中国农业气象 ›› 2011, Vol. 32 ›› Issue (3): 456-460.

• 论文 • 上一篇    下一篇

近47年来河南省冬小麦干热风灾害的变化分析

成林,张志红,常军   

  • 出版日期:2011-08-20 发布日期:2011-11-03

Analysis on the Change of Dryhot Wind Hazard for Winter Wheat inLast 47 Years in Henan Province

CHENG Lin, ZHANG Zhihong, CHANG Jun   

  • Online:2011-08-20 Published:2011-11-03

摘要: 根据冬小麦干热风的国家气象行业标准,利用河南省118个观测站1961-2007年历年冬小麦生长后期的逐日气象资料,统计分析了当地冬小麦高温低湿型干热风灾害的成灾范围、发生频率等的变化。结果表明:近47a来,与河南省冬小麦干热风密切相关的14:00风速显著减小,并在1983年前后发生了气候突变,其它气象因子变化不明显;在干热风灾害整体减弱的背景下,20世纪90年代以后各等级干热风发生范围与天数均趋于增加,尤其是轻干热风涉及的台站占总台站的比例每年递增达2.01个百分点,发生天数每年递增达0.07d;按照30a滑动平均统计,各等级干热风灾害的频率总体上是降低的,但最近30a又有反弹趋势。

关键词: 冬小麦, 气候变化, 灌浆期, 干热风

Abstract: According to the meteorological occupation standard for dryhot wind hazard of winter wheat, daily meteorological element data from 1961 to 2007 in later growth stage of winter wheat at 118 stations in Henan province was taking used for analyzing the variation of range and frequency, et al for high temperature and low humid type of dryhot wind hazard. The results showed that: in the recent 47 years, the wind speed at 14:00, which was closely relate to the hazard declined conspicuously, and a climatic mutation point was found near 1983, while other meteorological elements varied insignificantly. In view of the overall weakening trend of the hazard, the range and days that different grades of the hazard occurred was increasing after 1990s, especially the increasing speed of ratio of stations that light hazard occurred reached to 2.01%,and the days that the hazard happened reached to 0.07. According to running mean statistic,the frequency of all grades of dryhot wind hazard was decreasing, however, it showed a trend of accelerating in the late 30 years.

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