU Yun-xia1,PANG Jiang-li1,2,DING Min1,CHU Yong-bo1(1.College of Tourism and Environmental Sciences,Shaanxi Normal University,Xi′an 710062,China;2.Institute of Earth Environment,Chinese Academy of Sciences/State Key Laboratory of Loess and Quaternary Geology,Xi′an 710075)
    2010, 31(01):  32-36. 
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    Based on the analysis of soil samples collected from Changwu apple orchard,Shaanxi Province,the soil environmental quality was evaluated by using standards for pollution-free fruit orchard and standards for green food production area.The results indicated that according to the former standards,contaminated degree for soil heavy metals was Ni>As>Cr>Zn>Cu>Pb and the index of synthetic soil heavy metals pollution was 0.489.And according to the latter standard,the contaminated degree of soil heavy metals was Cr>As>Pb>Cu and the synthetic pollution index of soil heavy metals was 0.715.Therefore,the soil environmental quality in this production area should be leveled at no-enough clean.Environmental quality evaluation revealed a potential pollution of the Ni and Cr,Cr,whose content had reached the alarming level by soil environmental quality standards for green food production area,should be the emphasis of monitoring and be paid enough attention to in the future.
    Effects of Plastic Mulching on ETc,Kc and WUE of Cotton in Northern Shandong Province
    ZUO Yu-bao1,PANG Huan-cheng2,LI Yu-yi2,TIAN Chang-yu1,TANG Ji-wei1(1.Dezhou Experimental Station of CAAS,Dezhou 253015,China;2.Institude of Agricultural Resources and Regional Planning of CAAS,Beijing 100081)
    2010, 31(01):  37-40. 
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    Crop evapotranspiration(ETc),crop coefficient(Kc) and water use efficiency(WUE) are basic parameters for establishing irrigation schedule and regional water resources balance.They are changeable under different climate region and cultivation.The aim of this experiment is to understand the effect of plastic mulching on ETc,Kc and WUE of cotton in northern Shandong province.Based on field experiment,ETc was calculated by water balance equation,reference crop evapotranspiration(ETo) and Kc were calculated by using Penman-Monteith equation.The results indicated that the ETc and Kc of cotton in plastic mulching filed decreased by 101.5mm and 17.6% than CK(no mulch) respectively,and WUE increased by 29.3%.
    Correlations between the Precipitation Evaporation Difference in Northern China and the Subtropical High over the Western Pacific
    SUN Wei-guo1,CHENG Bing-yan2,GUO Qu1(1.College of Applied Meteorology,Nanjing University of Information Science and Technology,Nanjing 210044,China;2.Climate Center of Chongqing,Chongqing 401147)
    2010, 31(01):  41-47. 
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    To reveal the restrictions of atmospheric general circulation and the effects of interaction between atmosphere and ocean on the water resources in Northern China,the relationship between the movement of subtropical high(STH) location over the Western Pacific and the difference of precipitation and evaporation(DPE) in Northern China were analyzed by using the method of wavelet cross-correlation and cross wavelet transform.The results showed that the water resource shortage was relieved in the south of Northern China since 2000,but not changed in the north of Northern China including Beijing.There were significant correlation oscillations of inter-annual and inter-decadal scale between the DPE in Northern China and the location of STH ridge line and northern limit,and the coherence of inter-decadal correlation between the DPE and the STH ridge line was higher than the coherence of inter-decadal correlation between the DPE and the STH northern limit.The significance of inter-decadal correlation was exhibited at a stage and the inter-annual correlations were localized in the time space during 1955 to 2008.The results indicated that the main reason of the increasing of DPE in the south of Northern China since 2000 was increasing precipitation in the region,which resulted from the STH ridge line north-extending and keeping as anticyclonic circulation.The abnormal intensity and location of the STH had obvious effects on the inter-annualand inter-decadal variations of the DPE in North China.
    Effect of Soil Water Stress on Photosynthetic and Transpiration Characters of Eucommia ulmoides
    YANG Quan1,2,MENG Ping2,LI Jun-qing1,ZHANG Jin-song2,GUO Lin2,GAO Jun2,HUANG Hui2(1.Forestry College of Beijing Forestry University,Beijing 100083,China;2.Research Institute of Forestry,CAF Key Laboratory of Forest Silviculture of the State Forestry Administration,Beijing 100091)
    2010, 31(01):  48-52. 
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    In this study,observation by Li-6400 system was used to analyze the light response of some physiological factors,such as net photosynthetic rate(Pn),transpiration rate(Tr),stomatal conductance(Gs),intercellular CO2(Ci),stomatal limitation value(Ls) and water use efficiency(WUE) of 3-years-old Eucommia ulmoides,which was planted in the rocky mountain of North China under different soil water stress.Soil water was engaged in four levels of about 75%(CK),55%(W1),40%(W2) and 30%(W3) of soil water holding capacity.The results showed that:(1) Light saturation point for W1,W2 and W3 of Eucommia ulmoides was 12.5%,44.8%,68.5% lower than CK respectively.The maximum net photosynthetic rate on sunny day reached crest under the condition of CK,which was 21.5%,47% and 69.7% higher than W1,W2,W3 respectively;(2) The transpiration rate(Tr) increased with the rise of photosynthetic active radiation(PAR).Compared with CK,Tr was 17%,52% and 93% lower under W1,W2 and W3;(3) Gs increased with the rise of PAR.Compared with CK,Gs decreased by 22.6%,67.9%,88.7% under W1,W2 and W3.Without water stress or with mild water stress,stomatal limitation was the main factor to influence photosynthesis.But under severe stress conditions,when the PAR came to 1000μmol· m-2·s-1,the main reason for impact of photosynthesis changed from stomatal limitation to non-stomatal limitation;(4) Water use efficiency(WUE) reached highest under W3 condition.There was little variation under CK,W1,W2.However,compared with W3,WUE decreased by 68.6%,69.5%,67.3%.
    Change Characteristic of 20cm Pan Evaporation in Aletai,Xinjiang
    ZHUANG Xiao-cui 1,2,ZHANG Lin-mei1,2,LI Hai-hua1,2(1.Institute of Arid Meteorology,China Meteorological Administration/Key Laboratory of Arid Climatic Changing and Reducing Disaster of Gansu Province /Open Key Laboratory of Arid Climatic Changing and Reducing Disaster,CMA,Lanzhou 730020,China;2.Meteorological Bureau of Aletai,Aletai 836500)
    2010, 31(01):  53-58. 
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    The inter-annual and inter-decadal variation and abrupt change of 20cm pan evaporation in Aletai,Xinjiang was studied based on 20cm pan evaporation data of 7 weather stations from 1964 to 2001 by using the method of linear trend and Mann-Kendall.The results showed that the highest annual average pan evaporation was occurred in 1970s,and then declined.The highest evaporation was in summer,followed by spring and autumn.Annual evaporation was fluctuation,which was same to spring,summer and autumn.But it increased significantly in winter.There was an obvious abrupt change for pan evaporation in summer and autumn during 1980s.The results indicated that climate change had different performance in different seasons and regions.
    Study on Evapotranspiration and Crop Coefficient of the Alpine Meadows in the Haibei Area
    LIU An-hua1,2,LI Ying-nian1,XUE Xiao-juan1,3,WANG Jian-lei1,3,ZHANG Fa-wei1(1.Northwest Institute of Plateau Biology,Chinese Academy of Sciences,Xining 810008,China;2.Qinghai Environmental Protection Bureau,Xining 810007;3.Graduate University of the Chinese Academy of Science,Beijing 100049)
    2010, 31(01):  59-64. 
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    The reference evapotranspiration of the Alpine Meadows in the Haibei area was estimated by using the FAO P-M equation,Penman equation and Irmark-Allen equation.Calculations from the first method was considered as the standard to compare with those from other two methods.Results showed that the reference evapotranspiration was about 812.0mm in the Haibei alpine meadow,while it was 500.9mm in plant growing season from May to September.The comparison also suggested that the calculated reference evapotranspiration by FAO P-M was more reasonable,for there might be deviations by using the other 2 methods due to the influence of radiation and soil heat flux.Furthermore,the actual evapotranspiration was calculated by water balance,which was 425.5mm in plant growing season.Crop coefficient was the ratio between the actual and the reference evapotranspiration(by FAO P-M method),which was 0.51,0.96 and 0.87 in the beginning,middle and end of the growing season,respectively.
    Yield Response of Different Genotypic Maize to Water in North China Plain
    ZHUANG Yan1,2,MEI Xu-rong1,GONG Dao-zhi1,HAO Wei-ping1,LI Yu-qing3, LIU Bin-hui3,WU Xue-ping2(1.Institute of Environment and Sustainable Development in Agriculture,CAAS /Key Laboratory of Dryland Agriculture,MOA,Beijing 100081,China;2.Institute of Agricultural Resources and Regionalization,Beijing 100081;3.Institute of Dryland Farming and Water-saving Agriculture,Hebei Provincial Agriculture and Forestry Academy,Hengshui 053000)
    2010, 31(01):  65-68. 
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    An experiment was conducted to study the effects of water deficits in the different growing stages,and to analyze the water use,yield and its components,and yield response factor(Ky) of two maize varieties,Ludan 981 and Zhengdan 958.The results showed that effects of water deficits on yield in every stage were different.The highest effect was in the flowering stage,while the lowest effect was in the jointing stage.There was significant difference between yield response factors of both genotypes during flowering stage,which were 1.40 and 1.20 respectively.
    Influences of Meteorological Conditions on Growing Period of Kentucky Bluegrass in Zoige Grassland
    QING Qing-tao1,HOU Mei-ting2,WANG Ming-tian1,TIAN Hong3(1.Sichuan Climate Center,Chengdu 610071,China;2.Institute of Atmospheric Physics,CAS,Beijing 100029;3.Sichuan Provincial Meteorological Observatory,Chengdu 610071)
    2010, 31(01):  69-73. 
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    Based on the meteorological data and grazing grass data from 1985 to 2006 in the meteorological station in Zoige County,Sichuan Province,the relationship between the temperature and precipitation,and the growing period of Kentucky Bluegrass(Poa pratensis L.) dominated in the Zoige grassland was analyzed.The starting time of all growing periods in relation to the meteorological conditions was also studied.The main results showed that the growing period of Kentucky Bluegrass ranged from 125 to 176 days,with the average by 144 days.However,the vegetative growing period which ranged from 79 to 111 days,on average by 92 days,was longer than the reproductive growth which was between 39 days and 64 days,on average by 49 days.The duration of vegetative growth,reproductive growth and the whole growing period was negatively related to accumulated temperature by 0℃,while it positively related to precipitation.The accumulated temperature was more important.The returning green stage of Kentucky Bluegrass was typically between March 26th and April 16th,the leaf-expansion period between May 2nd and May 16th,and the heading date between June 30th and July 16th.There was no significant correlation between the returning green stage of Kentucky Bluegrass and previous accumulated temperature by 0℃.The starting time of other growing periods had certain relations with previous accumulated temperature.The growing period was inclined to delay with lower previous accumulated temperature.
    Responses of Apple Trees Growth to Climate Change in Typical Stations of Longdong Loess Plateau
    YANG Xiao-li,JIANG Guang-sheng(Meteorological Bureau of Pingliang City,Pingliang 744000,China)
    2010, 31(01):  74-77. 
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    The responses of apple tree growth to climate change in Longdong loess plateau were analyzed,based on observed phonological data from 1984 to 2007,apple yield data from 1986 to 2007,and meteorological data from 1961 to 2007 at Xifeng and Kongtong station in Gansu province.The results showed that apple tree growing stages,such as leaf bud opening and flowering,advanced,while maturity postponed,so the whole growth season of apple tree was extended.The meteorological conditions during whole growth season of apple trees became warmer and drier,especially during flowering period.The main meteorological factors that influenced apple yield in Kongtong were the minimum temperature in April and July to August,precipitation in early January,and sunshine hours in early June.These factors varied differently with climate changed,and affected apple yield in differently too.It's necessary to take some measures such as adjusting distribution of planting areas,strengthening field management,to adapt to climate change in the future.
    Contrastive Analysis on Meteorological Conditions between Abundant Year and Lean Year for Cotton Production in Northern Xinjiang
    CHENG Xiang-ru1,ZHANG Guang-hua2,LI Yan-bin1,MAO Wei-yi3(1.Meteorological Bureau of Wujiaqu City,Wujiaqu 831300,China;2.The Sixth Agricultural Division of Xinjiang Production and Construction Corps,Wujiaqu 831300;3.Xinjiang Climate Center,Urumqi 830002)
    2010, 31(01):  78-82. 
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    Taking the sixth agricultural division as an example,meteorological conditions between abundant year and lean year for cotton production were analyzed by using the meteorological data from 1981 to 2007,including temperature,accumulated temperature,frost-free period,precipitation and sunshine.The evaluating indexes of meteorological conditions between abundant year and lean year for cotton production were given out.The indexes in abundant year were≥10℃ accumulated temperature of the total year was more than 3600℃,the average temperature in July was higher than 25℃,frost-free period was more than 170 days.The index in lean year were≥10℃ accumulated temperature of the total year was less than 3300℃,the average temperature in July was lower than 24℃,frost-free period was less than 160 days.The main reasons to cotton yields differences between abundant year and lean year were lack of heat resources in the mid-later stage and low-temperature in summer and autumn.The results could provide a reference to cotton cultivation,management and climate assessment.
    Effects of Attenuated UV-B Radiation on Morphological Characteristics of Tobacco Vegetative Stage in Low Latitude and High Elevation Region
    ZHONG Chu1,CHEN Zong-yu1,WANG Yi2,LIU Yan-zhong3(1.College of Agronomy and Biotechnology,Yunnan Agricultural University,Kunming 650201,China;2.Technological Center of Hongta Group,Yuxi 653100;3.College of Tobacco Science,Yunnan Agricultural University,Kunming 650201)
    2010, 31(01):  83-87. 
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    To study the effects of Ultraviolet-B(UV-B)radiation on morphological characteristics of tobacco cultivar K326,the potted experiment,which reduced 25%,50% and 65% solar UV-B intensities during tobacco vegetative stage(16th-28th June),was conducted in Tonghai County(1806.0m) Yunnan province,one of the main tobacco production bases in China.The results showed that there were no significant effects of attenuated UV-B radiation on plant height,maximum leaf length,leaf width and leaf area,stem circumference,joint distance and leaf number of tobacco K326.However,the plant height,maximum leaf length and leaf area and joint distance increased under different treatments,while the leaf number decreased.The results indicated that solar UV-B radiation in this region might have some inhibition effects on tobacco morphological characteristics.
    Retrieval of Forest NPP by Remote Sensing in Heilongjiang Province
    LI Xiu-fen1,ZHENG You-fei2,WANG Chen-yi1,YU Ying-nan1(1.Heilongjiang Province Institute of Meteorological Sciences,Harbin 150030 China;2.Nanjing University of Information Science and Technology,Nanjing 210044)
    2010, 31(01):  88-92. 
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    Taking Heilongjiang province as case study region,the annual forest Net Primary Production(NPP) was estimated,based on the light utility efficiency model,by using the 1km MODIS data and the sunshine data from 82 meteorological stations in 2006.The remote sensing retrieval of forest NPP in Heilongjiang province was also realized.The results showed that the total forest NPP in Heilongjiang was 120.4×1012g y-1 in 2006,the average value was 545.6g m-2 y-1,the highest value of NPP was 1669g m-2 y-1.There was obvious seasonal change,and the varying curve acted as a single peak value wave.There was also a remarkable latitudinal change,the values in south was higher than north,and east was higher than west.The NPP in Daxing'anling mountain was the lowest,while the highest value was in Laoyeling mountain.The results were accordance to the natural regional distributing of forest NPP in Heilongjiang province.
    Design & Development of the Greenhouse Environment Management System Based on Crop Model
    JIA Qian1,LIU Hong2,SUN Zhong-fu1,DU Ke-ming1(1.Institute of Environment and Sustainable Development in Agriculture,CAAS,Beijing 100081,China;2.Climatic Center of Beijing City,Beijing 100089)
    2010, 31(01):  93-97. 
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    To improve the performance of the greenhouse environment management system and to be capable of making real-time decision dynamically,the greenhouse environment management system was developed based on crop model.Firstly,a universal simplified crop growth model for greenhouse tomato and cucumber was established both for referring to former research results and validating its parameters with field experiments.Secondly,a knowledge database was established by collecting information and experience of experts.Finally,a decision support system for greenhouse environment management was developed by using of real-time data acquired dynamically integrating the technology of model prediction and knowledge reasoning.Through running in the experiment,the system could give out the optimized value of environmenta1 control parameters,such as temperature,light intensity,and other relevant information to support decision and management dynamically.It would get better prospect in future as further completion.
    A Prelimary Design on Operational Flow of Fine Agro-climatic Regionalization
    GUO Wen-li,QUAN Wei-jun,LIU Hong(Beijing Municipal Climate Center,Beijing 100089,China)
    2010, 31(01):  98-103. 
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    Based on the previous practices of agro-climatic regionalization,a prelimary design on Operational Flow of Fine Agro-climatic Regionalization(OFFAR) is proposed,combined with the operational requirements of modern agro-meteorology and the characteristics of fine agro-climatic regionalization.The main contents of operational flow included determining the regionalization objects,analyzing the relationship between regionalization objects and climatic conditions,collecting and processing the data needed,determining the index and methods of regionalization,making the regionalization map,checking the regionalization results,writing the regionalization reports and the services of regionalization products.The establishment of OFFAR will have an important significance in regularizing and guiding the fine agro-climatic regionalization works.
    Study on Daily Evapotranspiration Estimation of Sanjiang Plain Based on MODIS Product and SEBAL Model
    DU Jia1,2,ZHANG Bai1,SONG Kai-shan1,WANG Zong-ming1,ZENG Li-hong1,2(1.Northeast Institute of Geography and Agricultural Ecology,Chinese Academy of Sciences,Changchun 130012,China;2.Graduate University of Chinese Academy of Sciences,Beijing 100049)
    2010, 31(01):  104-110. 
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    Based on SEBAL model,the daily evapotranspiration of Sanjiang Plain in Northeastern China was estimated by using MODIS/TERRA products and meteorological data collected in meteorological stations distributed over the study area.The estimation results of June 22nd,2005 was taken as an example in the analysis of daily ET characteristics of different land covers in the study area by using the spatial analysis module of ArcGIS.Comparison of the evapotranspiration estimated with MODIS products and field observation showed that the average relative error was 11.2%.It was concluded that evapotranspiration of water body and forest were high,which were 8.2mm and 6.5mm respectively.They were followed by wetland and paddy field,which were 5.2mm and 4.8mm respectively.Evapotranspiration of dry land was lowest,which was 3.7mm.Basically,these results were in line with the rule of evapotranspiration.
    Frost Characteristics and Its Effect on Agriculture in Taiyuan under Climate Warming
    ZHANG Xia1,QIAN Jin-xia2(1.Institute of Science and Technology Information of Shanxi Province,Taiyuan 030001,China;2.Climate Center of Shanxi Province,Taiyuan 030002)
    2010, 31(01):  111-114. 
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    The frost characteristics in Taiyuan city were analyzed based on the daily minimum temperature data in Taiyuan Meteorological Station from 1951 to 2008,by using the methods statistics,cumulative filter and non-parametric respectively.The results showed that the first light frost was occurred in October 14th,and the last light frost was in April 15th.The average free-frost period was 182 days.Comparably,the first moderate and severe frost delayed 9 days and 23 days,the last ones advanced 11 days and 24 days.The average free-frost period was extended 20 days and 47 days.In totally,the first frost changed complexly,the last frost was delayed during 1950s to 1970s and advanced since 1980s.The average free-frost period was shortened during 1950s to 1970s and extended since 1980s.Generally,the first frost delayed and last frost advanced,and the average free-frost period was extended.The occurring frequency of abnormal first or last frost event took up 5~15%,most of them were in the years of 1950s-1970s.The abnormal first light frost event usually had little impacts on crops and cabbage.But the cabbage would suffer from freezing injury with the abnormal first moderate or severe frost.The abnormal last frost could affect seedling in spring.Winter wheat suffered from the frost damage one time in each 5 years,and the risk stage was 5 days after jointing.
    Research on the Application of Drought Forecast and Early-warning Technology in Shaanxi
    JING Yi-gang1,ZHANG Shu-yu2,QIAO Li2,SHA Dao-bing1,LI Hong-mei1(1.Shaanxi Remote Sensing Information Center for Agriculture,Xi'an 710014,China;2.Shaanxi Meteorological Bureau,Xi'an 710014)
    2010, 31(01):  115-120. 
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    Based on the ecological and agricultural drought similar regions,8 sub-areas for drought forecasting and early warning in Shaanxi province were divided.By using the information of medium term or extended weather forecast,soil relative humidity observations,ground vegetation,etc,integrated meteorological model and the integrated agricultural model for drought forecasting were set up and a drought forecasting and early warning system platform was developed.The daily drought evolution of the 97 meteorological stations in Shaanxi province could then be rolling forecasted.Whether and how to release drought early warning information could be determined based on these records,the analysis of drought early warning conditions and identified grades.The accuracy rate of drought prediction in 2007 was 88% to 96% as compared to the actual situation.
    Climate Prediction for the Occurrence Degree of Wheat Powdery Mildew in Jiaozuo
    YAN Xiao-zhen1,MIAO Guo-zhu2,ZHANG Sui-xian1,LI Wei1,HUANG Ke-lei1,YAN Xiao-li1(1.Meteorological Bureau of Jiaozuo City,Jiaozuo 454003,China;2.Meteorological Bureau of Wenxian,Wenxian 454850)
    2010, 31(01):  121-124. 
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    Based on the information of intensity of wheat powdery mildew and climate in Jiaozuo during 1980 and 2005,the quantitative relationship between wheat powdery mildew levels and the local climate indicators was identified by means of order statistical and Bayes criterion,and a prediction model was established.Four factors for prediction model were:(1)the average temperature of October last year(T10)≥16.5℃,(2)the temperature of March this year(T3) ≤9.5℃,(3)the sum of rainfall in August,September and October last year(R8+R9+R10)≤180mm,(4)the rainfall of March this year(R3)≥25mm.A severe wheat powdery mildew disaster would take place if 3 or 4 factors were met at the same time,and the disaster would not happen if non or only 1 factor was met.The historical matching rate for the forecast results was over 88% during the 1980-2005.The forecasted results were in line with the factual records of 2006 and 2007.
    A Study on the Risk Index Design of Agricultural Insurance on Apple Florescence Freezing Injury in Shaanxi Fruit Zone
    LIU Ying-ning,HE Wen-li,LI Yan-li,BAI Qin-feng,LIANG Yi,ZHANG Tao(Shaanxi Meteorological Service Observatory on Economic Crops,Xi'an 710014,China)
    2010, 31(01):  125-129. 
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    The apple' florescent phenophase and minimum temperature in Shaanxi fruit zone was analyzed statistically,to meet the demands for meteorological service for apple' policy agricultural insurance.Risk period of apple' florescence freezing injury was identified: it was from 10th April to 30th April in Yan'an and the western Weibei,and it lasted from 1st April to 20th April in Guanzhong and the eastern Weibei.Based on the relevant literature and investigation data as well as the low temperature strength records,Shaanxi apple' florescence freezing injury were classified into three levels for agricultural insurance: low risk grade(TD≤0℃),middle risk grade(TD≤-2℃),high risk grade(TD≤-4℃).And the spatial distribution of risk indexes for each grade was identified: the risk indexes in Yan'an fruit zone was highest,followed by the western Weibei fruit zone.The risk index was low in the eastern Weibei and Guanzhong fruit zone.In view of the complexity of planting environment and the uncertainty of disaster grade,10% ~80% norm of the agricultural insurance insured risk indexes was put forward.According to the norm of the insured risk indexes and giving prior concern to high risk grade,the insured risk grades in main fruit zone were evaluated.The results showed that: risk grade was high or medium in Yan'an fruit zone,generally medium in the western Weibei fruit zone,and low in the eastern Weibei fruit zone and Guanzhong fruit zone.
    Risk Regionalization of Flood and Waterlogging Disaster and Analysis of Variation Tendency of Damaged Area in Anhui Province
    GUO Yong-fang,ZHA Liang-song(College of Territorial Resources and Tourism,Auhui Normal University,Wuhu 241003,China)
    2010, 31(01):  130-136. 
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    Based on analysis of dominant factors leading to flood and waterlogging disaster,indexes for flood and waterlogging risk assessment were selected and their weights were determined by means of AHP method on the weight of entropy.The flood and waterlogging risk evaluating model was established and country-level based risk regionalization of flood and waterlogging in Anhui Province was carried out.The interannual-scale variation tendencies of damaged area of Anhui province and every sub-region were predicted based on statistical data of damaged area drawing from 78 counties of Anhui province during 1998-2007.The results showed that the counties located at Huaibei plain,the western region of the hill terrain between the Yangtze and Huaihe river and the western plain along the Yangtze river suffered higher flood and waterlogging risk degree,while counties in the mountain areas of southern and western Anhui province had lower degree.During the year 1998-2007,the damaged area in high-risk region,sub-high region and the whole region represented an increasing tendency and there was a decreasing tendency for other regions.However,Hurst indexes obtained from R/S analysis indicated that this trend could not continue in the future and might change in the opposite direction.
    Analysis of Drought-flood Spatial-temporal Characteristics Based on Standard Precipitation Index(SPI) in Heibei Province during 1965-2005
    CHE Shao-jing1,2,LI Chun-qiang3,SHEN shuang-he1(1.School of Applied Meteorology,NUIST,Nanjing 210044,China;2.Shijiazhuang Meteorologocal Bureau,Shijiazhuang 050081;3.Meteorological Institute of Hebei Province/Hebei Provincial Key Lab for Meteorology and Eco-environment,Shijiazhuang 050021)
    2010, 31(01):  137-143. 
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    Drought is one of the major natural hazards in Hebei province.Based on standard precipitation index(SPI),the spatial-temporal characteristics of drought-flood in Hebei province during 1965-2005 were studied by empirical orthogonal function method.The results showed that drought-flood varies with time,in total.Drought was more severe in the periods of 1965-1972 and 1997-2005,and flood was more frequent in 1970s and early 1990s.Occurrence of drought in spring and autumn tends to decrease,while in summer tends to be more severe.There was no obvious change for winter.However,extreme drought and water logging hazards were frequent in Hebei province since 1990s.Hebei could be divided into four sub-regions(east,north,south and west) in terms of the spatial distribution of drought and water logging.There was a consistence among these regions and the whole province,though there were north-south gaps and east-west gaps.The most drastic drought-flood changes had occurred in the 1990s.These Changes were also obvious in the early 1970s,but lest obvious in the 1980s.But,the change rate had been high in the south part since 2000.
    Spatial and Temporal Distribution of High Temperature and Strategies to Rice Florescence Harm in the Lower-middle Reaches of Yangtze River
    XIE Xiao-jin1,2,LI Bing-bai2,WANG Lin1,DAI Qin-ru1,SHEN Shuang-he1 (1.Colloge of Applied Meteorology,Nanjing University of Information Science and Technology,Nanjing 210044,China;2.Institute of Resources and Environment,Jiangsu Academy of Agricultural Sciences,Nanjing 210044)
    2010, 31(01):  144-150. 
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    Occurrence probability,annual mean day,beginning and ending time of high temperature were analyzed respectively based on daily average temperature and the highest temperature in June and August of 1965 to 2004 from agro-meteorological stations in Hunan,Hubei,Jiangxi,Anhui,Jiangsu and Zhejiang provinces.Spatial and temporal distribution of high temperature in six provinces was summarized according to above analysis.The measures to avoid to high temperature and corresponding strategies were put forward,which could provide the important reference to rice production in Yangtze River Basin.
    Analysis of Climatic Characteristics of Cold Wave in Guizhou Plateau
    ZHANG Yan-mei1,ZHANG Pu-yu1,GU Xin2,ZHONG jing1,LIU Shu-hua1 (1.Liupanshui Meteorological Bureau of Guizhou Province,Liupanshui 553001,China;2.Meteorological Bureau of Southeast Guizhou Province,Kaili 556000)
    2010, 31(01):  151-154. 
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    Based on the daily mean and minimum temperature data in Guizhou Plateau for the period from 1961 to 2008 at 19 observational stations,the temporal and spatial characteristics and circulation characteristics of cold wave occurrence in the recent 48 years were analyzed by using the methods of linear-trend estimate,Mann-Kendall catastorophe test and Morlet analysis.The results indicated that cold wave activities varied in different areas of Guizhou Plateau.They were frequent in Weining and Dushan and rare in the edge of the Northeastern and Southwestern province.Their occurrence was mainly from January to April and there had been a declining trend in the past 48 years.There were periodical variations of qusi-22 years and 13 years in the cold wave activities of Guizhou.M-K test indicated that the abrupt changes of the cold wave activities were not obvious.However,the difference of the circulation characteristics between the active years and quiet years was obvious in Guizhou Plateau.
    Meteorological Prediction Model for Occurrence of Summer Oriental Migratory Locust in Yellow River Delta Region
    XIN Zhi-hong1,ZHANG Xi-jian2(1.Meteorological Bureau of Dongying City,Dongying 257091,China;2.Agricultural Bureau of Dongying City,Dongying 257091)
    2010, 31(01):  155-159. 
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    Based on the survey data of summer oriental migratory locust and meteorological data between 1983 to 2008 in the five key coastal regions of the Yellow River Delta,the statistical correlation between the occurrence period,quantity of the summer oriental migratory locust and the main meteorological factors were analyzed.The regressive prediction model was built.The result showed that the obvious negative correlations between the beginning,the peak unearthed period of summer oriental migratory locust and rainfall of September in previous year,rainfall of February in current year had been found,but with deferent coefficients.For the occurred quantity prediction,there were obvious negative correlations between the occurred density of summer oriental migratory locust and average April atmospheric temperature and the February rainfall in current year,and obvious positive correlations between the occurred area of the locust and the average atmospheric temperature of March in current year and of August in previous year,and an obvious negative correlation between occurred area of summer oriental migratory locust and rainfall of September in previous year.An average 90.2% accuracy got by comparing the predictive data gotten by the prediction mode with the investigated occurrence of summer Oriental migratory locust in back review test to previous data.It could meet the actual demand.